Tag: headwinds

  • Bitcoin tumbles to $92k as geopolitical headwinds roil markets

    Bitcoin tumbles to $92k as geopolitical headwinds roil markets

    • Bitcoin fell 4.72% over the weekend and another 3.50% during Monday’s Asian session as tensions driven by Trump’s tariffs have investors de-risking their positions
    • Over the weekend, China responded to Trump’s tariffs by indicating interest in imposing tariffs on US goods, while Canada imposed a 25% tariff on CA$155 billion worth of US goods

    Bitcoin tumbled below $100,000 over the weekend, extending losses into today as threats of a possible trade war rock markets worldwide.

    Bitcoin price chart. Source: CoinMarketCap

    While most of Bitcoin’s price decline came this weekend, weakness began when its price failed to swing higher than the $108,000 level two weeks ago (January 20).

    BTC/USD chart. Source: TradingView

    A failure to swing higher can signify insufficient buy pressure to push prices higher. If that is the case, prices will seek the next major liquidity level, which could mean lower prices in the interim, as seen over the last two weeks.

    Scaling down to a lower time frame, Bitcoin’s price continued to break lower below $99,000. This was before retracing to an internal supply zone between the 50.00% and 61.80% Fibonacci levels (the golden zone for retracements) on Thursday, January 30.

    BTC/USD chart. Source: TradingView

    After being rejected by internal supply, the price broke down further on Friday, January 31, and over the weekend to settle at the next major demand level, between $92,000 and $96,000.

    BTC/USD chart. Source: TradingView

    Bitcoin’s price has found some support at $92,000 and is currently up 4.92% from Asian lows of $91,176.

    Wider trade wars stifle markets

    Meanwhile, the wider economic landscape faces uncertainty as a brewing trade war between the US and several of its trade partners, including Canada, Mexico, and China rocks various markets.

    The US tariffs on its largest trade partners, including a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, and a 10% tariff on Chinese imports, have sparked tensions between nations.

    In response, Canada imposed a 25% tariff on CA$155 billion worth of US goods, Mexico has announced tariffs on US goods, but has not provided details, while China also announced plans to impose retaliatory tariffs on US goods.

    The result is uncertainty around the expansion of global trade and a de-risking of portfolios, with the crypto market being one of the first on the chopping block.

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  • Bitcoin price analysis: economic headwinds push price lower

    Bitcoin price analysis: economic headwinds push price lower

    • Bitcoin tested the $92,000 level yesterday after falling from a weekly high of $102,000 as sell pressures mounted
    • Macroeconomic factors cause doubts about the market strength as sticky inflation becomes a concern
    • Spot crypto ETFs logged large outflows on Wednesday following the release of the Fed meeting notes

    Bitcoin’s price has fallen from a high of $102,667 reached on Tuesday, January 7 to $94,890.00 as of publishing, but remains within the last H4 demand zone.

    BTC/USD Chart by Trading View

    While the demand zone between $92,000 and $97,000 may be the last support level on the H4 timeframe, a broader market view shows that BTC is in a premium zone on the daily timeframe. As a result, a push below $92,000 still puts the price in bullish territory.

    BTC/USD Chart by TradingView

    The best technical buy levels would either be at the last break of structure on the daily timeframe or at the 50% Fibonacci level from the lowest point to the break.

    BTC/USD Chart by TradingView

    There are two fair value gaps from which the price could react. While they are not major zones, they could support a continuation back to the external high at $108,000 or a brief relief rally before continued sell to the first probable support zone as noted in a recent TradingView analysis of BTC.

    BTC/USD Chart by TradingView

    This is all predicated on Bitcoin breaking below the $91,000 level.

    Meanwhile, spot crypto ETFs recorded outflows on Wednesday, January 9 after the release of the US Federal Reserve’s meeting minutes. These showed that the Fed is cautious about inflation and the effects of Trump’s incoming policies.

    BTC ETFs bled $568.8 million on Wednesday while ETH ETFs lost $159.4 million with the biggest outflows from Fidelity ($258.7 million for BTC and $147.7 million for ETH).

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