Author: BTCLFGTEAM

  • Sky Protocol buyback program starts paying off as SKY token jumps 12%

    Sky Protocol buyback program starts paying off as SKY token jumps 12%

    SKY token price surge

    • Sky Protocol has spent nearly $75M on buybacks since February 2025.
    • SKY token has risen by 12.6% in a week, nearing previous highs.
    • Buybacks reduced supply and boosted investor confidence.

    The price of the SKY token has jumped 12.6% over the past seven days as the Sky Network buyback program starts to bear fruits.

    The steady rise comes after months of token repurchases, with Sky Protocol investing tens of millions of dollars to reduce supply and stabilise market confidence.

    Sky Protocol’s buyback strategy

    Sky, formerly known as Maker before rebranding in August 2024, has made headlines with its aggressive buyback plan.

    Since February this year, the protocol has used nearly 75 million USD to purchase SKY tokens directly from the market.

    The most recent update revealed that in August alone, Sky spent 5.5 million USD to acquire 73 million tokens.

    Notably, this consistent activity has helped to gradually lift the token’s price.

    In late February, SKY was trading just above six cents.

    Today, it is changing hands at a little over seven cents, and while the number may look modest, it marks a meaningful recovery for a token that had faced periods of volatility.

    The buybacks are designed to reduce circulating supply, creating upward pressure on value while signalling financial confidence from the project’s side.

    SKY token price recovery gains momentum

    Market data from Coingecko shows that SKY has gained more than 12% in the past week, outperforming several other decentralised finance tokens.

    The token’s performance since the start of the buyback has been steady, rising over 8% across six months despite broader market swings.

    In late July, SKY even touched 9.6 cents, getting close to its all-time peak of just over ten cents recorded in December, before taking a surprising dip to just above six cents in August.

    By comparison, Uniswap’s UNI token has risen about 6% in the same timeframe, while Aave’s AAVE has gained over 25%.

    These comparisons highlight that although SKY has not delivered the strongest returns, its growth is tied directly to a deliberate financial mechanism rather than just speculative market sentiment. This distinction makes Sky’s approach stand out within the altcoin space.

    Why the buybacks matter

    Token buybacks are not new in crypto, but Sky’s scale and consistency are drawing attention.

    By removing tokens from circulation, the project is reducing potential selling pressure and rewarding holders with gradual value appreciation.

    The fact that Sky has committed $75 million to this strategy suggests a strong treasury position and confidence in its ecosystem.

    Other projects, such as World Liberty Financial and Pump.fun, have also launched similar programs, indicating that the model may become more common across the industry.

    For Sky, the coming months will be crucial in determining whether the current momentum can be sustained, especially if market conditions turn volatile again.

    Investor sentiment already appears to be shifting in line with these efforts. A token that fell to a low of 3.5 cents earlier this year has nearly doubled from that point, reflecting renewed faith in its long-term role.

    With a market capitalisation of around $1.64 billion and more than $6.2 billion in total value locked on the platform, Sky is positioning itself as one of the more stable players in DeFi.

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  • Tornado Cash price forecast: TORN retests key level as bulls eye $20

    Tornado Cash price forecast: TORN retests key level as bulls eye $20

    Tornado Cash

    • Tornado Cash price retests supply wall at $12 with 6% spike in the last 24 hours.
    • Overall bounce for top coins has seen TORN price rebound from lows of $11.50 to retest the key resistance area around $12.40.
    • The technical picture is bullish with TORN looking to break above a key ascending triangle pattern on the daily chart.

    Tornado Cash (TORN), the governance token for the Ethereum-based privacy protocol, recently in the headlines for a court verdict on one of its co-founders, is trading at a key level after bouncing off recent lows.

    With the broader cryptocurrency market displaying resilience, and analysts forecasting a recovery in Q4, is TORN’s price action set for further gains?

    Could bulls retest the $20 last seen in January 2025?

    Tornado Cash price retests $12 hurdle

    As cryptocurrencies struggled amid bearish pressure on Monday, Tornado Cash traded lower alongside other tokens.

    However, with top coins recouping some gains, TORN rebounded from lows of $11.50 to climb to the key resistance area around $12.40.

    Notably, this is a level that has previously provided a significant supply wall for TORN.

    A retest of the area comes with price action that mirrors that of the broader market bounce as both Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) bounce to key levels after experiencing dips on Monday.

    BTC, which briefly fell below $108k, has regained ground to trade above $110k.

    Meanwhile, ETH, down from its new all-time high above $5k, has stabilised above $4,400 as bulls keep bears off.

    TORN’s upward move aligns with this renewed market optimism, as the token tests the $12.40 resistance zone.

    As noted, this level has historically acted as a barrier, having thwarted bulls in December 2024 and January 2025.

    In the past 24 hours, Tornado Cash crypto is up nearly 6%.

    However, its 24-hour trading volume is a mere $84.9k, with this up 3% from the previous day to signal minimal market activity.

    Tornado Cash price forecast: Is $20 next?

    The technical outlook for TORN is increasingly bullish, with the token forming an ascending triangle pattern on the daily chart.

    Tornado Cash chart by TradingView

    Analysts associate this pattern with potential breakouts, and the $12.40 resistance level is critical in this respect.

    If there’s a decisive close above this point, momentum could propel TORN toward the next significant resistance at $20.

    Looking at the chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 57.

    Year-to-date highs of $27 and the November 2024 peak of $39 could be the next targets.

    If TORN fails to decisively breach $12, it may retreat to the $10 support level. A robust buy zone is around $7.20.

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  • Bitcoin, Ethereum hold steady as crypto braces for a historically brutal September

    Bitcoin, Ethereum hold steady as crypto braces for a historically brutal September

    Bitcoin, Ethereum hold steady as crypto braces for a historically brutal September

    • The crypto market is bracing for “Red September,” its historically worst month.
    • The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has plummeted into the “fear” zone.
    • Bitcoin is holding critical support around the 108,000 dollar level for now.

    A fragile and deceptive calm has settled over the cryptocurrency market as September begins, a quiet start to what history warns is the cruelest and most unforgiving month of the year.

    While prices are holding steady for now, a powerful undercurrent of fear is gripping traders, as seasonal weakness collides with a high-stakes macroeconomic picture, setting the stage for a potentially volatile and brutal few weeks.

    The shift in sentiment has been swift and severe.

    The Crypto Fear and Greed Index, a key barometer of market psychology, has plummeted from a confident 75 out of 100 in mid-August to just 46 today, plunging the market from “neutral” territory deep into the “fear” zone.

    It is the worst reading since the dark days of mid-June.

    This growing anxiety is rooted in the hard data of market history. Since 2013, Bitcoin has dropped an average of 3.77 percent every September, a grim and consistent pattern that has earned the month its ominous nickname: “Red September.”

    The Battle for $108,000

    For now, a tense battle is being waged on the charts. Bitcoin is showing a flicker of resilience, holding above the psychologically critical $108,000 support level.

    But a deeper look at the technical indicators reveals a market on a knife’s edge, caught in a state of profound indecision.

    The Average Directional Index (ADX) is hovering at 20, a reading that suggests a choppy, directionless market.

    At the same time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 40 is flashing a clear warning: the “Red September” effect is taking hold, with selling pressure beginning to dominate.

    The Squeeze Momentum Indicator confirms this, showing that while a big move may not be imminent, the underlying trend remains distinctly bearish.

    The most telling sign may be in the exponential moving averages (EMAs). While the broader configuration remains bullish, with the 50-day EMA above the 200-day EMA, the gap between the two is ominously starting to close.

    This signals a dangerous deceleration of the bullish trend and raises the specter of a “death cross,” a technical pattern that would confirm a deep and protracted bear market.

    The shadow of the Fed looms large

    This internal market struggle is playing out under the long shadow of the Federal Reserve.

    The central bank’s upcoming policy meeting on September 16-17 may well be one of the most contentious in years, a pivotal showdown that could determine the fate of all risk assets.

    With markets currently implying an 87 percent chance of a quarter-point rate cut, the crypto market is trapped between the rock of seasonal weakness and the hard place of potential monetary relief.

    Prediction markets are reflecting this bearish tilt.

    On Myriad, traders now give Bitcoin a 75 percent chance of dropping to 105,000 dollars in the near future, a stunning reversal from just two weeks ago when the same market was pricing in a 90 percent chance of a surge to 125,000 dollars.

    The storm clouds are gathering, and the calm of this early September morning may not last for long.

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  • Crypto hacks in August hit $163 million as exchange risks grow

    Crypto hacks in August hit $163 million as exchange risks grow

    Crypto hacks in August hit $163 million as exchange risks grow

    • The largest theft was $91.4 million from anonymous Bitcoin addresses.
    • Other victims included Odin.fun ($7 million), BetterBank.io ($5 million), and CrediX Finance ($4.5 million).
    • Weak audits, human error, and fast platform launches are driving security risks.

    The digital asset industry faced another blow in August as hackers stole $163 million across 16 separate incidents, according to blockchain security firm PeckShield.

    This was a jump from July’s $142 million, showing how attacks are becoming more frequent and technically advanced.

    The largest theft was $91.4 million from multiple anonymous Bitcoin addresses, underlining the vulnerability of individual investors as well as institutions.

    Beyond the immediate financial loss, these incidents raise questions about the security of centralised platforms and the long-term impact on investor trust in the wider crypto market, which continues to expand globally.

    $54 million BtcTurk hack highlights exchange weaknesses

    One of the biggest cases in August was the breach of BtcTurk, Turkey’s leading crypto exchange, which lost $54 million.

    This incident was particularly notable because the same platform had already been hit in June 2024 for another $54 million, bringing its total annual losses above $100 million.

    BtcTurk confirmed that unauthorised access had been detected, affected wallets were frozen, and investigations with local authorities were underway.

    The repeat nature of the attack highlights how centralised exchanges remain a high-value target, with security defences proving inadequate against persistent attackers.

    Other platforms lost $17 million in separate cases

    While BtcTurk dominated headlines, smaller but still damaging attacks hit other platforms. Odin.fun lost $7 million, BetterBank.io suffered $5 million in losses, and CrediX Finance was drained of $4.5 million.

    These examples show how cybercriminals are not only targeting major exchanges but also smaller platforms, often exploiting weak security audits or untested systems.

    The cumulative effect of these breaches demonstrates how no level of the crypto ecosystem is safe from exploitation, whether through technical loopholes or basic operational oversights.

    Human error and lack of audits fuel rising attacks

    PeckShield’s data shows that the crypto sector’s rapid growth is directly linked to the rising number of hacks. New platforms and protocols are often launched quickly without thorough security reviews, giving attackers multiple entry points.

    Alongside structural weaknesses, human error continues to play a major role. Users failing to enable two-factor authentication, relying on weak passwords, or falling victim to phishing scams leave both exchanges and personal wallets open to compromise.

    The combination of technical flaws and behavioural lapses is creating an environment where cybercrime thrives, forcing exchanges and investors to reconsider their defences.

    Regulatory authorities in multiple jurisdictions have noted these trends, pointing to the need for stricter compliance checks.

    Bitcoin dips as investor confidence weakens

    The impact of these hacks has extended into the wider market. Bitcoin (BTC) slipped 0.29% in the past 24 hours to trade at $108,361.50, with a market capitalisation of $2.15 trillion.

    Bitcoin price
    Source: CoinMarketCap

    Analysts warn that repeated breaches could slow mainstream adoption, as every incident erodes investor confidence and strengthens the case for stricter regulations to protect consumers and stabilise trading activity.

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  • Bitcoin ETFs see first-ever outflow of $751 million as Ethereum funds gain $3.9 billion

    Bitcoin ETFs see first-ever outflow of $751 million as Ethereum funds gain $3.9 billion

    Bitcoin ETFs see first-ever outflow of $751 million as Ethereum funds gain $3.9 billion

    • Bitcoin ETFs saw a $751 million net outflow in August, a first-ever event.
    • Ethereum ETFs absorbed a massive $3.9 billion in net inflows in August.
    • BTC’s price has fallen below key short-term holder cost basis levels.

    A stunning and unprecedented reversal has rattled the very foundations of the cryptocurrency market.

    For the first time since their celebrated launch, the institutional tide that carried Bitcoin to a record high has turned, with spot ETFs bleeding hundreds of millions of dollars in August.

    At the same time, a powerful and quiet current of capital has been flowing into Ethereum, signaling a potential changing of the guard and the beginning of a major rotation story that could define the rest of the year.

    The scale of the divergence is stark. In August, just weeks after they powered the asset to a 124,000 dollar all-time high, Bitcoin spot funds shed a staggering 751 million dollars in net outflows.

    In that same period, Ethereum ETFs quietly absorbed an incredible 3.9 billion dollars, a profound role reversal that suggests institutional investors may be fundamentally rebalancing their crypto exposure.

    Bitcoin’s fragile foundation

    The pain for Bitcoin is not just in the ETF flow data; it’s etched into the blockchain itself. A recent report from the analytics firm Glassnode paints a picture of a market slipping from euphoria into deep fragility.

    The analysis shows Bitcoin’s price has fallen below the cost basis of both 1-month and 3-month holders, a critical development that leaves a huge cohort of recent investors underwater and dramatically increases the risk of a deeper, panic-driven sell-off.

    If the price continues to slide below the six-month cost basis near 107,000 dollars, Glassnode warns, it could accelerate losses toward the crucial 93,000 to 95,000 dollar support zone, a dense cluster of accumulation by long-term holders.

    Prediction markets are echoing this cautious sentiment.

    Traders on Polymarket now assign a 65 percent chance that Bitcoin revisits 100,000 dollars before it retakes 130,000 dollars, a clear sign that the July rally is now seen as overextended and unsustainable without a renewed wave of institutional demand.

    Ethereum: the quiet ballast

    While Bitcoin falters, Ethereum is emerging as a quiet and powerful source of stability. Its ETF inflows have been remarkably consistent, logging positive net subscriptions in 10 of the last 12 months.

    August’s 3.9 billion dollar haul has been the engine behind the token’s impressive 25 percent gain over the past 30 days, a stunning outperformance during a brutal market-wide correction.

    The conviction behind Ethereum’s rise is firm. Polymarket traders see over 90 percent odds of the asset holding above 3,800 dollars into early September, and longer-term bets give it a 71 percent chance of finishing 2025 above the coveted 5,000 dollar mark.

    As Bitcoin’s institutional tide flows out, Ethereum’s steadier bid is becoming the market’s new anchor. The great rotation may be in its early stages, but the signs are unmistakable.

    A new power dynamic is taking shape, and the battle for crypto’s throne is just beginning.

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  • Numeraire price drops 25% as traders take profits

    Numeraire price drops 25% as traders take profits

    • Numeraire token NMR is down 25% as profit taking increases.
    • The Numerai native token recently exploded amid a $500 million investment by JPMorgan.
    • NMR price could drop to $15 and face resistance around $18.

    As top coins struggle with sell-off pressure, the price of Numeraire (NMR) has pared recent gains as it dropped 25% in the past 24 hours.

    Like the rest of the cryptocurrency market that has witnessed meteoric gains in the past few days, NMR has dumped as traders lock in gains.

    Numeraire price hovered around $16.36 at the time of writing, down as Bitcoin struggled and Ethereum dipped under $4,400.

    The release of PCE inflation data on Friday, which showed prices rose in July compared to June and at highs seen in early 2025, pushed stocks down. Cryptocurrencies were slipping amid this overall outlook.

    Numeraire price falls 25% amid profit-taking

    Numeraire, the ERC-20 token powering Numerai’s AI-driven hedge fund platform, recently shot to highs above $22.80.

    The token’s meteoric rise, which included a 150% spike in a week, benefited largely from news of a $500 million investment from JPMorgan Asset Management.

    The institutional backing doubled Numerai’s assets under management to nearly $1 billion, boosting NMR’s profile and drawing significant trader interest. NMR price pushed from lows of $8.11  to a multi-month high of $22.87 across major exchanges.

    Daily trading volume also peaked as bullish sentiment dominated.

    However, traders keen to lock in profits have contributed to a 25% price drop, with sellers eyeing more below the $16 level. Notably, the reversal has coincided with a 64% decline in trading volume, now at $340 million.

    This is positive for the token as selling pressure isn’t elevated, but also signals reduced market participation from buy the dip players.

    What’s next for Numeraire price?

    With NMR now trading at $16.36, technical indicators suggest a bearish setup that could lead to further declines.

    The token has broken below the $18.60 upper Bollinger Band, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below the neutral line indicates  weakening momentum.

    On the daily chart, NMR faces immediate support at $15, a level where the recent breakout candle formed.

    If this support fails, the next key level is $14.57, with a deeper drop potentially testing $10.50, as forecasted by some analysts for September 2025.

    Resistance is now at $18, with a stronger barrier at $20, a psychological level that aligns with late 2024 highs.

    A break above $18 could signal a reversal, but the current bearish trend, coupled with declining volume, suggests caution.

    The broader market sentiment and Numerai’s ability to leverage JPMorgan’s investment for sustained growth will be critical.

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  • XRP price stalls under $3.00 as investor activity slows

    XRP price stalls under $3.00 as investor activity slows

    XRP price stalls under $3.00 as investor activity slows

    • The coin has failed to break past $3.00 for two consecutive weeks.
    • Capital outflows are outweighing inflows, weakening momentum.
    • A drop to $2.74 is likely if selling continues.

    XRP is struggling to break through the $3.00 mark, with repeated attempts over the past two weeks falling short. The altcoin has been unable to sustain momentum, weighed down by weak investor support and shrinking inflows.

    At the time of writing, XRP trades at $2.87, remaining below the $2.95 resistance zone. Market data shows reduced activity from both new and existing participants, leaving the cryptocurrency in a consolidation phase.

    XRP price
    Source: CoinMarketCap

    With capital outflows overwhelming inflows, XRP’s price trend continues to depend heavily on investor sentiment and whether demand can rebound in the short term.

    New addresses drop to two-month low

    Network metrics highlight a key reason behind XRP’s stagnation. The number of new addresses created, tracked by first-time transactions, has dropped near a two-month low.

    This decline indicates falling interest from fresh participants, limiting the inflow of new capital into the network.

    Without new investors joining, XRP faces reduced demand pressure, making it harder to generate the buying volume needed for a sustained rally.

    Existing holders have not provided enough momentum either, resulting in weaker overall support for the asset.

    Capital outflows weigh on XRP

    Broader capital trends underline the same weakness. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), which monitors inflows and outflows of capital, has fallen to a nine-month low.

    This signals that selling activity is exceeding buying interest, a bearish indication for XRP’s short-term performance.

    The shrinking capital pool highlights how outflows are amplifying the recent downtrend.

    With reduced liquidity entering the market, XRP has struggled to establish firm support levels, leaving it vulnerable to further price drops.

    Over the past fortnight, the coin has failed to hold gains above $2.95, signalling that sellers remain dominant. The weakness in volume reflects the lack of confidence that has plagued XRP’s attempts to stage a breakout since mid-August.

    Trading patterns show limited upside moves being sold off quickly, reinforcing the difficulty of sustaining momentum and deepening investor caution.

    Market watchers note that persistent selling pressure could delay any meaningful recovery attempts for weeks.

    XRP price trend remains under pressure

    Currently, XRP remains capped below the $2.95 resistance level. A continued lack of buying activity could push the price down toward $2.74, where consolidation is more likely.

    On the other hand, if sentiment shifts and XRP reclaims $2.95 as support, it could attempt to retest higher thresholds.

    Breaking past $3.07 and later $3.12 would provide confirmation of renewed bullish momentum, invalidating the present bearish thesis.

    The coming sessions will be critical in determining whether investor confidence returns to provide the inflows needed for XRP to move past $3.00, or if the coin continues to trade under pressure from weak demand.

    The data on addresses and capital flows suggests that until stronger participation emerges, XRP’s price will remain constrained within its current range.

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  • SOL price gains momentum as DeFi Dev Corp adds $77M in Solana to treasury

    SOL price gains momentum as DeFi Dev Corp adds $77M in Solana to treasury

    • The company has acquired 407,247 SOL tokens in its latest purchase.
    • DeFi Dev Corp. now holds Solana worth around $371M, 1.83 million coins.
    • On-chain indicators support SOL’s upside trajectory.

    The first Nasdaq-listed firm with a Solana-centric treasury strategy is once again in the spotlight.

    According to the latest press release, DeFi Development Corp. disclosed the purchase of 407,247 SOL assets valued at approximately $77 million.

    The recent accumulation increased the company’s total SOL holdings to 1,831,011 tokens, worth around $371 million.

    Notably, DeFi Dev Corp. utilized the latest fundraising to fund the purchase, and still holds more than $40 million for more Solana buys and supporting treasury operations.

    The bold bet signals the firm’s conviction in Solana’s growth trajectory.

    Solana price displays optimistic performance amid these developments, with on-chain metrics supporting DeFi Dec Corp’s accumulation strategy.

    Long-term holding and staking plans

    DeFi Development Corp. made it clear that it is not after short-term gains.

    The firm confirmed that it will hold the newly purchased Solana long-term and stake the assets across different validators.

    The announcement stated:

    The newly acquired SOL will be held long-term and staked to a variety of validators, including DeFi Dev Corp’s own Solana validators to generate native yield.

    The staking strategy enables the firm to generate native yield while ensuring the security and health of Solana’s blockchain.

    Further, the approach means additional earning opportunities for shareholders as it combines staking incentives and SOL price growth.

    What does it mean for Solana?

    Solana has dominated crypto trends over the past months, with increased adoption in payments, meme coins, DeFi, and NFTs.

    Its scalability and speed have made it a perfect alternative for institutions and developers.

    DeFi Dev Corp’s Solana holdings reflect how markets are increasingly viewing Solana as an asset with potential beyond speculation.

    Furthermore, endorsement by a Nasdaq-listed company legitimizes the altcoin, making it attractive for institutions seeking crypto exposure.

    Solana bullish outlook

    These developments come as the native token traded in the green region.

    SOL gained more than 15% the previous week to $211.

    Bullish sentiments fuel the chain, especially as the community votes for the Alpenglow proposal.

    The proposal seeks to reduce block finality to 150 milliseconds from 12.8 seconds.

    That will turbocharge the blockchain by supporting thousands of transactions per second while ensuring near-zero transaction charges.

    That makes the Ethereum twelve-minute finality glacial.

    Simply, the second-largest blockchain takes minutes to finalize transactions. In Solana, it is instant.

    These narratives echo analysts, who are predicting massive gains for SOL.

    For example, Ali Martinez mapped Solana’s path to $300 in the near-term.

    That would mean a rally of over 40% from the current market price.

    Moreover, prevailing institutional interest sets the stage for significant long-term rallies.

    Proponents believe Solana has what it takes to skyrocket to $1,000 in a full-blown bull market.



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  • Bitcoin remains under pressure as gold targets a new all-time high

    Bitcoin remains under pressure as gold targets a new all-time high

    Bitcoin remains under pressure as gold targets a new all-time high

    • Bitcoin’s rally attempt fails as it retreats to below 112,000 dollars.
    • Gold continues its quiet but powerful climb, nearing its all-time high.
    • In August, gold is up nearly 4 percent while Bitcoin has fallen over 5 percent.

    A hopeful rally in the cryptocurrency market was decisively crushed on Thursday, as steady selling pressure throughout the US trading session sent prices into a familiar retreat.

    The failed bounce underscores a growing sense of fatigue in the digital asset space and throws a stark and revealing light on the silent, powerful ascent of its analog rival: gold.

    After a brief flirtation with the 113,000 dollar level, Bitcoin (BTC) was beaten back, sinking to 111,800 late in the session for a loss of 0.7 percent over the past 24 hours.

    The selling was even more pronounced in other major tokens, with Ether (ETH) and XRP shedding a more sizable 2.1 percent and 1.4 percent, respectively.

    The one notable bright spot in a sea of red was Solana’s SOL, which managed to buck the trend with a respectable 3.1 percent gain.

    A silent ascent to the summit

    While the crypto market grapples with its own inertia, a different story is unfolding in the world of precious metals.

    Quietly, but with unshakable conviction, gold has been on the rise. The yellow metal added another 0.8 percent on Thursday, climbing to 3,477 dollars per ounce.

    This puts the safe-haven asset just a few dollars shy of the record high of 3,534 dollars it touched earlier this month.

    The performance in August paints an even more dramatic picture of this great divergence: while Bitcoin has slid 5.2 percent, gold has rallied by nearly 4 percent.

    The great disconnect

    This decoupling is the great mystery currently haunting the market.

    The very same macroeconomic tailwinds that are propelling gold higher—namely, the prospect of lower interest rates and a weaker US dollar—are conspicuously failing to ignite any significant bid for “digital gold.”

    The fundamental case for Bitcoin as an inflation hedge and a store of value is being put to a severe test, and for now, it is failing.

    A September showdown looms

    The stage is now set for a potentially volatile final four months of the year.

    The resumption of Federal Reserve rate cuts appears to be firmly on the table for September, a move that could be amplified by President Trump’s appointment of one or possibly two new, likely dovish, members to the Fed’s board.

    As these powerful forces converge, the market is watching to see if Bitcoin can finally catch the golden tailwind or if its strange and troubling disconnect is a sign of a deeper malaise.

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  • JPMorgan says Bitcoin is undervalued compared to gold as volatility plummets

    JPMorgan says Bitcoin is undervalued compared to gold as volatility plummets

    The report suggests this shift is making Bitcoin more credible, much like traditional assets. It’s solidifying its role as both an investment and a store of value in mainstream markets.

    In fact, corporate treasuries now hold more than 6% of the total Bitcoin supply.

    Publicly traded companies are also gaining exposure by being included in stock indices, which brings in more money without them having to directly trade crypto.

    Following up on that, JPMorgan’s analysis also shows that Bitcoin is undervalued by about $16,000 when you compare it to gold, using models that account for volatility.

    Their report puts an implied price target for Bitcoin at roughly $126,000.

    This suggests there’s a lot of room for the price to grow as the market catches up to Bitcoin’s new stability and its growing role with institutional investors.

    Even though Bitcoin’s price has been resiliently holding above $111,000, this valuation gap means there’s still a lot of potential for it to appreciate further as more people adopt it and its volatility stays low.

    Market dynamics and future outlook

    In their analysis, JPMorgan also points to a shift in market dynamics. Passive capital, which is the money coming from index funds that buy shares in companies holding Bitcoin, is creating a steady demand.

    This helps shield Bitcoin from being driven solely by speculative trading.

    They also noted that the 200-day moving average has been a strong technical support level, which reinforces a long-term bullish outlook even with small, short-term price swings.

    Still, some indicators show that traders are keeping cautious hedging positions in the options markets. This reflects a more short-term bearish sentiment, even though the overall trend remains positive.

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