bitcoinlfg

Tag: ETF

  • Glassnode report reveals Bitcoin’s growing stability amid ETF activity and RWA expansion

    Glassnode report reveals Bitcoin’s growing stability amid ETF activity and RWA expansion

    Glassnode report reveals Bitcoin’s growing stability amid ETF activity and RWA expansion

    • Bitcoin’s 2025 cycle shows rising institutional flows, lower volatility, and deeper liquidity.
    • Tokenized real-world assets surge to $24 billion, boosting institutional adoption and on-chain activity.
    • ETFs reshape Bitcoin liquidity as stablecoins remain key rails in a more mature digital asset market.

    Bitcoin’s latest cycle is developing under a very different market structure, with data from Glassnode and Fasanara Capital pointing to deeper institutional participation, rapid growth in tokenized real-world assets, and a notable drop in volatility.

    Their Q4 Digital Assets Report highlights how Bitcoin’s behaviour has shifted as regulated investment channels expand, and liquidity becomes more stable across spot, derivatives, and on-chain markets.

    The findings show how ETF flows, settlement activity, and broader adoption of tokenised instruments are shaping a more mature phase in the digital asset ecosystem.

    These structural changes are defining how capital moves through Bitcoin in 2025.

    Institutional flows reshape the cycle

    The report estimated that Bitcoin has absorbed around $732 billion in new capital during this cycle.

    This has occurred alongside a clear decline in one-year realised volatility, which has fallen by nearly half.

    Glassnode linked this trend to increased depth across major markets and a larger share of trading driven by institutional strategies.

    Glassnode also reported that Bitcoin settled approximately $6.9 trillion over the past 90 days.

    This puts Bitcoin in a range comparable to payment networks such as Visa and Mastercard.

    Even with more trading moving into ETF and brokerage channels, the report found that Bitcoin and stablecoins still dominate value transfer on public blockchains.

    ETF channels deepen liquidity

    ETF-linked demand has reshaped how investment enters and exits Bitcoin.

    Instead of relying mainly on on-chain movement or exchange activity, a greater share of flows now passes through regulated investment vehicles.

    According to the report, this shift has encouraged smoother liquidity conditions and fewer sharp price changes in spot markets.

    Traditional market makers and arbitrage firms have increased their presence due to ETF participation.

    Their involvement has tightened spreads and reduced disruption during periods of heightened selling pressure.

    This development reflects a broader alignment between digital asset markets and established financial infrastructure.

    Tokenized RWAs accelerate

    Tokenized real-world assets have expanded from $7 billion to $24 billion within one year.

    Glassnode stated that this rise reflects stronger institutional demand, including interest from pension funds, hedge funds, and corporations that want on-chain exposure to familiar financial instruments.

    Tokenized funds have gained momentum as asset managers test new distribution models and investors seek simplified access to traditional assets.

    Platforms involved in tokenised RWAs have strengthened custody, settlement, and compliance systems.

    This foundation has encouraged consistent inflows throughout 2025, supporting a growing segment of the market that links traditional assets with blockchain settlement rails.

    Stablecoin role strengthens

    Glassnode described the market structure as larger and more stable than in previous cycles.

    The data indicated deeper liquidity across spot, derivatives, and on-chain channels, which has contributed to a more measured trading environment.

    Reduced volatility has become a defining feature of the cycle, shaped by institutional trading strategies that tend to use steady allocation models.

    Stablecoins continue to serve as key connectors between traditional and digital financial systems.

    The report stated that stablecoin settlement demand remains substantial across centralised and decentralised platforms.

    Glassnode characterised the dual-rail system created by stablecoins and traditional infrastructure as a permanent part of the ecosystem, supporting both institutional flows and retail trading activity.

    Analysts referenced in the report expect institutional participation to expand as tokenised funds gain broader acceptance.

    Glassnode presented this phase as a turning point marked by heavier institutional flows, rising tokenisation, and reduced volatility.

    These factors suggest that Bitcoin and the wider digital asset sector are moving into a more structurally mature environment in 2025.

    Share this article
    Categories
    Tags

    Source link

  • Texas buys $5mn BTC ETF, pushes for Bitcoin reserve plan

    Texas buys $5mn BTC ETF, pushes for Bitcoin reserve plan

    Texas pushes crypto strategy with new Bitcoin reserve plan

    • The state legislation sets aside $10 million for Bitcoin accumulation.
    • Texas is preparing a formal tender to choose a custodian for the reserve.
    • New Hampshire authorised a Bitcoin reserve and approved a $100 million Bitcoin bond.

    Texas is moving ahead with one of the most ambitious state-level crypto strategies in the country as it begins shaping the framework for a government Bitcoin reserve.

    The state has now taken its first formal step by acquiring $5 million in shares of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust.

    The purchase is part of a wider plan triggered by legislation passed earlier this year, which allocated $10 million for future Bitcoin accumulation.

    The early activity positions Texas to become the first US state to hold a dedicated cryptocurrency reserve, giving it a lead in a growing competition among states exploring digital asset policies.

    Texas builds foundation for Bitcoin reserve

    The state has been gathering information from the cryptocurrency industry to help design how its reserve will operate.

    The review began after Texas issued a request for information in September seeking guidance on best practices for storage, security, and management.

    Industry groups sent detailed submissions covering custody models, investment structures, governance frameworks, and security systems.

    The process is part of a wider effort to ensure the reserve can be managed with clear procedures once it transitions from planning to execution.

    Texas officials are expected to follow this phase with a formal request for proposal.

    The tender will be used to select a custodian and determine the final operational rules for the programme.

    The recent $5 million allocation acts as a temporary measure rather than direct Bitcoin ownership while the state completes its selection process, according to a CoinDesk report.

    States explore government crypto strategies

    Other states have also gained exposure to Bitcoin, though through different channels.

    Michigan and Wisconsin accessed cryptocurrency markets through public-employee retirement funds.

    Wisconsin sold a $350 million allocation in May, according to public records.

    These moves reflect growing institutional interest at the state level, even in cases where governments have not yet adopted dedicated reserves.

    Several states are actively studying the idea of holding Bitcoin for strategic purposes.

    New Hampshire has authorised the creation of a government Bitcoin reserve, although it has not yet made any purchases.

    Last week, the New Hampshire Business Finance Authority approved a $100 million Bitcoin bond designed to support an economic development fund backed by cryptocurrency.

    The structure relies on private sector activity rather than direct state accumulation.

    Early development continues nationwide

    Arizona is also taking steps toward a government-level reserve.

    Its legislation directs unclaimed cryptocurrency assets held by the state into a dedicated reserve.

    The plan creates an initial legal foundation that could support future accumulation, although the full reserve framework is still in development.

    These early efforts reflect a rising interest among states in integrating digital assets into long-term financial planning.

    The state-level activity is unfolding alongside federal discussions.

    President Donald Trump has publicly supported the idea of a national Bitcoin investment strategy.

    The administration has issued an executive order directing officials to begin planning for a federal reserve structure.

    Government teams working on the project are now waiting for congressional approval before advancing to the next stage.

    Texas sets the pace in state crypto adoption

    Texas remains the most advanced of the state-level initiatives due to its legislative backing and its first confirmed investment.

    The move signals a shift from exploratory interest to practical implementation, with a structured plan for selecting custodians and defining reserve operations.

    The next steps will determine how the state transitions from temporary allocations to direct Bitcoin ownership once contracts and governance systems are finalised.

    Share this article
    Categories
    Tags

    Source link

  • Bitcoin under pressure as ETF outflows and margin liquidations drive sharp selloff

    Bitcoin under pressure as ETF outflows and margin liquidations drive sharp selloff

    Bitcoin under pressure

    • Bitcoin ETF outflows and shrinking liquidity intensified the recent BTC price decline.
    • Margin liquidations accelerated the selloff as key support levels broke.
    • Correlation with tech stocks added pressure amid broader risk-off sentiment.

    Bitcoin price has come under intense pressure in recent weeks, with the market enduring a deep pullback fueled by weakening demand, heavy ETF outflows, and a wave of forced liquidations.

    The downturn has erased months of gains and pushed traders to question whether the latest slide marks a temporary setback or the start of a deeper cycle reset.

    ETF outflows add fuel to the decline

    Bitcoin’s slide has been sharp and persistent since its early October peak above $126,000.

    Since the October peak, the cryptocurrency has shed almost $800 billion in value, sinking to levels last seen in the spring.

    ETFs, once a stabilising force for Bitcoin (BTC), are now driving additional weakness.

    BlackRock’s IBIT ETF, which previously absorbed sell-offs, has posted its largest monthly redemption on record, with $520 million leaving the fund.

    This reversal marks a shift in institutional sentiment and has become a major source of downward pressure.

    A recent NYDIG research highlights how ETF outflows, shrinking stablecoin supplies, and changing corporate treasury strategies are eroding the demand engine that supported Bitcoin earlier this year.

    Greg Cipolaro of NYDIG describes the current cycle as a “negative feedback loop,” in which factors that once boosted the market are now accelerating the downturn.

    This shift has placed Bitcoin under sustained selling pressure at a time when broader risk appetite is also weakening.

    A key part of this shift can be seen in the stablecoin market, where supplies have declined for the first time in months, with some tokens losing significant value after liquidation events.

    In addition, digital asset treasuries, once active Bitcoin buyers, are pulling back as they reduce liabilities through asset sales or share buybacks.

    These moves have contributed to a steady drain of liquidity across the crypto sector.

    Bitcoin price outlook

    From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin has plunged into oversold territory and printed a hammer candle, hinting at a potential swing low.

    Eyes are now on $88,500, which capped rallies earlier in the year and briefly halted last week’s selloff.

    A sustained break above it could create conditions for a short-term recovery, with targets near $94,000 and $95,000.

    However, that setup faces stiff resistance from broader market sentiment.

    Bitcoin’s tight relationship with risk assets adds another layer of complexity.

    The correlation between Bitcoin and Nasdaq 100 futures has climbed to unusually high levels, reaching near 0.96.

    When tech stocks fall, Bitcoin tends to follow, and recent turbulence tied to concerns over an AI bubble has weighed heavily on both markets.

    Bitcoin dominance has also slipped to multi-month lows, signalling that capital is drifting away from BTC and into either safer assets or high-risk alternatives.

    The market is also seeing increased volatility from margin liquidations.

    Leveraged positions, especially in perpetual futures, have magnified the recent moves.

    As Bitcoin fell below $87,000, more than $900 million in positions were wiped out, with longs taking most of the damage.

    Notably, liquidation cascades have become a recurring theme, deepening each leg lower.

    Furthermore, oscillating indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), remain bearish, hinting that previous bounces have been sold into quickly.

    Bitcoin price analysis
    Bitcoin price analysis | Source: TradingView

    A drop below recent lows could open the door to a retest of the $76,000 region, where Bitcoin (BTC) stabilised during an earlier market shock linked to tariff fears.

    Share this article
    Categories
    Tags

    Source link

  • Bitcoin (BTC) battles macro headwinds despite improved ETF inflows

    Bitcoin (BTC) battles macro headwinds despite improved ETF inflows

    Bitcoin (BTC) battles macro headwinds

    • Bitcoin price remains range-bound amid long-term holder selling and falling demand.
    • US Bitcoin ETFs inflows signal cautious institutional optimism.
    • Macro uncertainty from the Fed and government shutdown keeps BTC under pressure.

    Bitcoin (BTC) continues to navigate turbulent market conditions as macroeconomic uncertainty and institutional dynamics shape its near-term trajectory.

    Despite renewed interest from investors and a notable surge in Bitcoin ETFs, the world’s largest cryptocurrency faces persistent pressure from long-term holder selling, cautious institutional sentiment, and a complex macro backdrop influenced by the Federal Reserve and ongoing government shutdown developments.

    Analysts and strategists are watching closely as BTC balances between cyclical signals and broader market realities in November.

    Bitcoin price struggles amid range-bound trading

    Bitcoin price has remained largely trapped between $106,000 and $116,000 over the past two weeks, signalling a period of consolidation rather than upward momentum.

    Long-term holders have accelerated their monthly distribution to roughly 104,000 BTC, marking one of the heaviest selling waves since mid-July, according to the recent Bitfinex report.

    This persistent supply pressure is coinciding with muted institutional demand following October’s sharp liquidation event, leaving BTC caught in a sideways range with limited short-term catalysts.

    Analysts warn that unless ETF inflows or new spot demand increase, the cryptocurrency could test support near $106,000, and a sustained breach of this level might open the path to $100,000.

    ETF inflows signal cautious optimism

    Despite these headwinds, Bitcoin ETFs have shown signs of recovery, injecting optimism into the market.

    On November 11, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $524 million in cumulative net inflows.

    US Bitcoin ETFs inflows
    Total Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow (USD) | Source: Coinglass

    This return of demand, alongside smart money traders adding net long positions totalling over $8.5 million, highlights a growing, albeit measured, confidence among institutional participants.

    Analysts have noted that sustained ETF inflows may signal an end to the broader de-risking phase observed after the market downturn, even as retail participation remains subdued.

    Macro factors keep BTC on edge

    Despite increased ETF inflows, macro conditions continue to weigh heavily on Bitcoin (BTC).

    The Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate cut and the formal end of its balance sheet runoff are tempered by internal division over the next steps, with some officials citing risks from persistent inflation and others warning of slowing labour markets.

    Meanwhile, the Secured Overnight Financing Rate recently plunged to 3.92%, which financial analyst Shanaka Anslem described as indicative of market panic.

    These developments, combined with falling consumer confidence and cooling wage growth, have created uncertainty around near-term capital flows and investor appetite for risk assets like Bitcoin.

    The ongoing government shutdown adds another layer of complexity.

    While the Senate moves toward a potential resolution, analysts note that the relief may boost equities more than cryptocurrencies, as capital appears to rotate toward traditional financial markets while liquidity waits on the sidelines for normal economic data to resume.

    These dynamics have contributed to continued downside pressure on BTC, even as technical and ETF-related signals point to potential stabilisation.

    Bitcoin price outlook for November

    Looking ahead, November may not deliver the historic rallies often seen in the penultimate month of the year, as Bitcoin (BTC) remains caught between conflicting forces.

    While ETF inflows and smart money activity provide a foundation for renewed optimism, ongoing distribution by long-term holders, macro uncertainty, and cautious institutional behaviour continue to weigh on the Bitcoin price.

    Share this article
    Categories
    Tags



    Source link

  • Bitcoin price surges to $1,15,660 as ETF inflows and Fed policy shift align

    Bitcoin price surges to $1,15,660 as ETF inflows and Fed policy shift align

    Bitcoin price surges to $1,15,660 as ETF inflows and Fed policy shift align

    • Bitcoin has surged back above $115,660 amid a powerful rally.
    • The move is fueled by a massive $757 million net ETF inflow in one day.
    • Traders are now pricing in a 92 percent chance of a Fed rate cut next week.

    The slumbering giant has awakened. Bitcoin has roared back to life, surging past the critical $115,660 level in a powerful display of force, fueled by a perfect storm of renewed institutional hunger and a macroeconomic landscape that is increasingly tilting in its favor.

    The move marks a decisive break from the summer’s stagnation, with a torrent of capital now flooding into the asset as the market braces for a pivotal policy shift from the Federal Reserve.

    The institutional stampede

    The clearest and most powerful catalyst for the rally is the dramatic return of institutional buyers. On September 10, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a staggering $757 million in net inflows, the single strongest daily intake in eight weeks.

    This brings the total for September to an impressive $1.39 billion, a clear sign that the voracious appetite that drove the market to all-time highs is back.

    This institutional stampede was broad-based, with all twelve US spot Bitcoin ETFs recording inflows.

    The charge was led by Fidelity’s FBTC, which absorbed over $156 million, and Ark’s ARKB, which took in $84 million. The renewed conviction was also visible in the futures market, where open interest rose a formidable 6.6 percent to $43.3 billion.

    The shifting sands of the macro landscape

    This flood of institutional capital is being met with an increasingly favorable macroeconomic tide. A volley of conflicting but ultimately dovish economic data has all but cemented the case for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next week.

    While the Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in slightly hot, it was completely overshadowed by an unexpected drop in the Producer Price Index (PPI) and a spike in initial jobless claims to their highest level since October 2021.

    This combination of cooling wholesale inflation and rising labor market stress has traders now assigning a commanding 92 percent probability to a quarter-point Fed cut next week, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

    A glimpse of the supercycle?

    While the short-term picture is being driven by flows and Fed hopes, a far more dramatic story is being sketched out on the long-term charts.

    From a structural standpoint, Bitcoin’s weekly chart is displaying two powerful inverse head-and-shoulders patterns, formations that have technical analysts buzzing about the dawn of a new supercycle.

    The smaller pattern, confirmed after July’s breakout, projects a target near $170,000. A much broader formation, which dates back to 2021, remains active and points to an almost unbelievable long-term target of $360,000.

    While these are just technical projections, they are adding a powerful layer of long-term bullish conviction to the short-term speculative fervor.

    The great rotation

    The rally’s strength is further amplified by a clear and significant rotation of capital within the crypto ecosystem itself.

    While Bitcoin ETFs are flourishing, their Ethereum counterparts are bleeding. ETH-focused ETFs have seen $668 million in outflows in September, a stark divergence that underscores a clear market preference for Bitcoin in a macro-driven environment.

    While other large-cap tokens are mixed, the message from the institutional world is clear: in this new chapter of the bull market, the king is reclaiming his throne.

    Share this article
    Categories
    Tags

    Source link

  • BTC hovers at $115K; ETF flows turn negative, short-term holder profitability drops

    BTC hovers at $115K; ETF flows turn negative, short-term holder profitability drops

    BTC hovers at $115K; ETF flows turn negative, short-term holder profitability drops

    • Bitcoin (BTC) is trading in a low-liquidity “air gap” between $110K and $116K, according to Glassnode.
    • The market is “re-finding its footing” after a post-all-time-high correction amidst low volume and weak conviction.
    • Spot Bitcoin ETF flows recently turned negative, with a 1,500 BTC outflow marking the largest since April.

    Bitcoin is treading water around the $115,000 mark on Thursday morning in Asia, up a modest 1% over the last 24 hours, as the inevitable correction following its recent all-time high continues to unfold amidst low trading volumes and a clear lack of market conviction.

    Analysts are now closely watching a low-liquidity zone that could either serve as a new foundation for the next leg up or become a trapdoor for a deeper price drop.

    According to on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, Bitcoin has entered what it describes as an “air gap”—a low-liquidity zone between $110,000 and $116,000.

    This has occurred after the price broke down from a major supply cluster where short-term holders had previously found significant support. These “air gaps” are areas that typically see very little historical trading activity.

    They can either provide an opportunity for new buyers to accumulate positions and build a strong base, or, if demand fails to materialize, they can lead to sharp and swift moves to the downside.

    “The market is effectively re-finding its footing,” the Glassnode analysts wrote, framing the range between $110,000 (the prior all-time high) and and 116,000 (the cost basis for recent buyers ) as the new critical battleground.

    They noted that while some opportunistic buying has emerged on there cent dip, with approximately 120,000 BTC acquired by new buyers, the price has yet to reclaim key resistance levels convincingly.

    A particularly important threshold is the 116,9K level, which marks the entry point for many recent short-term holders.

    Cooling sentiment: ETF outflows and reduced leverage

    Several indicators point to a cooling of the bullish fervor that recently propelled Bitcoin to its record highs. Short-term holder profitability has dropped from a peak of 100% down to 70%.

    While Glassnode frames this as a typical development for a bull market’s mid-phase, they caution that without a fresh wave of capital inflows, this could quickly erode market sentiment.

    Indeed, spot Bitcoin ETF flows have recently turned negative, with a 1,500 BTC outflow recorded earlier this week—the largest single-day outflow since April.

    At the same time, funding rates in the derivatives market have cooled significantly, a sign of reduced leverage and a more cautious stance among speculative traders.

    Market maker Enflux offered a similar take on the current environment. “Crypto markets remain in a fragile holding pattern. Despite some relief in the altcoin space, majors like BTC and ETH are still struggling to inspire confidence,” the firm wrote in a recent client note.

    “The broader trend? Heavy legs with more or less light volume.” Enflux concluded, “Until BTC and ETH reclaim strength with volume, the path of least resistance could remain sideways to down.”

    The market’s next significant move now likely hinges on whether a new cohort of buyers is willing to step in and build a solid support base within this low-volume “air gap,” or whether another flush down towards the $110,000 level is needed to fully reset the trend.

    For now, traders remain cautious, and the bulls are yet to prove they have regained control.

    Broader market snapshot

    • BTC: While the market navigates this “air gap,” some observers are pointing to a potential, longer-term Bitcoin supply shock.

    • This is being driven by reportedly drying up reserves on Over-The-Counter (OTC) desks and steady corporate accumulation, a combination that could “uncork” a major price move after a potential dip below $110,000.

    • ETH: Ethereum (ETH) is up 2% in the last 24 hours, trading just below the $3,600 mark. The CoinDesk 20 Index, which tracks a broad basket of crypto assets, gained 1.69% to 3,815.22.

    • Gold: Gold’s recent rally stalled on Wednesday as traders took profits. The market is currently weighing rising odds of a Federal Reserve rate cut against ongoing U.S. trade tensions and a looming Fed leadership shakeup.

    • This has left prices flat after a three-day gain that was driven by signs of economic weakness. Spot gold last traded at $3,372.11, down 0.24% on the day.

    Share this article
    Categories
    Tags

    Source link

  • Bitcoin rebounds to $115K after weekend selloff; Institutional ETF flows in focus

    Bitcoin rebounds to $115K after weekend selloff; Institutional ETF flows in focus

    Bitcoin rebounds to $115K after weekend selloff; Institutional ETF flows in focus

    • Bitcoin (BTC) has rebounded to trade above $115,000 after a selloff that saw over $1B in liquidations.
    • The recent correction was driven by weak US jobs data and a new wave of US tariffs.
    • QCP Capital views the selloff as a “leverage flush,” noting that the broader structural setup for BTC remains intact.

    Bitcoin (BTC) is staging a modest rebound as the East Asian trading day gets underway, changing hands at just over the $115,000 mark.

    This recovery comes after a punishing selloff last week that saw over $1 billion in leveraged long positions liquidated and the leading cryptocurrency briefly test the $113,000 level.



    While the bounce is a welcome sign for bulls, the market remains on edge, with investors carefully weighing signs of institutional stabilization against persistent macroeconomic fears.

    The aftermath of a ‘leverage flush’: a cautious optimism

    The latest market correction, which marked Bitcoin’s third consecutive Friday selloff, was fueled by a hawkish macroeconomic cocktail.

    Weaker-than-expected US jobs data, combined with a fresh wave of tariffs announced by Washington, triggered a broader “risk-off” mood that hit both equities and crypto.

    Altcoins bore the brunt of this downward move, with Solana (SOL) falling nearly 20% on the week and Ethereum (ETH) losing close to 10%.

    Despite this sharp drop, some market observers, like trading firm QCP Capital, remain cautiously optimistic. “The broader structural setup remains intact,” the firm wrote in a Monday note, pointing to the fact that Bitcoin had achieved its highest-ever monthly close in July.

    QCP views the recent selloff not as a fundamental trend reversal, but rather as a necessary “leverage flush”—a painful but healthy shakeout of over-leveraged positions that has historically cleared the path for renewed accumulation and the next leg higher.

    Hedging and headwinds: investors still price in downside risk

    That said, market hedging behavior suggests that investors are not yet ruling out the possibility of deeper downside.

    On the prediction market Polymarket, traders are currently assigning a 49% probability that Bitcoin will dip below the $100,000 mark before the end of 2025.

    This represents a 2 percentage point increase from the day prior, indicating that near-term anxiety is still very much present.

    This pricing reflects a market that is still on a knife’s edge.

    Downside tail risk is clearly being priced in, despite a host of supportive long-term fundamentals, which include increasing regulatory clarity, growing stablecoin adoption, and a wave of real-world asset tokenization initiatives.

    The next major catalyst for the market could come during the Asia trading day, as US issuers report their latest ETF flow data, which typically happens by mid-day Hong Kong time.

    The market’s stabilization appears to be supported by some early positive signs on this front, with Bitwise reporting $18.74 million in net inflows, a potential reversal after one of the largest ETF outflow days on record last Friday.

    If these ETF inflows continue to show strength and implied volatility begins to compress, it may provide the confirmation that the market needs to fully embrace the “buy-the-dip” narrative and shake off the macro jitters that have kept it stuck in neutral.

    Broader market snapshot

    • BTC: Bitcoin is trading back above $115,000, signaling early signs of market stabilization after a volatile week.

    • ETH: Ether is holding steady around $3,700, with Polymarket traders showing confidence that it will break above the $4,000 mark sometime in August.

    • Gold: Gold extended its rally for a third consecutive session on Monday, rising to a two-week high. The move was driven by soft US economic data, which has boosted expectations of a September Federal Reserve rate cut. CME traders are now pricing in an 86% chance of that happening.

    • Nikkei 225: Asia-Pacific markets opened higher after US President Donald Trump unveiled plans to sharply increase tariffs on Indian exports. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.54% at the open.

    • S&P 500: US stocks rebounded sharply on Monday, with the S&P 500 rising 1.47% to 6,329.94. The move snapped a four-day losing streak and marked the index’s best single session since May.

    Share this article
    Categories
    Tags

    Source link

  • ONDO price rallies on 21Shares’ ETF filing and major exchange listing

    ONDO price rallies on 21Shares’ ETF filing and major exchange listing

    • The altcoin has rallied following 21Shares’ ETF filing with the SEC.
    • The application indicates increasing institutional interest in RWA tokens.
    • Binance US has listed ONDO, fueling its upside momentum.

    Ondo Finance’s native coin signals imminent breakouts despite the broad market cool down, fueled by two key developments.

    First and foremost, asset manager 21Shares has filed with the US SEC to launch an ONDO exchange-traded fund (ETF).

    Secondly, Binance US confirmed listing the altcoin, with trading starting today, July 23.

    ONDO soared from the daily low of $1.0583 to $1.1642, a 10% increase, as the bullish news sparked bullish momentum.

    ONDO is at the center of Ondo Finance’s goal of bringing traditional assets on-chain.

    With interest in real-world asset (RWA) platforms skyrocketing, 21Shares and Binance US’ moves could not be better as retail and institutional investors seek Ondo exposure.

    The crypto has witnessed a surge in institutional appetite, with giants like BlackRock showing interest.

    MasterCard tapped Ondo Finance as its first RWA provider, while Ripple leveraged the blockchain to launch OUSG on its XRPL.

    21Shares files to launch ONDO ETF

    21Shares increases Ondo’s institutional appeal with the latest ETF application.

    The move confirms that traditional finance (TradiFi) is targeting the tokenization sector seriously.

    Moreover, seeking SEC authorization underscores the asset manager’s commitment to compliance and innovation in the tokenized sector of RWAs and DeFi.

    This is more than another cryptocurrency product.

    Ondo Finance remains at the core of the current trend of bringing real-world assets like US Treasuries, credit instruments, and bonds on-chain.

    Last week, Ondo Finance collaborated with BNB Chain to introduce tokenized equities in the United States.

    21Shares’ proposed exchange-traded fund would offer cryptocurrency enthusiasts exposure to ONDO via licensed platforms, without brokerage sites.

    Binance US lists ONDO

    A leading crypto exchange in the United States, Binance US, confirmed listing Ondo Finance’s token on its trading platform.

    It opened deposits on the Ethereum (ETH) blockchain yesterday, with ONDO/USDT trading set to start today.

    The official announcement read:

    We’re excited to announce that ONDO is now listed on Binance.US! Deposits for ONDO on the Ethereum network are now open. Trading for ONDO/USDT will begin tomorrow, July 23, 2025, at 4 a.m. / 7 a.m. EDT.

    The listing is vital as it makes the ONDO token accessible to the massive American retail audience.

    Moreover, listing on leading exchanges often acts as a Launchpad for many tokens.

    More US citizens can now trade ONDO without depending on overseas platforms or decentralized exchanges.

    ONDO price outlook

    Ondo Finance’s native coin attracted attention amidst the optimistic developments.

    It trades at $1.11 after a brief correction from daily highs.

    Meanwhile, the surging 24-hour trading volume highlights renewed interest in the RWA token, hinting at continued uptrend.

    Technical indicators support the short-term momentum shift.

    For example, the MACD on the 3H chart displays green histograms after a bullish crossover, signaling a buyer comeback.

    Also, the Chaikin Money Flow shows increased ONDO accumulation over the past week.

    Such trends indicate trust in the token’s near-term performance.

    Ondo Finance bull target the late January price levels above $1.60.

    Overcoming this level could catalyze smooth gains to the psychological level at $2.
    Share this article
    Categories
    Tags



    Source link

  • Bitcoin trades near $109K amid low conviction; Trump Media files for diversified crypto ETF

    Bitcoin trades near $109K amid low conviction; Trump Media files for diversified crypto ETF

    Bitcoin trades near $109K amid low conviction; Trump Media files for diversified crypto ETF

    Bitcoin continues to trade in a narrow range as the Asian trading day begins on Wednesday, with the world’s largest digital asset changing hands above $108,900.

    This period of consolidation comes as market observers point to a lack of strong conviction, even as a new filing reveals plans from Trump Media & Technology Group to launch a diversified ‘Crypto Blue Chip ETF’.

    Bitcoin is holding its ground, and the CoinDesk 20 index, a broad measure of the largest digital assets, is up 1.7% to over 3,100, according to CoinDesk market data.

    However, the current price action feels more like a drift than a decisive rally.

    According to market observers, what separates Bitcoin’s current position from a sustained push past the $110,000 mark is a lack of clear market conviction.

    In a recent report, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode highlighted several indicators of this hesitancy.

    Spot trading volumes for Bitcoin continue to linger below their usual statistical bands, and inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have contracted sharply from their recent highs.

    Furthermore, institutional investors appear cautious, despite sitting on significant unrealized gains, as shown by elevated ETF Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratios.

    Trading firm Wintermute, in a market update from earlier this week, described this environment as a “barbell market.”

    They pointed to a stark divide between renewed enthusiasm in high-beta, high-risk assets like memecoins, and a preference for the stability of established large-cap tokens like Bitcoin and Ethereum.

    Notably, last year’s “narrative darlings,” such as AI and DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks) tokens, have lost investor attention.

    This suggests that traders are either rotating into the speculative frenzy of memecoins—many of the major ones like DOGE, SHIB, and PEPE are up over 8% in the last week—or they are staying put in the perceived safety of BTC and ETH, which are seen as battle-tested and secure.

    With global equity markets largely shrugging off recent geopolitical uncertainties, Bitcoin’s current hesitancy underscores a lingering caution among crypto traders.

    The market seems to be awaiting a clearer directional signal before making a decisive move higher, and things are likely to remain range-bound until that catalyst appears.

    Trump Media’s crypto gambit: the ‘Blue Chip ETF’

    Adding a new dimension to the crypto investment landscape, Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) has revealed plans to launch another exchange-traded fund (ETF), this one designed to hold more than just Bitcoin and Ether.

    The Truth Social parent company, founded by President Donald Trump, filed on Tuesday to create the “Truth Social Crypto Blue Chip ETF.”

    According to the filing, the proposed fund would be composed of 70% Bitcoin and 15% Ether, complemented by an 8% allocation to Solana, 5% to Cronos, and 2% to XRP.

    The filing stated that the proposed fund would trade on the New York Stock Exchange’s Arca platform, a popular venue for ETFs.

    This news follows a move by Trump Media last month to file for two other ETFs: one that would invest 75% of its assets in Bitcoin and the remainder in Ether, and another that would be comprised solely of Bitcoin.

    In all three instances, Trump Media has indicated that the launches would happen “later this year.” Back in March, Crypto.com announced that it would partner with Trump Media to offer these ETFs.

    This series of filings underscores Trump Media’s deepening commitment to the digital asset space, following its announcement in May of a plan to raise $2.5 billion to purchase Bitcoin for its corporate treasury.

    As of the latest market data, Bitcoin was trading just below $109,000, while Ether was changing hands above $2,600.

    The other components of the proposed ETF, Solana, Cronos, and XRP, were trading at about $151, 10 cents, and $2.30, respectively.

    Shares of Trump Media (DJT) rose close to 3% on Tuesday following the filing, though they remain down more than 40% for the year 2025.
    Share this article
    Categories
    Tags

    Source link

  • BTC trades stably near $105.5K; institutional ETF inflows reached $2.2B last week

    BTC trades stably near $105.5K; institutional ETF inflows reached $2.2B last week

    BTC trades stably near $105.5K; institutional ETF inflows reached $2.2B last week

    Bitcoin (BTC) is trading steadily above the $105,500 mark as the Asian trading day gets underway on Wednesday.

    This comes after a slight correction from the $107,000 level it held during US business hours.

    Despite the significant geopolitical upheaval of the past few weeks, including a US strike on Iran that surprised both geopolitical experts and prediction market bettors, Bitcoin has once again demonstrated its resilience as a store of value.

    CoinDesk market data shows that the asset class has remained remarkably stable over the last month, up a modest 1%.

    A disciplined climb: HODLers stand firm

    However, this return to a price point that is within striking distance of Bitcoin’s all-time high of nearly $111,000 (hit in May) feels different this time, according to market observers.

    It’s characterized by a sense of discipline rather than the euphoria that often accompanies bull runs.

    Unlike the breakout above $100,000 in December 2024, which triggered a significant wave of profit-taking, long-term investors now appear content to sit on their unrealized gains.

    This observation is supported by analysis from Glassnode in their weekly note.

    “HODLing appears to be the dominant market mechanic,” the Glassnode analysts wrote.

    They pointed to a surge in the supply held by long-term holders, which has now reached 14.7 million BTC, coupled with historically low levels of realized profits.

    This on-chain activity strongly indicates a limited desire to sell, even as Bitcoin trades just below its record highs.

    Further reinforcing this narrative of restraint, metrics such as the adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (aSOPR) are hovering just above the breakeven point, according to Glassnode.

    This suggests that the coins currently being spent are, for the most part, recent acquisitions involved in tactical trades rather than representing a broad distribution or sell-off by long-term holders.

    Meanwhile, Glassnode data also shows that the “Liveliness” metric continues to decline, a clear sign that older, long-held coins remain dormant in their wallets.

    The institutional undercurrent: steady demand meets rising leverage

    This patience from seasoned investors is being met with persistent institutional demand.

    In its daily markets update, trading firm QCP highlighted this trend, noting that market data indicates a substantial $2.2 billion in net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs just last week.

    QCP described the overall tone of these flows as “constructive” and pointed out that dedicated crypto treasury companies such as Strategy and Metaplanet continue to accumulate Bitcoin.

    These steady institutional inflows are quietly but fundamentally reshaping the market’s structure.

    Bitcoin’s realized cap—a metric that measures the price at which coins last moved on-chain—has grown to an impressive $955 billion.

    This growth is widely seen as a sign that real, committed capital, not just fleeting speculation, is flowing into the asset.

    A fragile equilibrium: the standoff in the market

    However, not everything is calm beneath the surface. QCP’s report also noted that leveraged long positions have been on the rise, with funding rates turning positive across major perpetual futures markets.

    This indicates that short-term traders are increasingly using leverage to bet on further price increases.

    Glassnode, in its analysis, warns that this situation may not be sustainable indefinitely. “The market may need to move higher, or lower, to unlock additional supply,” the firm wrote, suggesting that the current equilibrium between the unwavering conviction of long-term holders and the increasing leverage of short-term traders won’t hold forever.

    Even major political news, such as the US Senate’s approval of the White House’s “Big Beautiful Bill,” has failed to produce a significant price reaction from Bitcoin.

    This has led to a market that feels less like a stampeding bull run and more like a tense standoff. On one side are the long-term holders who are refusing to sell, and on the other are the short-term traders piling into leveraged positions.

    This fragile equilibrium has market observers on the edge of their seats, wondering where the next major catalyst will come from and whether it will make Bitcoin’s next move an explosive one.
    Share this article
    Categories
    Tags

    Source link