Tag: Friday

  • Crypto Black Friday explained: How $19.5 billion vanished in hours

    Crypto Black Friday explained: How $19.5 billion vanished in hours

    Crypto Black Friday explained: how $19.5bn vanished in hours

    • Bitcoin plunged 8.4% as liquidity collapsed across exchanges.
    • Oracle glitches triggered cross-liquidations and temporary de-pegs.
    • The crash exposed major vulnerabilities in crypto infrastructure.

    On 10–11 October 2025, the cryptocurrency market experienced one of its sharpest collapses in years — an event the community has dubbed Crypto Black Friday.

    In just a few hours, more than $19.5 billion in leveraged positions were wiped out, sending Bitcoin down by 8.4% and shaking investor confidence worldwide.

    What began as a reaction to the US’s 100% tariff announcement on Chinese goods quickly revealed much deeper cracks in the system — showing how automated trading, thin liquidity, and structural weaknesses combined to trigger a chain reaction across exchanges.

    What triggered the sell-off?

    The first signs of the crash appeared after President Trump confirmed steep new tariffs on Chinese imports, fuelling fears of higher inflation and tighter Federal Reserve policy.

    Traders rushed to unwind risky positions, leading to rapid liquidations in Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Wrapped Beacon ETH (WBETH), and Binance-Smart-based Solana (BNSOL).

    But geopolitical panic alone doesn’t explain how billions disappeared so quickly. Analysts say technical and structural factors amplified the event.

    Liquidity across exchanges was unusually low, and some Binance users reported frozen accounts during the sell-off.

    High-leverage looped loans and a temporary de-pegging of the USDE stablecoin made matters worse, creating a cascade of forced sales. Binance later confirmed system issues and offered compensation to affected users.

    How technical flaws magnified the collapse

    According to a BeinCrypto report, during the sell-off, CoinGlass — a popular analytics site — faced a sophisticated proxy attack that briefly disabled access to its data and services.

    This interruption added to market confusion just as traders were scrambling for real-time information.

    At the same time, a series of unusually large transactions occurred moments before several oracle updates.

    These oracles — the systems that feed real-world prices into blockchain smart contracts — briefly mispriced certain assets, triggering automatic liquidations across multiple trading pairs.

    The mispricing also caused some stablecoins to lose their peg temporarily, creating brief windows where arbitrage bots and high-frequency traders could profit.

    Within minutes, millions of dollars moved between exchanges as automated systems responded to the volatility, deepening the market crash.

    Was it a coordinated attack?

    Not everyone believes this was an organic crash. Some analysts argue that the patterns of trades and timing of oracle updates suggest deliberate manipulation.

    Data showed that the most extreme de-pegs affected pairs with known update schedules, while large-scale short positions were placed just before liquidation cascades began.

    This has led to speculation that certain market actors may have exploited the structure of the crypto market itself — using automated systems and leverage mechanisms to engineer volatility.

    The idea is that, rather than hacking wallets or stealing funds, attackers could manipulate the market by exploiting predictable behaviours in oracles, exchanges, and algorithms.

    Still, other experts maintain that this was simply an overleveraged market reacting to stress.

    When traders take on too much debt and sentiment shifts suddenly, cascading liquidations can happen without any external interference.

    The synchronised nature of the event across multiple exchanges, however, continues to fuel debate.

    What the crash revealed about crypto markets

    Crypto Black Friday has exposed how fragile the digital asset ecosystem remains despite its growing size.

    With $19.5 billion wiped out in hours, the event showed how quickly risk can spread when systems rely heavily on leverage, automated trading, and opaque liquidity pools.

    Exchanges such as Binance have since launched internal audits and pledged to improve transparency, but experts warn that these are short-term fixes.

    The real challenge lies in redesigning core systems — including how leverage is managed, how oracles feed data, and how liquidity is distributed across markets.

    The incident has renewed calls for better on-chain oversight and global standards for crypto risk management.

    For a trillion-dollar market to mature, analysts say it must balance innovation with stronger safeguards against both systemic shocks and sophisticated manipulation.

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  • Bitcoin volatility rising as $4.2 billion options set to expire Friday

    Bitcoin volatility rising as $4.2 billion options set to expire Friday

    Key Takeaways

    • Bitcoin volatility is the highest point since July 2022
    • Liquidity is extremely thin which is pushing volatility higher and accentuating price moves
    • $4.2 billion of options expire Friday, with bull set to profit following the recent surge up to $28,000

    Yesterday, I wrote a piece looking at how the correlation between Bitcoin and the stock market, notably tech stocks, has come back up. The relationship had loosened amid the banking turmoil that struck financial markets, triggered by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.

    As well as rising correlation, the market is also swinging wildly – the volatility is as high as it has been since July 2022, around the time Celsius sent evaporated into thin air and sent the market into mayhem.

    Why is volatility rising?

    The volatility spike is not surprising in light of the glut of liquidity currently in the markets. We crafted up a piece on this earlier this week, assessing how 45% of stablecoins had flowed out of exchanges in the last four months, with the balance now at the lowest point since October 2021. 

    It gives context to the recent Bitcoin price rise. With less liquidity in the markets, moves are naturally more violent, and Bitcoin has surged up to $28,000, now up 68% on the year. 

    While the move to the upside has been exacerbated by this thin liquidity, the opposite also holds true: the downside risk is elevated when markets are so thin. 

    It paints a picture of high risk for an asset that already oscillates wildly at the best of times. 

    Derivatives add to volatility

    Another factor? Derivatives open interest is absolutely soaring, with the below chart from Coinglass showing that options open interest is at its highest point since November 2021. 

    As I write this on March 31st, a mammoth $4.2 billion of Bitcoin options are set to expire. The below chart also shows the strike prices of the options – with a call/put ratio of 2.09 and Bitcoin currently trading close to $28,000, it will be a profitable day for many traders. 

    Digging into the numbers, there are 97,300 call options expiring at a strike price of $28,000 or less, compared to 24,500 put options. The dollar split is over $2 billion in favour of calls. 

    Looking at strike prices of the next level up, it is pretty much all call options. Between $28,000 and $32,000 there are 48,000 call options against 400 put options with a $1.4 billion split in favour of calls. 

    After a year of bears dominating, there will finally be some bulls primed to profit. 

    Indeed, looking at the Bitcoin spot holdings, it is showing more positive news all across the market. In December, the majority of Bitcoins were in loss-making positions, when comparing the market price to the price at which they last moved. 

    Today, however, 74% of the supply is in profit when using the same metric. 

     

    With interest rate policy expectations softening, Bitcoin has finally been allowed room to run. However, with thin liquidity and high volatility comes risk, although when it comes to Bitcoin, risk is hardly a foreign concept.

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