Tag: derivatives

  • Kraken expands regulated derivatives in Europe with Bitcoin and Ethereum collateral

    Kraken expands regulated derivatives in Europe with Bitcoin and Ethereum collateral

    Kraken expands regulated derivatives in Europe with Bitcoin and Ethereum collateral

    • The feature applies to more than 150 perpetual futures markets available to European users.
    • The exchange operates under MiCA and MiFID II regulations, with oversight from Ireland and Cyprus.
    • Kraken’s third-quarter revenue rose by 50% to $648 million following its acquisition of NinjaTrader.

    Kraken has expanded its regulated derivatives offering in the European Union, allowing traders to use Bitcoin, Ethereum, and approved stablecoins as collateral for perpetual futures on Kraken Pro.

    Announced on 3 November, the move makes Kraken one of the first licensed exchanges in Europe to support crypto-collateralised derivatives under the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework.

    The feature strengthens Kraken’s position in Europe’s digital asset market by combining capital efficiency with regulatory compliance.

    By allowing clients to post crypto assets instead of converting them into fiat, the exchange provides faster access to liquidity while remaining under strict oversight from European regulators.

    Crypto as margin on Kraken Pro

    European traders can now use Bitcoin, Ethereum, or select stablecoins as margin across more than 150 perpetual futures markets.

    Collateral is converted to USD for liquidation and margin calculations, standardising risk management while maintaining crypto exposure.

    Kraken’s operations are covered by its MiCA licence from the Central Bank of Ireland and supervision by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission.

    The exchange uses volatility-based margin haircuts to manage exposure to price swings. All custody arrangements comply with the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive II (MiFID II), ensuring full investor protection under European law.

    The feature allows traders to access up to 10x leverage using crypto collateral. It reflects Kraken’s ongoing strategy to align its trading products with Europe’s unified digital asset rules ahead of MiCA’s full rollout in 2025.

    A shift in EU derivatives

    Kraken’s expansion comes at a time when Europe is tightening oversight of crypto products while promoting innovation through consistent regulation.

    By offering crypto-collateralised futures under direct supervision, the exchange positions itself at the forefront of compliant derivatives trading in the EU.

    The integration benefits institutional and retail traders seeking efficient and legally sound ways to trade leveraged crypto products.

    Hedge funds and corporate treasuries can now operate within clear regulatory limits, signalling the increasing maturity of Europe’s digital derivatives market.

    This move also strengthens the region’s financial infrastructure. Transparent liquidation procedures and regulated custody standards align digital assets with traditional financial norms, helping reduce risk and improve trust.

    As other licensed exchanges follow Kraken’s lead, the EU could become a global hub for compliant digital asset trading.

    Growth supports expansion

    The announcement follows a strong financial quarter for Kraken. The exchange reported revenue of $648 million in the third quarter, a 50% rise from the previous quarter.

    The increase was driven by higher trading volumes and new product integrations following the acquisition of NinjaTrader, a futures and forex trading platform.

    This momentum underlines Kraken’s ability to grow while maintaining regulatory standards. By embedding compliance into its strategy, the company is building credibility and scale in an increasingly regulated environment.

    As MiCA rules continue to take effect, exchanges that prioritise both innovation and compliance are expected to capture greater institutional interest.

    Kraken’s integration of crypto collateral into a regulated derivatives framework demonstrates how digital assets can function securely within Europe’s financial system.

    The development marks a shift from speculative trading to a more structured market, where transparency and protection guide participation.

    For the European Union, this represents progress toward establishing a regulated, sustainable, and globally competitive digital asset economy.

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  • Ethereum price prediction: ETH derivatives data shows weak momentum

    Ethereum price prediction: ETH derivatives data shows weak momentum

    Ethereum price prediction

    • ETH derivatives show weak momentum despite strong ETF inflows.
    • Ethereum’s network activity and TVL continue to decline.
    • Technical analysis hints at long-term upside, but traders stay cautious.

    Ethereum (ETH) has seen a strong price surge in recent weeks, gaining more than 54% over the past month and trading at around $3,755 at press time.

    However, despite this rally and strong spot ETF inflows, derivatives market data paints a very different picture, casting doubt on whether Ethereum can break through the psychologically significant $4,000 level any time soon.

    In essence, the disconnect between bullish institutional inflows and weak derivatives metrics raises several questions for market participants.

    Is Ethereum’s recent rally sustainable, or is it merely a reflection of speculative optimism driven by ETF hype?

    Furthermore, are investors losing confidence in Ethereum’s network fundamentals amid rising competition from rival blockchains?

    Derivatives market tells a cautious tale

    While Ethereum’s spot market has been energised by inflows into exchange-traded funds, futures data shows traders are hesitant to commit to leveraged bullish positions.

    As of Thursday, the annualised funding rate for ETH perpetual futures had fallen back to 9%, down from 19% earlier in the week, with the ETH OI-weighted funding rate dropping to 0.0043% from 0.0163% on July 21.

    ETH OI-weighted funding rate

    This suggests waning demand for long positions, even after a near 46% gain in ETH price since early July.

    This behaviour is unusual. Historically, rising prices coincide with stronger futures premiums, yet the current trend indicates hesitation.

    The 3-month ETH futures premium has also softened slightly to 6%, down from 8% just days ago.

    While this still sits within a neutral range, it reveals a reluctance among whales and market makers to bet aggressively on further price appreciation in the near term.

    Ethereum network weakness frustrates investors

    The cautious tone in derivatives is likely being fueled by stagnant on-chain activity.

    Ethereum’s total value locked (TVL) dropped to a five-month low of 23.4 million ETH, falling 11% in just 30 days.

    That sharp decline comes despite ETH’s rising dollar value and highlights a significant reduction in the volume of assets being deployed within the ecosystem.

    In contrast, Solana’s TVL only fell 4% during the same period, while BNB Chain’s TVL rose 15% in native token terms.

    These shifts show that competing platforms are either maintaining or growing their utility at a time when Ethereum’s activity appears to be plateauing.

    Even more concerning is Ethereum’s decline in dominance among decentralised exchange (DEX) volumes.

    According to DefiLlama, Ethereum recorded $81.32 billion in DEX activity over the past month.

    Solana surpassed that with $82.9 billion, while BNB Chain led with a staggering $189.2 billion.

    These figures highlight that Ethereum is no longer the go-to platform for certain core DeFi activities.

    Technical analysis signals a mixed ETH price outlook

    Despite lukewarm derivative activity, technical analysts remain divided on Ethereum’s future trajectory.

    Popular investor Ivan On Tech has pointed to a symmetrical triangle pattern that could lead to a breakout toward $7,709, more than double the current price.

    Meanwhile, another analyst, Mikycrypto Bull, has identified a long-term ascending triangle formation dating back five years, which could theoretically launch ETH as high as $16,700.

    Adding to the bullish sentiment is a recent MACD crossover on the monthly chart, a signal that has preceded major rallies in previous cycles.

    However, while long-term technicals hint at explosive potential, short-term forecasts are more cautious.

    ETH must first break through $4,100 and hold above $3,700 to sustain its upward momentum.

    Corporate confidence grows amid market doubts

    Institutional and corporate adoption of Ethereum continues to grow.

    Firms such as SharpLink Gaming and World Liberty Financial have accumulated substantial ETH reserves in recent months.

    SharpLink now holds over 438,000 ETH and actively stakes its assets to generate passive income.

    World Liberty Financial has acquired over 77,000 ETH, with recent purchases near $3,294 per coin.

    These moves suggest that some institutions are positioning Ethereum as a long-term strategic asset.

    Their investments reflect confidence in Ethereum’s evolving role as foundational infrastructure for decentralised applications and finance.



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  • Ether outperforms Bitcoin in May; ETH derivatives volume surpasses BTC on OKX

    Ether outperforms Bitcoin in May; ETH derivatives volume surpasses BTC on OKX

    Ether outperforms Bitcoin in May; ETH derivatives volume surpasses BTC on OKX

    • Ether (ETH) at $2,770, up nearly 11% this month, outperforming Bitcoin’s (BTC) 5% rise.
    • ETH (45.2%) now overshadows BTC (38.1%) in trading volume on OKX’s perpetual futures market.
    • Despite BTC volatility, institutions are “buying the dips,” with long-term holder supply growing, per Glassnode.

    As Asian markets kicked off their Thursday trading, Ether (ETH) was changing hands at $2,770, having demonstrated robust performance throughout the month.

    This strength, particularly in derivatives markets where it’s reportedly overshadowing Bitcoin (BTC), signals a growing institutional appetite for Ethereum’s structural growth potential and its pivotal role in bridging decentralized finance (DeFi) with traditional finance (TradFi).

    Meanwhile, the broader crypto landscape is seeing a significant surge in stablecoin activity, with Tron emerging as a key beneficiary.

    Ether has notably outperformed Bitcoin this month, with CoinDesk market data showing an almost 11% rise for ETH compared to BTC’s 5% gain.

    This divergence is partly attributed to increasing institutional trading demand for Ethereum. Lennix Lai, Chief Commercial Officer at crypto exchange OKX, told CoinDesk in an interview that sophisticated investors are increasingly betting on ETH, a trend evident in its derivatives market activity.

    “Ethereum is overshadowing BTC on our perpetual futures market, with ETH accounting for 45.2% of trading volume over the past week. BTC, by comparison, sits at 38.1%,” Lai revealed.

    This finding aligns with similar trends observed on other major derivatives platforms like Deribit, as CoinDesk recently reported, suggesting a significant shift in how institutional players are allocating capital within the crypto space.

    This isn’t to say that institutional interest in Bitcoin has waned. A recent report from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode indicates that despite Bitcoin’s recent price volatility, institutions have been actively “buying the dips.”

    Glassnode’s analysis showed that long-term holders (LTHs) realized over $930 million in profits per day during recent BTC rallies, a distribution level rivaling those seen at previous market cycle peaks.

    Remarkably, instead of triggering a broader sell-off, the supply held by these LTHs actually grew.

    “This dynamic highlights that maturation and accumulation pressures are outweighing distribution behavior,” Glassnode analysts wrote, noting that this is “highly atypical for late-stage bull markets.”

    Despite these underlying strengths, both leading cryptocurrencies remain susceptible to geopolitical risks and unpredictable “black swan” events, such as the recent public dispute between US President Donald Trump and tech billionaire Elon Musk.

    Such episodes serve as stark reminders that market sentiment can shift rapidly, even within structurally strong markets.

    However, beneath this surface-level volatility, institutional conviction appears to remain intact.

    Ethereum is increasingly being viewed as the preferred vehicle for accessing regulated DeFi opportunities, while Bitcoin continues to benefit from long-term accumulation by institutions, often via Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).

    “Macro uncertainties remain, but $3,000 ETH looks increasingly likely,” Lai concluded, offering a bullish outlook for Ethereum’s near-term price potential.

    Stablecoin surge: liquidity pours in, Tron leads the charge

    The stablecoin market is experiencing a significant boom, recently hitting an all-time high market capitalization of $228 billion, marking a 17% increase year-to-date, according to a new report from CryptoQuant.

    This surge in dollar-pegged liquidity is being driven by renewed investor confidence, buoyed by factors such as the blockbuster Initial Public Offering (IPO) of stablecoin issuer Circle, rising yields in DeFi protocols, and improving regulatory clarity in the US This influx of capital is quietly redrawing the map of where liquidity resides on-chain.

    “The amount of stablecoins on centralized exchanges has also reached record high levels, supporting crypto trading liquidity,” CryptoQuant reported.

    Their data indicates that the total value of ERC20 stablecoins (those built on Ethereum) on centralized exchanges has climbed to a record $50 billion.

    Interestingly, most of this growth in exchange stablecoin reserves has been a result of the increase in USDC reserves on these platforms, which have grown by 1.6 times so far in 2025 to reach $8 billion.

    When it comes to the blockchain protocols benefiting most from these stablecoin inflows, Tron has emerged as the clear leader.

    Tron’s combination of fast transaction finality and deep integrations with major stablecoin issuers like Tether is credited with making it a “liquidity magnet.”

    Presto Research, in a recently released report echoing these findings, noted that Tron notched over $6 billion in net stablecoin inflows in May alone.

    This figure topped all other chains and positioned Tron with the second-highest number of daily active users, just behind Solana.

    Tron was also the top performer in terms of native total value locked (TVL) growth.

    In contrast, both Ethereum and Solana experienced significant stablecoin outflows and losses in bridge volume during the same period, according to Presto’s data.

    This suggests a potential lack of new yield opportunities or major protocol upgrades attractive enough to retain or draw in fresh stablecoin capital on those networks.

    Presto’s data confirms a broader trend: institutional and retail capital alike are increasingly rotating towards alternative Layer 1 and Layer 2 solutions like Base, Solana (despite recent outflows, it still attracts users), and Tron.

    The common denominators among these favored chains appear to be faster execution speeds, more dynamic and evolving ecosystems, and, in some cases, more substantial incentive programs.

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