Tag: CIO

  • Bitwise CIO bats for diversified crypto investment, compares Bitcoin to Google

    Bitwise CIO bats for diversified crypto investment, compares Bitcoin to Google

    Crypto news today: Bitcoin nears all-time high; ETH, DOGE, PEPE, ATOM show bullish signs

    • Bitwise CIO makes a case for diversified crypto investment in different assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Avalanche.
    • He compares it to 2004, when Google was the leading internet company, though Netflix made the most money for investors in a 21-year period.
    • He equates Blockchain to the internet, saying the technology can be used for different purposes, like the internet.

    Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan makes the case for diversified crypto investment, even as he hails Bitcoin as an important asset. 

    Hougan said that while “Bitcoin is the king of crypto assets”, citing that it is the largest cryptocurrency, while having the most liquidity and being well known.

    He says Bitcoin is the only digital asset that has a shot at being an important global currency. He said the asset is similar to digital gold. 

    Bitwise’s CIO said that despite the important status of Bitcoin, it is wise to invest in other cryptocurrencies, making a comparison with the historical performance of internet companies. 

    Google and Netflix

    Hougan asks the investors to put themselves in 2004. 

    Google was the leading internet company then, and investors would have been tempted to put money into Google as it is the “dominant player”, Hougan said. 

    He points out that while Google has done exceptionally well in the next 21 years, gaining over 6300%, investing in other internet companies would have served investors well, as the internet is a “general purpose technology” with uses in retail, social media, and software.

    Investing in companies such as Netflix, Amazon, and Salesforce, which are leading players in other verticals of the internet, would also go on to pay huge gains for investors. 

    Netflix is the highest performing stock in this period with gains of over 50,000%. 

    Amazon and Salesforce also rack up 10,000% and 7,000% gains, respectively, leaving Google as the worst-performing stock among this group during this time. 

    Blockchain is similar to the Internet

    Hougan compares Blockchain technology to the internet, saying the former is also a general-purpose technology with different crypto assets used for different purposes. 

    “You can use a blockchain to create a better form of money (Bitcoin) or to create a programmable network for transferring real-world assets” (Ethereum, Solana, Avalanche).

    You can build new types of applications (DeFi, DePin) or middleware that services other blockchains (Chainlink). 

    You can also build traditional businesses that support the crypto economy (Coinbase, Circle, Marathon Digital)”, Hougan writes.

    Power of passive investing

    It is now a regular occurrence that passive funds are trumping actively managed funds. 

    Hougan points this trend out.

    “Over the past 20 years, actively managed US equity funds have underperformed their benchmark indexes 97% of the time”, he said. 

    It is important to invest in the big picture rather than picking winners, Hougan writes. 

    He adds that after studying history, it makes sense to own a basket of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Chainlink. 

    In the last 4 years, different crypto assets emerged as the number one performer in different years.

    Hougan demonstrates this with data. He points out that it is impossible to predict cryptocurrency winners in 2030. 



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  • Bitwise CIO: US election is going to be a speed bump or wind gust for crypto

    Bitwise CIO: US election is going to be a speed bump or wind gust for crypto

    US Dollar and Bitcoin placed together to show investment concept
    • Bitcoin’s value has risen over 400% between 2020 and 2024
    • Solana has increased in value by nearly 4,500% from $1.49 to around $166 in four years
    • This trajectory of positivity will continue beyond the 2024 US elections, according to Matt Hougan

    Bitwise’s CIO has said while Washington can alter the trajectory of the crypto market by speeding things up or slowing them down, it can’t stop it.

    In his latest client memo, Matt Hougan wrote about crypto in an election year, claiming that crypto has already won, regardless of who becomes the next President of the United States.

    Comparing the state of the crypto market from November 2020 to November 2024, Hougan questioned whether things are better or worse since the last time Americans went to the polls.

    Despite several lawsuits from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) – notably against Binance, Coinbase, Cumberland DRW, Kraken, and Ripple – the crypto industry has made significant progress.

    A four-year difference

    Looking between the two US elections, Hougan points out that Bitcoin was trading at $13,677 in November 2020. Fast-forward to November 2024 and Bitcoin is valued at around $69,492, indicating a 408% change.

    Ethereum has also seen a positive increase from its humble $388 in 2020 to its now $2,492 in the runup to the 2024 US election. However, it’s Solana that has seen a major increase in price rising nearly 11,000% from $1.49 in 2020 to around $166 in 2024.

    Turning to assets under management (AUM), Hougan shows that stablecoin AUM rose from $3.87 billion in November 2020 to $177.83 billion in November 2024, representing a near 4,500% change.

    Decentralized finance (DeFi) total value locked (TVL) also experienced a healthy boost, jumping from $9.57 billion in 2020 to $139.3 billion in 2024.

    “We focus so much in crypto on the moment-by-moment movement of prices that we often lose sight of the long-term trends,” Hougan wrote. “The presidential election provides a nice opportunity to step back and see how far we’ve come.”

    What next?

    So much has already happened in the crypto market over four years, but will that continue as the market goes beyond the 2024 US election?

    In Hougan’s view, the answer is yes. Regardless of who becomes the next POTUS, Hougan said – among other things – that spot crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) inflows will continue, stablecoins will continue to grow, Wall Street will continue to embrace tokenization and real-world assets, blockchains will get faster and cheaper, and real-world applications such as Polymarket will gain mainstream adoption.

    “What happens in Tuesday’s election matters, particularly in the short term,” said Hougan. “But as I see it, over the long term Tuesday will prove to be something between a speed bump and a wind gust. Neither is going to stop this train.”

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  • Bitwise CIO: Three things are needed for Bitcoin’s “melt-up” to $80,000 in Q4

    Bitwise CIO: Three things are needed for Bitcoin’s “melt-up” to $80,000 in Q4

    An image of golden bitcoins
    • Matt Hougan has said three factors will push Bitcoin to $80,000 by the end of 2024
    • Hougan indicated that the US election is a big deal for crypto
    • Altcoins could also help bolster the melt-up case for Bitcoin achieving new highs

    Bitwise’s CIO has indicated three things that could see Bitcoin achieving highs of $80,000 by the end of 2024.

    In a client memo, Matt Hougan said that the US election, the economy, and no negative crypto surprises are what may see a “melt-up” of Bitcoin to trade above $80,000 during the last quarter of 2024.

    At the end of 2023, Bitwise predicted that Bitcoin would reach $80,000. He also indicated that spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) will be approved.

    In his latest memo, Hougan stood by his belief that Bitcoin will reach all-time highs. Writing about the US election, the CIO stated that while a Republican win would be good for the crypto market “given the GOP’s strong and growing advocacy for the space,” the election is “more nuanced on the Democratic side.”

    He added that the Democrats have “disparate views on crypto” from Senator Elizabeth Warren’s “Anti-Crypto Army” to Representative Ritchie Torres’ deep support of the market.

    “To thrive, bitcoin doesn’t need politicians,” Hougan said. “It just needs them to get out of the way. And barring a Democratic sweep of both houses of Congress and the White House, I suspect they will, with the Democrats taking a more neutral approach to the industry.”

    Recent data shows that former US President Donald Trump leads the election against Vice President Kamala Harris on Polymarket, the decentralized prediction market platform.

    Lack of trust

    Turning to the economy, Hougan stated that the US Federal Reserve’s rate cuts by 50 basis points and China releasing two trillion yuan in economic stimulus in late September fueled the crypto rally.

    Hougan added that the market expects a further 50 basis points by the end of 2024 from the Federal Reserve and additional fiscal stimulus in China.

    Looking to his third point, Hougan indicated that a Bitcoin rally to $80,000 would be achieved if there are no major surprises, no lawsuits, and no locked coins entering the market. However, he noted that the crypto industry is full of surprises that have impacted the market.

    “Over the past few quarters, the release of previously locked-up bitcoin from failed exchange Mt. Gox and from government coffers has contributed to keeping us range-broad,” he said.

    Altcoins could help

    In Hougan’s view, aside from the three factors above, a broader rally in crypto will help seal the deal of Bitcoin reaching $80,000.

    “Bitcoin doesn’t need Ethereum, Solana, or novel altcoins for its long-term success,” he added. “But if we’re going to get a full-on melt-up in the short-term – say, a rip to $100,000 in just a few months – it would help to have a bit of pro-crypto sentiment sweep the market.”

    While he believes those crypto “animal spirits” have been in short supply during 2024, he sees them rising in areas such as stablecoins and projects including Sui, Aptos, and Monad.

    “Strong and sustained momentum in these areas would bolster the melt-up case,” Hougan said.

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