Tag: crypto

  • Crypto oversight in US tightens as CFTC and FDIC leadership near confirmation

    Crypto oversight in US tightens as CFTC and FDIC leadership near confirmation

    Crypto oversight in the US tightens focus as CFTC and FDIC leadership nears confirmation

    • Mike Selig is positioned to replace Acting Chair Caroline Pham at the CFTC if confirmed.
    • The CFTC has already expanded crypto oversight through collateral approvals and spot trading permissions.
    • Travis Hill’s confirmation would formalise his interim role at the FDIC and continue crypto-friendly banking policies.

    Crypto regulation in the United States is entering a more defined phase as Senate procedures bring key financial watchdog appointments closer to completion.

    Two agencies with direct influence over digital assets, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., are on the verge of formal leadership changes, as per a CoinDesk report.

    President Donald Trump’s nominees to chair both regulators have advanced through the Senate confirmation process, signalling a potential shift in how crypto markets and crypto-linked banking are supervised.

    While the final votes have not yet taken place, recent developments suggest that decisions are approaching, narrowing uncertainty around regulatory direction.

    Senate clears path for final votes

    The Senate moved the process forward on Thursday by approving a resolution that clears the way for final confirmation votes.

    The measure passed by a 52–47 margin and applies to a large group of nominees being considered together, reports CoinDesk.

    Mike Selig, nominated to lead the CFTC, and Travis Hill, nominated to become chairman of the FDIC, are among the names included.

    A spokeswoman for Senate Majority Whip John Barrasso said on X that the final vote is likely early next week, though the chamber remains days away from formally confirming the candidates.

    Republicans in the Senate have adopted a strategy of voting on dozens of nominations in batches rather than individually. In this round, lawmakers are deciding on 97 confirmation questions at the same time.

    Selig and Hill represent only two of those positions, but both roles carry outsized importance for the crypto sector.

    The approach has helped accelerate confirmations but has also compressed scrutiny of individual nominees.

    CFTC positions itself as crypto regulator

    Selig currently serves as a senior official at the Securities and Exchange Commission, where he has been working on crypto-related issues.

    If confirmed, he would replace Acting Chair Caroline Pham, who has guided the CFTC through a series of initiatives seen as supportive of digital asset markets.

    Under Pham’s leadership, the CFTC has positioned itself as an active player in crypto supervision, even as Congress continues to debate broader market structure legislation.

    The agency is widely expected to take a leading role in crypto oversight if lawmakers eventually pass a bill that formally assigns authority.

    Even without new legislation, the CFTC has already expanded its reach.

    It has created a CEO council to advise on policy matters, approved the use of Bitcoin BTC $92,157.53, Ether ETH $3,237.28, and USDC, along with other payment stablecoins as collateral, and allowed registered firms to offer spot crypto trading services.

    These steps have embedded crypto more deeply into regulated financial activity.

    FDIC banking stance comes into focus

    At the FDIC, Hill has already been serving as interim chief, meaning his confirmation would formalise an existing role rather than introduce new leadership, notes CoinDesk.

    During his interim tenure, Hill has pursued policies that indicate a more accommodating stance toward crypto banking.

    This includes engagement with banks that provide services to digital asset firms, an area that has previously faced uncertainty due to regulatory caution.

    Oversight framework begins to align

    Together, the pending confirmations point toward a more coordinated regulatory environment for crypto in the US.

    With leadership at both the CFTC and FDIC close to being finalised, oversight of crypto markets and crypto-related banking may soon operate under clearer and more consistent supervision.

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  • Crypto overview: Markets calm as $4.3B in BTC and ETH options expire

    Crypto overview: Markets calm as $4.3B in BTC and ETH options expire

    businessman trader analyst in glasses spectacles with notebook and thinking, on diagram background. Trading on stock exchange concept

    • Over $4.3 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options will expire today, December 12.
    • BTC trades above $92,300, with a maximum pain level at around $90,000.
    • Data shows balanced calls and puts, signaling a cautious stance among traders.

    Cryptocurrencies remained elevated on Friday as Bitcoin recovered from post-FOMC retracements.

    While most tokens trade below their key resistance zones, today’s gains brightened the mood across majors as uncertainty dominates even after the highly anticipated December 10 rate cut.

    Amidst the optimism, the primary story remained the over $4.3 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options expiring today, on December 12.

    With BTC price pinned above $92,300, analysts believe the event could shape the broader market’s trajectory as we close 2025.

    Markets steady amid balanced expiry

    Deribit revealed a curiously balanced options board, with 18,974 call contracts and 20,852 put contracts, for a combined open interest of 39,826.

    Most importantly, a 1.10 put-call ratio confirms balance, with neither side dominating the market.

    Clearly, there are no aggressive actions or euphoric calls that generally herald parabolic moves.

    Rather, traders have positioned themselves to keep price fluctuations predictable and tight.

    And that seems to work, as Bitcoin and Ethereum traded calmly as billions in notional value near a deadline.

    Deribit analysts stated:

    BTC positioning is tightly centered around the $90K level. Call and put interest sit in near balance, suggesting traders expect a contained expiry after the recent range-bound tape.

    $90,000 as the magnet

    The crypto community’s attention remained on the max pain region of $90,000 – where options bulls stand to suffer.

    Generally, whales or market movers drive prices toward max pain.

    Meanwhile, Derbit’s chart shows puts stacked massively between $75,000 and $85,000, with call interest heavy at $95,000 – $100,000.

    Thus, Bitcoin is hovering at the most balanced region of around $90,000 – $92,000.

    That indicates a calm market with no dramatic moves.

    On the other hand, Ethereum is trading at $3,250, above its $3,100 max pain level, with open interest of 237,879 comprising 130,579 put contracts and 107,282 call contracts.

    That leads to a 1.22 put-call ratio and approximately $770 notional value.

    Indeed, Bitcoin is displaying restraint despite the massive notion value (nearly $3.7 billion is linked to BTC options only).

    There’s no such thing as sudden liquidations, panicked shakeouts, or forced price gains.

    That level of calmness during high-stakes events like options expiry seems rare, leaving most market players alert.

    A market that ignores imminent pressure often waits for the next catalyst.

    What’s next?

    Options expiry weighs on crypto prices, and digital tokens often set clear directions after the event.

    The options will expire at 8 pm UTC, and traders will closely watch post-performance.

    Clearing $93,000 – $94,000 can trigger near-term recovery, with fresh calls toward the $100,000 psychological mark.

    However, losing $90,000 could mean a continued near-term struggle for Bitcoin.

    Meanwhile, traders and investors will watch signs of thin liquidity amid holiday sessions, which often intensifies moves, and year-end institutional repositioning through key indicators like ETFs.

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  • Satoshi Nakamoto statue arrives at NYSE in major crypto culture shift

    Satoshi Nakamoto statue arrives at NYSE in major crypto culture shift

    • Satoshi Nakamoto statue arrives at NYSE, marking crypto’s growing Wall Street acceptance.
    • Artwork joins global series as Bitcoin’s history and mainstream adoption gain symbolic recognition.
    • Institutional embrace of Bitcoin accelerates as public entities hold over 3.7M BTC.

    The New York Stock Exchange has become the latest home for Valentina Picozzi’s “disappearing” Satoshi Nakamoto statue, signalling how far digital assets have travelled since the time when crypto was treated as unwelcome on Wall Street.

    The arrival of the piece was announced in an X post on Wednesday, positioning the NYSE as shared ground for traditional finance and emerging decentralised systems.

    The installation also aligns with the anniversary of the Bitcoin mailing list, launched on 10 December 2008, adding symbolic weight to a moment that highlights Bitcoin’s shift from niche idea to mainstream fixture.

    NYSE installation

    The statue was brought to the NYSE by Bitcoin company Twenty One Capital, which began trading this week.

    The artwork itself is by Picozzi, who has been developing her “disappearing” Satoshi series under her Satoshigallery handle.

    The New York installation is the sixth piece in a global project she plans to expand to 21 locations.

    Her post on X described the placement at such a prominent financial centre as a milestone for the ongoing series.

    The display at the NYSE contrasts sharply with the period when crypto was considered taboo across Wall Street.

    Bitcoin’s long path

    The statue’s arrival coincides with a key date in Bitcoin’s history, falling close to the anniversary of the Bitcoin mailing list launched by Satoshi Nakamoto on 10 December 2008.

    Nakamoto mined the genesis block on 3 January 2009, creating the first 50 Bitcoins and setting the foundation for the wider industry.

    More than a year after that, on 22 May 2010, Laszlo Hanyecz made the first documented Bitcoin purchase, spending 10,000 Bitcoin to buy two Papa John’s pizzas.

    In the years that followed, the asset faced significant resistance.

    Institutions and banks kept their distance, and governments attempted to restrict crypto activity through actions widely described as part of Operation Chokepoint 2.0.

    Even high-profile sceptics in global finance dismissed the technology before eventually revising their positions.

    Institutional shift

    The landscape began to change when major financial figures, such as BlackRock’s Larry Fink, shifted from doubt to active interest.

    Wall Street institutions moved quickly, increasing participation through exchange-traded funds and direct Bitcoin purchases for corporate treasuries.

    Public companies, private companies, countries, and ETFs now hold more than 3.7 million Bitcoin collectively, according to Bitbo.

    The total value exceeds 336 billion dollars, showing how deeply Bitcoin has entered mainstream portfolios.

    Against this backdrop, the installation at the NYSE serves as a visible marker of how crypto has become integrated into financial culture instead of remaining an outsider technology.

    Global statue project

    Picozzi’s work has taken the Nakamoto figure to five other locations: Switzerland, El Salvador, Japan, Vietnam, and Miami, Florida.

    The collection is intended to reach 21 statues worldwide, a nod to Bitcoin’s capped supply of 21 million tokens.

    Her design centres on the idea of disappearance, with the figure positioned as if fading into its surroundings.

    The artwork depicts Nakamoto as a hacker in a familiar seated pose, laptop open, representing both the anonymity of Bitcoin’s creator and the programmers who built the broader ecosystem.

    The NYSE installation marks the latest step in Picozzi’s effort to trace Bitcoin’s cultural footprint through public art, linking major global locations with the technology’s origins and evolution.

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  • Silk Road crypto activity resurfaces as dormant Bitcoin wallets move again

    Silk Road crypto activity resurfaces as dormant Bitcoin wallets move again

    Silk Road crypto activity resurfaces as dormant Bitcoin wallets move again

    • Silk Road-tagged wallets sent $3.14 million in Bitcoin across 176 transfers this week.
    • The transactions are the most significant Silk Road-linked activity in five years.
    • The wallets sent funds to a new address beginning with bc1qn.

    Silk Road-linked cryptocurrency activity has resurfaced, drawing attention to long-quiet Bitcoin wallets connected to the darknet marketplace.

    The movement comes less than a year after US President Donald Trump granted a full pardon to Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht.

    While the pardon focused global attention on Ulbricht’s legal case, blockchain analysts are now tracking renewed activity that marks the highest level of transfers in years.

    The latest movement, recorded on Tuesday, is raising fresh questions about dormant coin reserves linked to the marketplace and how much Bitcoin remains undiscovered or untouched across older blockchain addresses.

    Silk Road wallets show renewed Bitcoin flows

    Silk Road-tagged wallets transferred about $3.14 million worth of Bitcoin BTC $92,626, according to Arkham. The activity involved 176 transactions, making it the most significant movement from these addresses in five years.

    Earlier this year, the same wallets carried out only three small test transactions, suggesting that substantial activity had been paused.

    The transfers this week were sent to an unknown cryptocurrency wallet with the address prefix bc1qn.

    The primary Silk Road-associated wallets still hold about $38.4 million in Bitcoin.

    The newly created address holds only the transferred $3.14 million.

    Pardon puts focus back on historic Silk Road funds

    Interest in the wallets has intensified since January, when Trump issued a full pardon to Ulbricht.

    Before the pardon, Ulbricht had been serving a double life sentence without parole for creating and operating Silk Road, which allowed anonymous trading of illicit goods using Bitcoin.

    The pardon also sparked new activity around the Free Ross campaign.

    Supporters have contributed about $270,000 in Bitcoin donations since the announcement, based on on-chain data.

    Unseized Bitcoin linked to Ulbricht gains attention

    Alongside the renewed transfers, discussions have shifted to older cryptocurrency holdings believed to be connected to Ulbricht but never seized by authorities.

    The US government previously confiscated at least $3.36 billion in Bitcoin from Silk Road, marking one of the largest recoveries in the history of digital asset enforcement.

    Yet blockchain analysts tracking historical movements have identified additional reserves that remain untouched.

    Coinbase exchange director Conor Grogan highlighted that 430 BTC, worth about $47 million, has not moved for more than 13 years.

    These tokens are held in wallets thought to be linked to Ulbricht.

    Dormant Bitcoin wallets remain a focal point

    Another Silk Road-tagged wallet likely controlled by Ulbricht contains about $8.3 million in Bitcoin.

    This wallet has seen only three small test transactions over the past 10 months and has otherwise remained inactive for 14 years, according to Arkham.

    The transfers observed this week have therefore shifted attention back to dormant Bitcoin reserves that could hold substantial amounts.

    Experts monitoring historical blockchain activity note that movements involving older darknet-linked wallets often prompt speculation about ownership, recovery efforts, or changes in operational control.

    The recent activity does not clarify why these wallets began moving again or who controls the receiving address.

    However, the timing, extended periods of inactivity, and historical significance of the addresses have made the transfers notable within the crypto community.

    As blockchain analysis tools improve and more historical data becomes searchable, renewed activity from legacy darknet sources continues to shape conversations about unseized assets and the long-term movement patterns of early Bitcoin holdings.

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  • Crypto ETFs diverge: Bitcoin suffers $60M outflows; ETH, SOL, XRP funds in green

    Crypto ETFs diverge: Bitcoin suffers $60M outflows; ETH, SOL, XRP funds in green

    Crypto ETFs updates

    • BTC ETFs recorded $60.48M withdrawals on December 8.
    • Ethereum funds extended their latest momentum with $35.49M inflows.
    • XRP and Solana ETFs ended yesterday with gains amid prevailing demand.

    The digital tokens space remains choppy ahead of the December 10 Federal Reserve decision on interest rates.

    Crypto exchange-traded funds, which have become vital in gauging institutional appetite in these risk assets, confirm the current uncertainty.

    Bitcoin ETFs suffer outflows despite IBIT’s gains

    Interest around BTC ETFs remained negative yesterday, with the products recording net outflows amounting to $60.48 million (SoSoValue data).

    The significant withdrawals came as investors reacted to the weekend’s sluggish performance across the crypto landscape.

    Bitcoin failed to break $92,000 again, currently trading at $90,150.

    However, Monday was not gloomy for all BTC ETF issuers.

    BlackRock proved its resilience and dominance as its IBIT attracted $28.76 million in inflows.

    While funds like Graycale’s GBT (-44.03M) and Fidelity’s FBTC (-39.44M) saw substantial withdrawals on December 8, IBIT’s steadiness indicates that profit taking, not a shift in interest, likely triggered the mixed flows into Bitcoin.

    Ethereum ETFs flip positive

    While Bitcoin bled on December 8, Ethereum exchange-traded funds turned positive with $35.5 million inflows.

    Notably, the funds recorded substantial exits in the previous two sessions, on December 4 (-41.5M) and December 5 (-75.2M).

    Indeed, Ethereum has been on the investor radar lately following its Fusaka upgrade, which targets enhanced speed, scalability, and lower costs for Ether-based Layer 2 platforms.

    Moreover, the inflows indicate that investors are viewing Ethereum as a legitimate token for portfolio diversification beyond Bitcoin.

    Indeed, the second-largest crypto by value is experiencing renewed interest from institutional participants.

    For example, BlackRock is seeking the SEC’s authorization for a new staked Ether trust ETF – the ETHB.

    The proposed product differs from BlackRock’s popular ETHA trust in that the staking Ether trust will track Ethereum’s performance and include incentives gained from the trust’s staked Ether.

    ETH is trading at $3,124 after gaining more than 10% the past seven days.

    Solana ETFs see steady demand

    Solana spot products closed the previous day with $1.2 million inflows.

    While the figure remains modest, it reflects consistent demand for SOL ETFs.

    Monday’s inflows have extended their winning streak to three days, demonstrating appetite for these products despite broader turmoil.

    Solana exchange-traded funds have attracted roughly $639 million since their late October debut.

    Meanwhile, SOL price is hovering at $133, down 2% the past 24 hours.

    XRP ETFs steal the show

    Ripple’s crypto asset stood out on December 8, with a net inflow of $38.04 million, eclipsing peers for the day.

    Grayscale led as its GXRP drew over $810K in fresh capital on Monday.

    Also, Canary, Bitwise, and Franklin’s XRP exchange-traded funds recorded notable daily gains.

    Regulatory clarity and XRP’s unique utility in cross-border transactions have elevated the altcoin’s appeal among institutional investors.

    Nevertheless, the December 8 ETF performance sends a clear message.

    Investors are now diversifying into other cryptos beyond Bitcoin.

    Altcoin ETFs are gaining traction for their added advantages, as the crypto industry gains increased acceptance in mainstream finance.

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  • Argentina moves to reshape crypto rules as banks prepare for Bitcoin services

    Argentina moves to reshape crypto rules as banks prepare for Bitcoin services

    Argentina moves to reshape crypto rules as banks prepare for Bitcoin services

    • A new framework would allow trading, custody, and approved coins.
    • Banks must follow strict KYC, AML, and CNV regulations.
    • High inflation has pushed people toward Bitcoin and stablecoins.

    Argentina is preparing for a major shift in how its financial system treats digital assets, with regulators working on a plan that could allow banks to offer Bitcoin and other crypto services for the first time in three years.

    The move marks a notable shift for a country where crypto has become a day-to-day tool for people trying to manage inflation, and it signals a wider effort to bring informal crypto activity into regulated channels.

    The change remains under review, but internal planning shows that Argentina wants its banking system to play a formal role in crypto access, custody, and compliance.

    Banks and crypto rules evolve

    Argentina’s central bank, the Banco Central de la República Argentina, has restricted banks from handling crypto since May 2022.

    The regulation was designed to contain financial risks and prevent money-laundering activity during a period of economic instability.

    The policy now sits at the centre of a broader reassessment of how digital assets fit into a financial system that is struggling with persistent inflation and rising demand for stable alternatives.

    Since December 2023, the arrival of President Javier Milei has reshaped the conversation.

    His administration has promoted financial freedom, arguing that people should be able to choose different forms of money, including Bitcoin.

    This shift has influenced how regulators approach the current ban and has accelerated work on a new framework.

    New framework plans grow

    Reports indicate that the central bank is developing a system that would permit banks to integrate crypto into their services.

    The plan includes trading access, custody options, and a list of approved coins, limited to assets such as BTC, ETH, USDC, USDT, and XRP.

    Banks would need to comply with strict rules under the CNV, follow enhanced KYC and AML procedures, and operate crypto activities through legally separate units with additional capital, security, and liquidity requirements.

    The approach represents a transition from prohibition to controlled participation.

    Argentina would be one of the first inflation-hit economies to regulate crypto within mainstream banking rather than leaving it to informal platforms.

    The change also aims to reduce regulatory gaps and improve transparency across transactions that citizens already rely on to protect their savings.

    Inflation pressures fuel demand

    Crypto adoption has grown rapidly in Argentina over the past three years as households look for ways to preserve value.

    With inflation reaching 1,427% in 2023 and still rising more than 2% each month, people have turned to Bitcoin and dollar-linked stablecoins to manage daily expenses, store money, and avoid exposure to the peso’s depreciation.

    Regulators now want this activity to operate under formal safeguards.

    Allowing banks to support crypto services would offer a safer environment, limit the use of unregulated exchanges, and help authorities strengthen financial monitoring.

    It would also create a more structured relationship between digital assets and traditional banks during a period of economic stress.

    Timeline points to 2026

    Although approval is not final, experts suggest that the updated rules could be ready around April 2026. Work on the technical structure is already underway.

    If the proposal moves forward, Argentina could become a key example of how a country facing extreme inflation integrates crypto into conventional financial channels.

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  • Crypto market mixed as Bitcoin tests $93K, Ethereum and XRP hit major resistance

    Crypto market mixed as Bitcoin tests $93K, Ethereum and XRP hit major resistance

    Bitcoin Price Bearish

    • Bitcoin price rose to near $93,000 on Friday before sell-off pressure resumed.
    • Ethereum and XRP also climbed but faced key hurdles around $3,000 and $2.25.
    • Sentiment remains downbeat across the crypto market despite notable gains for a few top altcoins.

    The cryptocurrency market continued to witness a mixed outing on Friday, with Bitcoin retesting the $92,500 mark while Ethereum and XRP both broke to key resistance areas.

    While gains indicated renewed investor optimism amid broader economic uncertainties, the swift retreat to below $91k for BTC highlights the fragile market sentiment.

    Also, while Sky, Monero and Bitcoin Cash gained, Zcash, Dash and Aptos led the top losers in the leading 100 coins by market cap.

    Bitcoin breaks to highs near $93k

    Bitcoin’s price marked a decisive breach of the $92,500 resistance level by rising to near $93,000.

    On Friday, the benchmark asset hit highs of $92,969 across major exchanges. However, the level has proved a robust barrier that means the quest to break higher towards the psychological $100 mark continues to evade bulls.

    QCP Group analysts shared the short-term Bitcoin price outlook via an X post. They see mid-$90k levels as key supply wall zones, while major support remains in the $82k-$80k area.

    “Options markets show caution even as year-end BTC call open interest stays heavy. Skew, IV and sentiment have softened, reinforcing a rangebound profile. Supply likely caps moves toward mid-90Ks, while support sits near 80–82K, leaving macro catalysts firmly in control of direction.”

    Despite the dip to below $91k as of writing, BTC’s gains earlier in the day allowed layer-1 and layer-2 solutions on the Bitcoin network to post gains.

    As noted, BounceBit and Stacks were among the Bitcoin ecosystem tokens to see an uptick.

    But as prices have dipped again, rather than bounce higher, this latest move could be a dead cat bounce.

    ETH and XRP face resistance

    Like Bitcoin, Ethereum has struggled to sustain momentum. Recently, the top altcoin fell to lows of $2,600 after closing above $4,000 in late October. The breach of the $3,000 level threatened more pain for bulls.

    However, after testing the demand reload zone, the ETH price has jumped back to the resistance area above $3,000.

    That’s despite a 25% dip over the past month.

    While prices are nearly 9% up in the past week, ETH’s inability to break higher reflects broader altcoin fatigue. Bitcoin’s drop to $90,504 at the time of writing suggests a potential downward cascade for ETH.

    XRP has fared similarly, trading at $2.18 amid a 1.4% dip in the past 24 hours.

    The token faces formidable overhead resistance at $2.25 and at $2.50. Per market data, the latter marks a level at which bulls have struggled since the crash on Oct. 10,2025.

    The launch of spot XRP ETFs in recent days has failed to help bulls break higher.

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  • Japan stimulus shakes global markets as yen sinks and crypto demand rises

    Japan stimulus shakes global markets as yen sinks and crypto demand rises

    Japan stimulus shakes global markets as yen sinks and crypto demand rises

    • Japan’s 40-year bond yield rose to 3.774% on Thursday.
    • Five-year CDS spreads reached 21.73 basis points on 20 November.
    • GDP contracted in Q3 2025 and inflation reached 3% in October.

    Japan’s new stimulus package is setting off sharp reactions across global markets, with the yen sliding to its weakest point against the US dollar since January 2025 and long-term bond yields rising to record levels.

    The cabinet approved a 21.3 trillion yen package on Friday, the largest since the COVID-19 period, and the announcement immediately shifted expectations in currency, bond, and crypto markets.

    The scale of the support and the pressure on Japan’s finances are now pushing investors to reconsider how they assess global risk, particularly as liquidity conditions evolve.

    Economic reset

    The package focuses on easing price pressures, supporting growth, and strengthening defence and diplomatic capacity.

    Local government grants and energy subsidies form a key part of the plan, and households are expected to receive around 7,000 yen in benefits over three months.

    The government also aims to lift defence spending to 2% of GDP by 2027.

    The supplementary budget is expected to pass before the end of the year, although the ruling coalition currently holds only 231 of 465 Lower House seats.

    The support comes during a period of weakening growth.

    Japan’s GDP fell 0.4% in the third quarter of 2025, equal to a 1.8% annualised contraction.

    Inflation has remained above the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for 43 months and reached 3% in October 2025.

    Policymakers expect the new measures to lift real GDP by 24 trillion yen and generate a total economic impact near 265 billion dollars.

    Rising market pressure

    The fiscal boost has intensified concerns about long-term debt sustainability and market stress.

    Five-year credit default swaps on Japanese government bonds reached 21.73 basis points on 20 November, the highest level in six months.

    The country’s 40-year bond yield rose to 3.697% immediately after the announcement and climbed further to 3.774% on Thursday.

    Every 100-basis-point increase in yields raises annual government financing costs by about 2.8 trillion yen, which has drawn attention to the strain on public finances over time.

    Nikkei reports lingering caution about the continued use of fiscal stimulus beyond emergencies, adding another layer to investor concerns.

    This debate has become more relevant as the yield curve shifts and Japan’s borrowing costs rise.

    These movements are also important for the 20 trillion dollar yen-carry trade. Investors typically borrow yen at low rates and invest in higher-yielding markets overseas.

    A mix of higher yields and sudden currency moves can force unwinding.

    Historical data show a 0.55 correlation between yen-carry trade reversals and S&P 500 declines, which adds another source of volatility.

    Yen reaction

    The yen dropped sharply after the stimulus announcement, prompting speculation about future currency stability and the potential for intervention.

    October exports rose 3.6% year on year, but the increase was not enough to ease concerns about broader economic pressure.

    The scale of fiscal support and the persistence of inflation have become central factors in how global markets interpret Japan’s next steps.

    Crypto shift

    These conditions are feeding directly into crypto markets.

    A weaker yen tends to drive Japanese investors toward alternative assets, including Bitcoin, especially during periods of rising liquidity.

    Experts have noted that Japan’s decision adds to a global environment that already includes potential US Federal Reserve easing, Treasury cash movements, and continued liquidity support from China.

    Together, these factors are creating conditions that could lift crypto demand into 2026.

    At the same time, higher long-term yields pose a risk.

    If yen-carry trades unwind quickly, institutions may be forced to sell assets, including Bitcoin, to meet liquidity needs.

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  • Bitcoin slides below $90K as crypto correction becomes one of the worst since 2017

    Bitcoin slides below $90K as crypto correction becomes one of the worst since 2017

    Bitcoin sinks below $90K as a sharp 43-day selloff wipes out 2025 gains, driven by liquidations, ETF outflows, and rising fear.

    • Bitcoin plunges below $90K, erasing all gains for 2025.
    • ETF outflows and leverage-driven liquidations deepen the selloff.
    • Sentiment hits “Extreme Fear” as crypto markets shed over $1T.

    Bitcoin crashed below $90,000 on Wednesday, marking a devastating 28% decline from its early October peak above $126,000.

    The plunge has erased all of crypto’s 2025 gains and pushed the largest cryptocurrency into bear market territory.

    Ethereum tumbled 6% to below $3,000, while the broader crypto market saw roughly $1.2 trillion in value evaporate over recent weeks.

    Analysts say this 43-day drawdown now ranks among the steepest corrections since 2017, with forced liquidations and ETF outflows accelerating the selloff.

    The unwind feels sudden, given that Bitcoin looked unstoppable just six weeks ago.​

    What makes this collapse particularly brutal is how thoroughly it dismantles the bull narrative. Trump was supposed to be the “crypto president.”

    The spot Bitcoin ETF was supposed to unlock institutional buying. Instead, Bitcoin is negative for 2025, down 2% after climbing as high as +35% in October.

    Investors who chased breakouts above $120,000 are now underwater. That kind of momentum reversal breeds panic and forces margin calls.​

    The liquidation cascade: Why leverage turned this into a bloodbath

    The mechanics of the crash tell you everything. K33 Research’s Vetle Lunde noted that “steady outflows from ETFs have also added fuel to the selloff.”

    US spot Bitcoin ETFs shed nearly $2.3 billion over five consecutive sessions. That’s redemptions from big institutions that are simply walking away. When the largest buyers start selling, smaller traders follow in a herd stampede.​

    The real damage comes from leverage. The government shutdown eliminated key economic data, creating a data vacuum.

    Without employment numbers and inflation prints, the Fed’s December rate-cut decision became genuinely uncertain. Suddenly, the “rate cuts will save crypto” thesis evaporated.

    Leveraged long positions got liquidated in cascading forced sales. When Bitcoin swept below the average cost basis of spot Bitcoin ETFs, algorithmic selling kicked in.​

    Sentiment has completely inverted. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index remains pinned at “Extreme Fear,” the lowest it has been.

    Retail investors who bought near $125,000 are watching unrealized losses mount. Long-term holders haven’t capitulated yet, but the on-chain data is starting to show cracks.​

    Where does Bitcoin bottom? Analysts map out ugly scenarios

    Lunde’s base-case scenario puts support between $84,000 and $86,000, but that’s if this correction mirrors recent downturns.

    If it gets worse, if it mirrors the two deepest corrections in the past two years, Bitcoin could revisit April’s lows near $74,000, where MicroStrategy’s average entry sits.​

    The truly bearish case opens the door to an 80% drawdown from recent highs. That would put Bitcoin in the $20,000–$25,000 zone, but analysts say that needs a full credit crisis to materialize.

    Right now, stocks are holding up. Risk assets aren’t in freefall. That limits how low crypto can go without broader carnage.​

    For now, Bitcoin is stuck between competing forces. Long-term holders are accumulating at these levels. Institutions aren’t panicking enough to dump entirely.

    But neither are they buying aggressively. Without a macro catalyst, a Fed pivot, tariff relief, or genuine AI-driven productivity gains, Bitcoin likely stays volatile and sloppy until early 2026.

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  • Bitcoin ATMs appear in Nairobi malls as Kenya’s new crypto law faces early compliance test

    Bitcoin ATMs appear in Nairobi malls as Kenya’s new crypto law faces early compliance test

    Bitcoin ATMs appear in Nairobi malls as Kenya’s new crypto law faces early compliance test

    • They appeared soon after the Virtual Assets Service Providers Act of 2025 took effect.
    • CoinATMradar currently lists two Bitcoin ATMs in Kenya.
    • The Central Bank of Kenya and the Capital Markets Authority say no VASP is licensed yet.

    Bitcoin ATMs have surfaced across major shopping malls in Nairobi, only days after Kenya activated its first comprehensive crypto law, creating an unexpected test for regulators who have not yet authorised any crypto provider to operate.

    The machines, branded Bankless Bitcoin, appeared beside traditional bank kiosks and offered cash to crypto services to shoppers.

    Their arrival coincides with the early phase of Kenya’s Virtual Assets Service Providers Act of 2025, which came into effect on 4 November and set the first formal rules for crypto businesses.

    Gaps in licensing

    Local outlet Capital News confirmed that multiple malls in Nairobi had new machines installed, expanding beyond earlier attempts to introduce crypto ATMs in Kenya.

    In 2018, The East African reported that BitClub deployed Bitcoin ATMs in the city, although the machines never reached mainstream retail spaces and adoption remained limited.

    Kenya currently has two reported Bitcoin ATMs, making the latest installations notable for their placement in high-traffic commercial environments.

    Regulators signal caution

    The new law assigns oversight responsibilities to two regulators. The Central Bank of Kenya will handle payment and custody functions, while the Capital Markets Authority will regulate investment and trading activity.

    However, the regulations required to begin licensing crypto firms have not yet been issued.

    In a joint notice released on Tuesday, the Central Bank of Kenya and the Capital Markets Authority stated that they have not licensed any VASP to operate in or from Kenya under the new Act.

    They also warned that companies claiming authorisation are doing so without approval.

    The National Treasury is developing the regulatory framework that will decide when licensing can begin, placing operators in a temporary environment where the law exists but permissions do not.

    This creates a visible gap. Bitcoin ATMs are entering public spaces even as regulators tell the public that no provider has met the requirements laid out in the law.

    The contrast places pressure on authorities to clarify enforcement and could shape how crypto firms approach compliance in the near term.

    Informal use grows

    The spread of Bitcoin ATMs into high end malls highlights Kenya’s evolving crypto landscape.

    Capital News reported that Bitcoin usage has long been active in lower income neighbourhoods such as Kibera, where residents use BTC as a form of banking in areas with limited access to formal financial services.

    People have relied on crypto to store value without extensive documentation or traditional banking infrastructure.

    The shift from informal areas to upscale malls suggests that consumer interest is expanding even while regulatory conditions remain unsettled.

    The coexistence of visible infrastructure and incomplete licensing rules places Kenya at an early crossroads as it moves from a largely informal crypto market to a regulated one.

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