Tag: economic

  • Weekly price analysis: prices range on uncertain economic outlook

    Weekly price analysis: prices range on uncertain economic outlook

    • Crypto prices traded within a range last week as crypto takes is relegated to the back burner in the wake of economic uncertainties
    • Exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows were negative as Bitcoin ETFs logged net outflows of $62.9 million while Ethereum ETFs logged $8.9 million in outflows

    Bitcoin

    Bitcoin’s price action continued trading rangebound, with weekly highs and lows of $99,509 and $93,331, as uncertainty looms around inflation, US President Donald Trump’s policies, and geopolitical events.

    Zooming out, we see that price action has ranged at the daily support level for the last three weeks as current market conditions lack sufficient catalyst to push prices to new highs.

    BTC/USD chart by TradingView

    Open interest mimics price action as the week began with a reduction in the volume of open contracts which picked up on Wednesday, February 19, congruent with price action.

    CME BTC Futures Open Interest (USD) chart by Coinglass

    Outlook

    Bitcoin must remain above the daily support of $90,673 to remain in bullish territory. A close below this level on the daily time frame could trigger a fall to the $84,000 level.

    Meanwhile, market sentiment has cooled significantly over the last month and is in neutral territory.

    Bitcoin trades at $87,900 as of publishing.

    Ethereum

    Ethereum’s price action ranged last week logging a weekly high and low of $2,848 and $2,604 despite last week’s news of the Bybit hack.

    ETH/USD chart by TradingView

    Zooming out, we see a bleaker picture as ETH has been trending lower since December 09 after failing to break above its March 2024 high.

    ETH/USD chart by TradingView

    Open interest data shows a steady rise in contract volume throughout the week though price traded rangebound.

    Binance ETH Futures Open Interest (USD) chart by Coinglass

    Outlook

    We reckon the next major support zone for ETH is the $2,500 level which has proven to be a strong liquidity level in the past.

    ETH/USD chart by TradingView

    ETH trades at $2,384 as of publishing.

    Solana

    Like Ethereum, Solana’s price has been declining since it failed to swing higher and form new candles above the last all-time high on the daily time frame.

    SOL/USD chart by TradingView

    Unlike Ethereum, last week’s price action was bearish as the price fell from a weekly open around $194 to a close around $171.

    SOL/USD chart by TradingView

    Open interest charts show topsy-turvy movement in open contract volumes as the price falls.

    Binance SOL Futures Open Interest (USD) chart by Coinglass

    Outlook

    The next major support zone for Solana is at the $129 level. However, we may see smaller rallies as price trends lower overall.

    SOL/USD chart by TradingView

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  • Bitcoin price analysis: economic headwinds push price lower

    Bitcoin price analysis: economic headwinds push price lower

    • Bitcoin tested the $92,000 level yesterday after falling from a weekly high of $102,000 as sell pressures mounted
    • Macroeconomic factors cause doubts about the market strength as sticky inflation becomes a concern
    • Spot crypto ETFs logged large outflows on Wednesday following the release of the Fed meeting notes

    Bitcoin’s price has fallen from a high of $102,667 reached on Tuesday, January 7 to $94,890.00 as of publishing, but remains within the last H4 demand zone.

    BTC/USD Chart by Trading View

    While the demand zone between $92,000 and $97,000 may be the last support level on the H4 timeframe, a broader market view shows that BTC is in a premium zone on the daily timeframe. As a result, a push below $92,000 still puts the price in bullish territory.

    BTC/USD Chart by TradingView

    The best technical buy levels would either be at the last break of structure on the daily timeframe or at the 50% Fibonacci level from the lowest point to the break.

    BTC/USD Chart by TradingView

    There are two fair value gaps from which the price could react. While they are not major zones, they could support a continuation back to the external high at $108,000 or a brief relief rally before continued sell to the first probable support zone as noted in a recent TradingView analysis of BTC.

    BTC/USD Chart by TradingView

    This is all predicated on Bitcoin breaking below the $91,000 level.

    Meanwhile, spot crypto ETFs recorded outflows on Wednesday, January 9 after the release of the US Federal Reserve’s meeting minutes. These showed that the Fed is cautious about inflation and the effects of Trump’s incoming policies.

    BTC ETFs bled $568.8 million on Wednesday while ETH ETFs lost $159.4 million with the biggest outflows from Fidelity ($258.7 million for BTC and $147.7 million for ETH).

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