Tag: impact

  • Crypto market braces for impact amid Trump’s tense global tariff negotiations

    Crypto market braces for impact amid Trump’s tense global tariff negotiations

    Bitcoin, Ethereum, Crypto

    • Cryptocurrencies have seen a sudden dip as Trump proposes a 50% tariff on EU goods.
    • Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped by 4% while Ethereum (ETH) has dropped by over 3%.
    • As the market braces for tariffs’ impact, the recently held TRUMP memecoin gala dinner has stirred controversy and market volatility.

    The cryptocurrency market, known for its volatility, is now facing fresh uncertainty as US President Donald Trump intensifies global tariff negotiations, sending shockwaves through both traditional and digital financial systems.

    Bitcoin (BTC), which recently hit an all-time high of $111,814, has become increasingly sensitive to geopolitical developments, with its price movements closely tracking Trump’s latest trade threats.

    Notably, BTC has today experienced a sharp 4% decline, with Ethereum following closely with a 3.2% drop following Trump’s Truth Social post declaring that negotiations with the European Union were “going nowhere,” a statement that immediately rattled markets.

    As panic spread, over $300 million in leveraged positions were liquidated, showcasing how digital assets, often viewed as uncorrelated, are becoming more reactive to global policy decisions.

    90-day tariff pause almost coming to an end

    As the 90-day tariff pause nears its expiry, Trump has proposed a 50% tariff on EU imports, alongside a 25% tariff specifically targeting iPhones manufactured abroad, raising alarms about broader economic implications.

    Trump proposes 50% tarrof on EU imports

    Investors now fear that these tariffs could not only escalate trade tensions but also lead to retaliatory actions from the EU, further complicating global market conditions.

    Even though the EU has so far refrained from escalating the situation, the clock is ticking, with a 90-day tariff pause set to expire in July, placing immense pressure on ongoing negotiations.

    Only the United Kingdom has finalised a trade agreement so far, and while India is expected to sign within days, other major players remain in a tense waiting game.

    Market downturn amid fears of resumption of tariffs

    With July just a month away, market watchers like Crypto Caesar now see Bitcoin’s $110,000 level as a key resistance point, with traders emphasising the need for BTC to hold above $109,000 to preserve the current bullish structure.

    Ethereum (ETH) has not been spared from the volatility, holding a support level at $2,500 but struggling to breach the persistent resistance at $2,700, even as daily losses extend to 4%.

    Notably, the ETHBTC pair continues to drift downward, suggesting weakening momentum in altcoins unless the broader market stabilises or Ethereum regains relative strength.

    Pi Coin, another asset under scrutiny, showed signs of upward movement earlier this month but failed to maintain gains above $1.23 due to aggressive short-term selling and long-term investor scepticism.

    US tech stocks have mirrored the downturn in crypto, with Apple shares falling amid fears that higher costs could be passed on to consumers, hurting demand and corporate profits alike.

    Trump’s involvement in crypto stirs controversy

    Amid all this, Trump’s personal involvement in crypto has added an unexpected layer of controversy, culminating in a high-profile gala for top holders of the TRUMP memecoin.

    The event, attended by major figures like TRON founder Justin Sun, drew widespread criticism and accusations of corruption, especially as federal lawmakers call for investigations into presidential conflicts of interest in cryptocurrency ventures.

    Following the gala, the TRUMP token spiked to $16 before dropping to $13.81, reflecting how quickly sentiment can shift amid political spectacle and regulatory uncertainty.

    While Trump’s supporters argue that his aggressive trade stance is a strategic play to bring manufacturing back to the US, economists warn of rising consumer prices and slower economic growth.

    Crypto traders, already bracing for volatility, now find themselves navigating a complex intersection of policy, politics, and profit, where even a single headline can trigger billions in liquidations.

    As July approaches and the tariff deadline looms, the crypto market remains on edge, anticipating either a breakthrough in trade talks or another wave of volatility that could reshape investor confidence once again.



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  • K33 Research cautions Mt. Gox’s imminent $9B payout could impact Bitcoin (BTC)

    K33 Research cautions Mt. Gox’s imminent $9B payout could impact Bitcoin (BTC)

    Mt. Gox's imminent $9B payout could impact Bitcoin (BTC)
    • Gox to distribute 142,000 BTC and 143,000 BCH, valued at over $9 billion, to creditors.
    • The payout process could commence as early as next month.
    • All eyes are on the impact of the payout on Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash price especially after the bitcoin halving event.

    Mt. Gox, once a major player in the cryptocurrency exchange scene, faced a devastating hack in 2014, leading to its collapse. Now, nearly a decade later, the defunct exchange is preparing to distribute a significant sum of digital assets including approximately 142,000 Bitcoin (BTC) and 143,000 Bitcoin Cash (BCH), amounting to over $9 billion in total, to creditors.

    This impending payout has prompted concerns among market observers, with K33 Research highlighting the possibility of a negative impact on the price of Bitcoin in a report released on Tuesday.

    According to the analysts, the influx of Mt. Gox coins into the market could create downward pressure on BTC valuation in the coming weeks.

    Possible implications for Bitcoin (BTC) price

    K33 Research analysts have highlighted concerns that the influx of Mt. Gox’s digital assets into the market could exert downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price in the coming weeks. While creditors may not immediately liquidate their assets, the anticipation surrounding the payout could instil caution among investors, potentially dampening market sentiment.

    Creditors recently received updates on their BTC and BCH claims, indicating that payments could commence sooner than initially anticipated. This development, coupled with the looming deadline set by Mt. Gox trustees for reimbursements, has intensified speculation within the crypto community.

    Market observers remain divided on the potential impact of Mt. Gox’s payout on Bitcoin’s price. While some believe that creditors may opt to hold onto their funds, others fear that the sheer volume of digital assets entering the market could trigger a sell-off, leading to a temporary downturn in prices.

    Despite the uncertainty surrounding Mt. Gox’s payout, the crypto market continues to show resilience in the face of external pressures. However, investors are advised to exercise caution and closely monitor developments related to the distribution process to mitigate any adverse effects on their portfolios especially according to the K33 Research analysts warning.

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  • NFP payrolls news and its impact on Bitcoin price

    NFP payrolls news and its impact on Bitcoin price

    • Bitcoin price has been in a consolidation phase in the past few weeks.

    • The US will publish the latest non-farm payrolls (NFP) data.

    • Strong jobs numbers will be bearish for BTC.

    Bitcoin price has been in a tight range in the past few months. BTC/USD has remained between last month’s low of about 16,285 and a high of 18,455. Bitcoin has dropped by more than 22% from the highest level in November. 

    US non-farm payrolls data

    Bitcoin price has been in a consolidation phase in the past few weeks. The next key catalyst for the BTC price will be the upcoming American jobs data. Economists surveyed by Reuters believe that the economy added more than 200k jobs while the unemployment rate remained at 3.7%. If analysts are accurate, it means that the economy added millions of jobs in 2022.

    They also expect the data to show that the country’s wages held steady in December. The average hourly earnings are expected to have risen by 5.0% while the participation rate remained at 62.1%. These numbers will come a day after ADP published strong jobs numbers. They showed that the economy added 235k jobs.

    US jobs numbers have an impact on Bitcoin prices because they tend to influence the Federal Reserve. The Fed has a dual mandate to ensure that inflation and unemployment rate are steady. It tends to hike rates when inflation is rising. In 2022, the bank hiked rates by 450 basis points. 

    The NFP payrolls data will come two days after the Federal Reserve published minutes of the past meeting. These minutes revealed that the Fed was considering hiking interest rates in 2023 in a bid to bring inflation lower.

    All signs are that inflation is easing. In December, inflation data showed that consumer prices dropped to 7.3% in November. With gasoline prices and natural gas prices falling, there is a likelihood that inflation eased.

    Bitcoin price will likely drop if the US publishes strong jobs data because it will mean that the Fed will continue hiking rates.

    Bitcoin price prediction

    BTC chart by TradingView

    The four-hour chart showed that Bitcoin has been in a consolidation phase in the past few weeks. As a result, it has remained at 25-day and 50-day moving averages. It is also moved slightly above the Woodie pivot point while the Average True Range (ATR) has pointed downwards.

    Therefore, Bitcoin will likely remain in this range in the coming days as investors wait for the upcoming US inflation data. The key level to watch will be at $15,800.

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