Tag: history

  • Bitcoin, Ethereum rebound following ‘largest single-day wipeout in crypto history’

    Bitcoin, Ethereum rebound following ‘largest single-day wipeout in crypto history’

    Bitcoin, Ethereum rebound following 'largest single-day wipeout in crypto history'

    • The crypto market suffered its “largest single-day wipeout in crypto history.”
    • Nearly $20 billion in liquidations were triggered on Friday alone.
    • The crash was sparked by President Trump’s new tariff threats against China.

    It was a brutal and historic bloodbath, a sudden and violent purge that resulted in what one analyst has called “the largest single-day wipeout in crypto history.”

    A promising “Uptober” rally was brought to a catastrophic halt on Friday as a geopolitical bombshell from the White House sent a shockwave of fear through the global markets, triggering a cascade of liquidations that erased nearly $20 billion from the digital asset space in a single day.

    The carnage was swift and merciless. Over a harrowing seven-hour period, Bitcoin plunged from the relative safety of $121,000 to a grim low of $109,000.

    The pain was felt across the market, with Ethereum dipping to $3,686 and Solana touching just above $173.

    But the real story was in the leveraged positions that were being systematically annihilated.

    The volatile session triggered a “flash crash of liquidations,” wiping out almost 7 billion across all markets within a single hour, with a staggering 5.5 billion of that coming from bullish long positions, Sean Dawson, head of research at Dervie, told Decrypt.

    By the time the dust settled, the majority of the day’s nearly 20 billion in liquidations—a colossal 16.7 billion—had come from longs, according to CoinGlass data.

    The presidential spark: A tariff threat ignites a firestorm

    This was not a crypto-specific crisis; it was a contagion of fear sparked by the highest office in the United States.

    The sell-off across both crypto and traditional markets followed President Trump’s stunning announcement that he was canceling a planned meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping and had ordered a “massive increase” in tariffs on Chinese imports.

    The threat, which Trump himself acknowledged could be “potentially painful” for Americans, immediately sent risk assets into a tailspin.

    The tech-heavy Nasdaq dipped 3.6 percent, the S&P 500 fell 2.7 percent, and the Dow dropped 1.9 percent, a clear sign that the market was taking the president’s words as a declaration of a new and more aggressive phase in the trade war.

    The aftermath: A textbook relief rally

    But just as quickly as the storm descended, a fragile calm began to return.

    By the weekend, China appeared to soften its stance, and a market that had been gripped by panic began to recalibrate, with analysts suggesting the brutal rout may have been a brief, if violent, geopolitical overreaction.

    Now, a powerful rebound is underway. “What we’re seeing is a textbook relief rally,” Dean Serroni, CEO of crypto investment manager Merkle Tree Capital, told Decrypt.

    The recovery has been as swift as the crash was brutal. Bitcoin has surged 5% on the day to retake the $115,100 level.

    Ethereum is leading the charge with an impressive 10.5% jump to $4,138, while major altcoins like Solana, BNB, and Dogecoin are soaring with double-digit gains.

    Serroni explained the powerful bounce as “pure short-covering and mean reversion after the market overreacted to Trump’s tariff bombshell.”

    He pointed to the “thin” selling pressure and the dramatic reset in open interest across derivatives markets, a sign that the carnage was primarily a technical event, a violent purge of “overleveraged derivatives traders” rather than a fundamental shift in the market’s long-term outlook.

    His final verdict was a succinct and powerful summary of a wild and historic week: “This rout was a geopolitical knee-jerk, not a structural break.”

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  • Bitcoin’s rare September gains defy history: Data predicts a 50% Q4 rally to 170,000 dollars

    Bitcoin’s rare September gains defy history: Data predicts a 50% Q4 rally to 170,000 dollars

    Bitcoin’s rare September gains defy history: Data predicts a 50% Q4 rally to 170,000 dollars

    • Bitcoin is on track to close September with a rare positive gain of 4.5 percent.
    • Historically, a green September has preceded an average Q4 rally of over 50 percent.
    • If the pattern holds, Bitcoin could be eyeing the 170,000 dollar region by year-end.

    In a powerful and rare defiance of its own grim history, Bitcoin is on the verge of closing the books on a positive September.

    This is no small feat. The month has long been the cruelest on the crypto calendar, a consistent sea of red that has earned it the ominous nickname “Red September.”

    But this year, a 4.5 percent gain has flipped the script, and in doing so, it may have just lit the fuse for an explosive rally into the final quarter of the year.

    A prophecy written in the charts

    History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes. And in the world of Bitcoin, the rhyme of a green September is a powerful and bullish prophecy.

    According to historical data, on the rare occasions that Bitcoin has managed to close September in positive territory—in 2015, 2016, 2023, and 2024—the final quarter of the year has produced spectacular results, with average returns soaring to more than 53 percent.

    In those instances, the fourth quarter returns have ranged from a powerful 45 percent to a stunning 66 percent.

    If that historical pattern were to play out again this year, Bitcoin could be eyeing the 170,000 dollar region before the calendar flips to 2026.

    The data shows that October typically acts as the launchpad for these powerful moves, with an average gain of 21.8 percent, while November continues the ascent.

    This seasonal effect has been particularly profitable in the years following a Bitcoin halving, as a potent cocktail of capital inflows and bullish market positioning combine to push the asset into a fresh phase of price discovery.

    The view from the blockchain: a bullish tide is turning

    This bullish seasonal setup is not just a statistical anomaly; it is being actively confirmed by the deep undercurrents of the blockchain itself.

    Key on-chain metrics are now flashing green, signaling a fundamental and powerful shift in market momentum.

    The Spot Taker Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), a crucial indicator that tracks the difference between market buy and market sell volumes, has flipped positive on a 90-day basis for the first time since mid-July.

    This is a clear and direct signal that a “Taker Buy Dominant Phase” is underway, a period where buying pressure is now decisively outweighing selling activity.

    At the same time, the Coinbase premium index has been highlighting consistent and aggressive accumulation by US investors throughout the third quarter.

    The powerful alignment of these two key on-chain metrics reinforces the view that a new wave of buying momentum is not just coming—it’s already here.

    The stage is set, the signals are aligning, and the final quarter of the year could once again prove to be a decisive and explosive one for the world’s leading digital asset.

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