Tag: hovers

  • BTC hovers at $115K; ETF flows turn negative, short-term holder profitability drops

    BTC hovers at $115K; ETF flows turn negative, short-term holder profitability drops

    BTC hovers at $115K; ETF flows turn negative, short-term holder profitability drops

    • Bitcoin (BTC) is trading in a low-liquidity “air gap” between $110K and $116K, according to Glassnode.
    • The market is “re-finding its footing” after a post-all-time-high correction amidst low volume and weak conviction.
    • Spot Bitcoin ETF flows recently turned negative, with a 1,500 BTC outflow marking the largest since April.

    Bitcoin is treading water around the $115,000 mark on Thursday morning in Asia, up a modest 1% over the last 24 hours, as the inevitable correction following its recent all-time high continues to unfold amidst low trading volumes and a clear lack of market conviction.

    Analysts are now closely watching a low-liquidity zone that could either serve as a new foundation for the next leg up or become a trapdoor for a deeper price drop.

    According to on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, Bitcoin has entered what it describes as an “air gap”—a low-liquidity zone between $110,000 and $116,000.

    This has occurred after the price broke down from a major supply cluster where short-term holders had previously found significant support. These “air gaps” are areas that typically see very little historical trading activity.

    They can either provide an opportunity for new buyers to accumulate positions and build a strong base, or, if demand fails to materialize, they can lead to sharp and swift moves to the downside.

    “The market is effectively re-finding its footing,” the Glassnode analysts wrote, framing the range between $110,000 (the prior all-time high) and and 116,000 (the cost basis for recent buyers ) as the new critical battleground.

    They noted that while some opportunistic buying has emerged on there cent dip, with approximately 120,000 BTC acquired by new buyers, the price has yet to reclaim key resistance levels convincingly.

    A particularly important threshold is the 116,9K level, which marks the entry point for many recent short-term holders.

    Cooling sentiment: ETF outflows and reduced leverage

    Several indicators point to a cooling of the bullish fervor that recently propelled Bitcoin to its record highs. Short-term holder profitability has dropped from a peak of 100% down to 70%.

    While Glassnode frames this as a typical development for a bull market’s mid-phase, they caution that without a fresh wave of capital inflows, this could quickly erode market sentiment.

    Indeed, spot Bitcoin ETF flows have recently turned negative, with a 1,500 BTC outflow recorded earlier this week—the largest single-day outflow since April.

    At the same time, funding rates in the derivatives market have cooled significantly, a sign of reduced leverage and a more cautious stance among speculative traders.

    Market maker Enflux offered a similar take on the current environment. “Crypto markets remain in a fragile holding pattern. Despite some relief in the altcoin space, majors like BTC and ETH are still struggling to inspire confidence,” the firm wrote in a recent client note.

    “The broader trend? Heavy legs with more or less light volume.” Enflux concluded, “Until BTC and ETH reclaim strength with volume, the path of least resistance could remain sideways to down.”

    The market’s next significant move now likely hinges on whether a new cohort of buyers is willing to step in and build a solid support base within this low-volume “air gap,” or whether another flush down towards the $110,000 level is needed to fully reset the trend.

    For now, traders remain cautious, and the bulls are yet to prove they have regained control.

    Broader market snapshot

    • BTC: While the market navigates this “air gap,” some observers are pointing to a potential, longer-term Bitcoin supply shock.

    • This is being driven by reportedly drying up reserves on Over-The-Counter (OTC) desks and steady corporate accumulation, a combination that could “uncork” a major price move after a potential dip below $110,000.

    • ETH: Ethereum (ETH) is up 2% in the last 24 hours, trading just below the $3,600 mark. The CoinDesk 20 Index, which tracks a broad basket of crypto assets, gained 1.69% to 3,815.22.

    • Gold: Gold’s recent rally stalled on Wednesday as traders took profits. The market is currently weighing rising odds of a Federal Reserve rate cut against ongoing U.S. trade tensions and a looming Fed leadership shakeup.

    • This has left prices flat after a three-day gain that was driven by signs of economic weakness. Spot gold last traded at $3,372.11, down 0.24% on the day.

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  • Bitcoin hovers near $66.5k as Mt.Gox users ‘choose to hodl’

    Bitcoin hovers near $66.5k as Mt.Gox users ‘choose to hodl’

    • Bitcoin price still hovers above $66k despite Mt. Gox repayments.
    • Analysts say on-chain data shows most BTC holders receiving the repayments are choosing to hodl.
    • BTC price may benefit from this, with a potential to rebound to recent highs.

    Bitcoin traded to above $66,500 on Wednesday morning as the market looked to bounce following fresh downside pressure.

    The dip to lows of $65,444 on crypto exchange Coinbase happened as traders reacted to news that the US government had sent BTC to exchanges.

    Bitcoin holds above $66k

    Movement from the Mt. Gox wallets amid repayments also spooked some to introduce selling pressure. The return of outflows for spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds on Tuesday supported this outlook, with over $78 million in outflows breaking a 12-day streak.

    So while prices have dipped since trading to highs of $68,495 earlier in the week, analysts are bullish on the flagship cryptocurrency’s recovery in the short term.

    Price holding above $66k points to this and analysts at CryptoQuant says positive sentiment could increase given Mt. Gox BTC recipients are largely choosing to hodl rather than sell. Bitcoin outflows from Kraken have continued to rise and analysts see it as a likely positive signal.

    “Significant increase in BTC withdrawals from Kraken after affected Mt.Gox users start receiving their $BTC. This could be a positive signal, indicating that they are not selling and are preparing to hold their coins, moving them from the exchange to cold wallets,” CryptoQuant posted on X.

    Nonetheless, Bitcoin price is currently at a level that 1-3 month BTC holders may look to sell. CryptoQuant analyst Yonsei said a breakdown from the $66.5k area could see BTC seek support around $63.6k.

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  • BTC hovers at $30k amid lowest historical volatility for 2023

    BTC hovers at $30k amid lowest historical volatility for 2023

    • BTC price is near the $30k mark, which bulls may be desperate to protect.
    • Bitcoin’s  historical volatility is at its lowest level in 2023.
    • Short-term bullish target could be above $34k, while major support is near $28.2k.

    Bitcoin’s price remains above $30,000 on Monday, but is seeing “remarkably little volatility.” According to a key technical analysis indicator for this measure, the prices are tightly squeezed to suggest a breakout in either direction could be big.

    Bitcoin price outlook: Bollinger Bands

    According to on-chain data and analytics provider Glassnode, the Bollinger Bands are tightly squeezed and a price range of only 4.2% separates the upper and lower bands. The platform notes that this outlook has Bitcoin at its quietest since early January.

    The digital asset market continues to see remarkably little volatility, with the classic 20-day Bollinger Bands experiencing an extreme squeeze. A price range of just 4.2% separates the upper and lower Bollinger bands, making this is the quietest #Bitcoin market since the lull in early January,” Glassnode analysts tweeted, sharing the chart below.

    Bitcoin price Bollinger Bands range. Source: Glassnode on Twitter. 

    In technical analysis, the Bollinger indicator offers a chart outlook where price trends reflect the market’s volatility. Traders use the indicator to identify overbought or oversold market conditions.

    Bitcoin recently broke from above the upper bands and currently fluctuates beneath the middle trendline. Support of the lower Bollinger bands is around the crucial $30k level.

    Data shows BTC price has declined from highs of $30,400 late Sunday, touching intraday lows of $30.079 on Monday morning. Currently at around $30,180, the top cryptocurrency by market cap is down about 0.5%.

    While accumulation around the current prices is staggering, bulls have to hold above this psychological support base. If not, bears could push lower first before a likely short squeeze catapults BTC/USD to potentially news YTD highs of $34k. The key downturn levels to watch in the short term are at $28,200 and $25,600.



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  • Bitcoin continues “boring action” as BTC hovers above $22k

    Bitcoin continues “boring action” as BTC hovers above $22k

    • Bitcoin on-chain exchange flows were $4 billion in and $4 billion out last week, Glassnode data shows.
    • Crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe highlights BTC’s “boring price action” as bulls struggle above $22,000.
    • BTC price saw downward action last week following a series of negative market related news.

    The global cryptocurrency market cap remains above the $1 trillion mark, with the past 24 hours seeing roughly 0.6% in downward change. The global trading volume in the last 24 hours is around $38.9 billion.

    But while Bitcoin (BTC) dominance hovers at 40.4%, the price action has weirdly remained more like a stablecoin. As noted on Sunday, Bitcoin managed to bounce off the $22,000 low reached as markets reacted to news related to Silvergate and Tether (USDT).

    Bitcoin price continues to hover above $22k

    Weekly on-chain exchange flow, a metric that shows the difference in BTC volume flows onto and off exchanges, points to the aforementioned flat action for Bitcoin price. The net flow aligns with the largely doji candlesticks the leading crypto by market cap has witnessed since last week.

    Popular crypto analyst and trader Michael van de Poppe has highlighted the “boring price action” for Bitcoin since last week’s sharp retreat.

    According to the analyst, BTC is still poised for a fresh bounce higher as bulls hold above key support. He also points to equities and notes a bounce for indices is likely to cascade into the crypto market. However, if a new “sweep of the lows” to $21,500 fails to hold, it could spell further losses for BTC.

    BTC sees $17.8 million in weekly net flows

    As for the net flow, data from on-chain analytics platform Glassnode shows about $17.8 million in net flows, with $4 billion in inflows and roughly $4 billion in off-exchange flows last week.

    The net flow for Ethereum, the second largest cryptocurrency by market cap and with over 17% of market dominance, was about $423.8 million. The leading altcoin’s exchange flows was $2 billion in on-chain inflows and $2.4 billion in outflows this past week.

    On the other hand, the leading stablecoin Tether (USDT) saw weekly net flows of about 160 million, with total $6 billion flowing into exchanges and $6.2 billion withdrawn.



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