Tag: hopes

  • Crypto update: Bitcoin tumbles below $111K as Powell dashes December rate cut hopes

    Crypto update: Bitcoin tumbles below $111K as Powell dashes December rate cut hopes

    Crypto update: Bitcoin tumbles below $111K as Powell dashes December rate cut hopes

    • Bitcoin fell below $111,000 after Fed Chair Powell’s hawkish comments.
    • Powell said a December interest rate cut is “not a foregone conclusion.”
    • Major cryptocurrencies like Ethereum, XRP, and Solana also posted losses.

    Bitcoin and the wider cryptocurrency market took a sharp downturn after US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled that a highly anticipated December interest rate cut was not guaranteed, reversing market sentiment that had priced in further easing.

    The hawkish remarks immediately spooked investors, sending Bitcoin below a key support level and triggering a broad sell-off across digital assets.

    While the Fed did deliver an expected quarter-point rate cut, Powell’s commentary on the future path of monetary policy became the dominant driver of the market’s negative reaction.

    Powell pours cold water on December rate cut hopes

    At the conclusion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, Powell announced a 0.25% point reduction in the policy rate to a range of 3.75-4.00%.

    However, he quickly tempered market optimism by adopting a cautious stance on future moves, stating a December cut “is not a foregone conclusion.”

    Powell explained that the central bank needs more economic data, particularly after the recent government shutdown obscured key indicators.

    “We may need to slow the pace of policy (rate) adjustments. I hope to obtain more data by December,” he said at the press conference.

    He also revealed a growing divide within the committee.

    “More and more Fed members want to delay rate cuts,” Powell continued, adding, “After two consecutive rate cuts, some members are taking a wait-and-see stance.

    The view that we should wait at least one cycle is spreading.”

    Bitcoin leads broad market plunge

    The market’s reaction to Powell’s unexpected caution was swift and decisive.

    Bitcoin, which had been trading steadily around the $113,000 level before the press conference, broke below its $110,000 support moments after his remarks, hitting an intraday low in the $109,000 range.

    As of Thursday, the token was still struggling around $110,000, down roughly 2% from the previous day.

    The weakness was felt across the entire crypto ecosystem.

    According to CoinMarketCap, other major cryptocurrencies also posted significant losses:

    • Ethereum (ETH) fell 1.93% to $3,899.87.

    • XRP dropped 2.74% to $2.53.

    • Solana (SOL) declined 1.04% to $192.37.

    A silver lining? Fed to end quantitative tightening

    However, Powell’s press conference was not entirely hawkish. He also formally announced the end of the Fed’s asset reduction program, known as Quantitative Tightening (QT), which could increase liquidity in the financial system.

    “We have decided to end QT as of December 1,” Powell stated. He explained that the Fed’s balance sheet had shrunk by $2.2 trillion over three and a half years.

    “We now believe we are close to sufficient reserves,” he said, signaling a shift toward balance sheet normalization.

    With Fed in rearview, all eyes turn to US-China summit

    With the Fed’s immediate policy path now clarified, investors are pivoting their attention to the next major potential catalyst: the US-China summit.

    Following the crypto market plunge, traders are looking to the meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping as a possible source of positive news that could trigger a rebound.

    The high-stakes meeting is scheduled for Thursday morning at the ‘Naraemaru’ facility at Gimhae Airport Air Force base.

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  • Bitcoin leads rally amid Fed rate cut hopes, major ETFs boost crypto outlook

    Bitcoin leads rally amid Fed rate cut hopes, major ETFs boost crypto outlook

    Crypto Wrap: Bitcoin rallies over 4%, fueled by hopes of a Fed rate cut.

    • Bitcoin rallies over 4%, fueled by hopes of a Fed rate cut.
    • Solana, Dogecoin, and XRP gain momentum on upgrades and ETF excitement.
    • Token unlocks and Fed easing are set to reshape crypto markets this quarter.

    Crypto markets woke up on Wednesday with a spring in their step, charging higher as investors braced for a major central bank event.

    Bitcoin set the pace, rallying over 4% to clear the $116,000 mark, fueled in large part by growing bets that the US Federal Reserve is finally ready to deliver an interest rate cut on Wednesday.

    As rate-cut speculation took center stage, Bitcoin’s market cap soared to well over $2 trillion, cementing the number-one crypto’s dominance after weeks of volatile swings.

    Markets eye Fed-driven breakout

    Ethereum, the world’s top smart-contract platform, held strong above the $4,500 threshold. Investors have been piling into ETH on prospects for a supply squeeze, as well as ongoing accumulation by institutional players positioning ahead of the Fed’s meeting.

    Traders argued that a successful breakout above the stubborn $4,800 technical resistance could spark a new phase of risk-on flows across crypto, especially if macro conditions cooperate in the coming weeks.

    Solana added even more energy to the rally, gliding near $240, as a string of protocol upgrades and surging developer momentum fueled optimism about the network’s long-term prospects.

    Major exchanges reported large spot inflows, and Solana’s rapid-fire transaction speeds kept it in the conversation as a serious contender among the leading altcoins.

    Meme-friendly Dogecoin, ever the wild card, hovered around $0.27, down slightly on the day, but still up more than 100% from a year ago.

    Increased social activity and new integrations have helped Dogecoin keep its playful reputation, as trade volumes remain lively whenever the broader market shifts.

    Meanwhile, XRP is holding just under $3, stuck in a tight range as markets anxiously anticipate the launch of the first US spot XRP ETF on September 18.

    Speculation around the ETF’s potential inflows and its possible effect on price has helped XRP stay in focus despite the broader sector’s roller-coaster action.

    Technical watchers say a rally through $3.18 could unleash a new round of bullish momentum for Ripple’s token.

    Crypto industry poised for Q4 shakeup

    It isn’t just price charts and volatility levels dictating sentiment this week: all eyes remain locked on Washington as the US Federal Reserve kicks off its most consequential policy meeting in recent memory.

    With inflation trending lower and unemployment ticking up, markets broadly expect Fed Chair Jerome Powell to announce a 25 basis point rate cut, the first since 2020.

    For crypto, where high-growth bets are directly tied to easier money, the Fed’s pivot could drive a decisive shift in market psychology.

    “Fed easing typically gives permission for the crypto rally to keep going,” said one strategist.

    Many in the industry expect fresh liquidity to spark increased inflows, particularly into blue-chip tokens like Bitcoin and Ethereum, and may even encourage more institutional adoption as risk appetite returns.

    Away from the Fed drama, September is seeing a tidal wave of token unlocks, as over $4.5 billion in coins come into circulation across high-profile projects like Sui, Aptos, Ethena, and Arbitrum.

    While some worry about the impact of new supply, others view it as a crucial stress test for market depth and investor demand.

    Finally, excitement around the pending debut of the first US-based spot XRP ETF may mark a turning point for altcoins.

    If the ETF attracts robust inflows, along the lines of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs launched earlier this year, it could shift the narrative and trigger sustained price rallies in the sector.

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  • Crypto industry hopes rise as Donald Trump enters the White House

    Crypto industry hopes rise as Donald Trump enters the White House

    Donald Trump's transition team considering XRP, Solana, and USDC strategic reserves
    • A new era is set for the industry with the appointment of crypto-friendly candidates such as Paul Atkins
    • It remains to be seen whether the US will match similar regulatory frameworks like Europe’s MiCA
    • The rise of Bitcoin will be shaped by institutional adoption, increased regulatory clarity, and broader macroeconomic and geopolitical trends

    US President-elect Donald Trump is taking office today with his incoming administration making significant promises for the crypto industry.

    After years of battling with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) under outgoing US President Joe Biden’s administration, the crypto market is beginning to feel hopeful.

    Even before entering the White House, a shift has already taken place with the appointment of crypto-friendly candidates including Paul Atkins as the next SEC Chair and crypto czar David Sacks. Trump is also, reportedly, going to sign an executive order making crypto a priority under his leadership.

    “So far, the country has done little to advance a clear crypto regulatory framework,” said Tom Kiddle, co-founder of Palisade, a French-regulated digital asset custodian backed by Ripple, to CoinJournal. “However, Trump’s nomination of pro-crypto Paul Atkins could mark the dawn of a new era for the sector.”

    A similar MiCA framework?

    While a potentially favorable crypto environment is possible with the likes of Paul Atkins, it remains to be seen whether the new administration will match international frameworks such as Europe’s Markets in Crypto Assets (MiCA) regulations.

    According to Kiddle the “US is at a crossroads,” adding that “if the SEC adopts a constructive stance, the country could finally reclaim is position as a global leader in blockchain innovation rather than watching talent and capital drain to emerging economies.”

    Several companies, including Bitwise, Coinbase, and Ferrari are already expanding their services into Europe. With a lack of clear crypto regulations, the crypto industry isn’t reaching its full potential in the US.

    Under a Trump administration that could soon change.

    “It’s unclear how closely the administration intends to match international frameworks such as the EU’s MiCA with its regulatory plans,” said Temujin Louie, CEO of Wanchain to CoinJournal. “By closely monitoring the administration’s policies and adapting accordingly, the blockchain industry can remain focused on developing innovative solutions that promote the mainstream adoption of blockchain technology.”

    Market sentiment

    Since winning the US election in November, Trump has helped pushed market prices to new highs. In December, Bitcoin reached an all-time high of over $108,000. However, while some think Trump isn’t the only reason Bitcoin’s is rising, it’s certainly helping.

    Speaking about this to CoinJournal, James Toledano, COO of Unity Wallet, said that “Bitcoin’s price ahead of inauguration day hinges on a mix of market sentiment and speculative optimism,” adding that “the real drivers of Bitcoin’s price include adoption, regulation, and macroeconomic factors.”

    Earlier last week, it was reported that bleak economic expectations were driving the bearish sentiment within the crypto market. At the time, Bitcoin had dropped below $90,000 as Trump’s tariff plans, the US Federal Reserve’s cautious approach to interest rate cuts, and a strong dollar dampened crypto enthusiasm.

    According to Toledano, following Trump’s inauguration, the rise of Bitcoin will be shaped by institutional adoption, increased regulatory clarity, and broader macroeconomic and geopolitical trends.

    At the same time, “as pro-Bitcoin as Trump is, some other major geopolitical or macroeconomic event could knock 40%-50% off the value overnight and we’ve seen this before,” said Toledano.

    Despite this, many are hopeful that positive changes are ahead.

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  • Bitcoin price recoils as hopes for a Santa rally fade

    Bitcoin price recoils as hopes for a Santa rally fade

    • Bitcoin price has moved sideways in the past few weeks.

    • The Federal Reserve sounded more hawkish than expects.

    • It has formed a rising wedge pattern.

    Bitcoin price continued recoiling on Monday as investors remained concerned about monetary policy and the crypto industry. The BTC coin was trading at $16,750, where it has been in the past few days. This price is a few points below last week’s high of $16,867.

    No Santa rally?

    The BTC/USD price has continued consolidating in the past few weeks. After staging a comeback last week, the pair suffered a pullback as investors reflected on the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision.

    In its decision last week, the Fed decided to hike interest rates by 0.50% in its final decision of the year. It had previously increased rates by 75 basis points in the previous four monetary policy meeting. Also, the bank decided to continue with it quantitative tightening policy, as we wrote here.

    The most important change was that the Fed would continue hiking rates in the coming months. That statement helped the market to change its view about monetary policy. Before the meeting, analysts were expecting that the central bank to sound a bit dovish since inflation has started cooling.

    After the decision, American and global stocks collapsed while bond yields rose to their highest level in a few week. The US dollar index, which was recently falling, has made a strong recovery in the past few days.

    The other main reason why Bitcoin price has been recoiling is the rising outflows from most exchanges. Binance, the biggest exchange in the world, has seen its outflows rise to more than $7.5 billion in the past 7 days. In the same period, Bitfinex has seen over $335 million in outflows while Crypto.com lost over $76 million.

    Therefore, all these actions mean that the Santa rally has not happened. A Santa Rally is a situation where stocks rally before the market opens.

    Bitcoin price forecast

    BTC/USD chart by TradingView

    So, is it safe to buy Bitcoin? The BTC price has been in a tight range in the past few days. In this period, it has remained below the important resistance level at $16,867. It is also consolidating at the 25-day and 50-day moving averages. 

    At the same time, the Reltive Strength Index (RSI) has formed a bullish divergence pattern, which is a bullish sign. It has also formed a rising wedge, which is usually a bearish sign. Therefore, there is a likelihood that the coin will have a bearish breakout. If this happens, it could drop to $15,000.

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