Tag: points

  • Bitcoin, altcoins slip as the Fed lowers interest rates by 25 basis points

    Bitcoin, altcoins slip as the Fed lowers interest rates by 25 basis points

    Bitcoin, altcoins slip as the Fed lowers interest rates by 25 basis points

    • The US Fed has cut rates by 25 bps, signaling a softer monetary stance.
    • Bitcoin price is down 3% to $111,400 as traders digest the policy move.
    • Fed to end the quantitative tightening on December 1.

    The cryptocurrency market has seen renewed volatility after the US Federal Reserve announced a widely expected 25-basis-point interest rate cut.

    Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and other altcoins have reacted with mild declines as traders digested the central bank’s decision and its implications for the broader economy and digital asset markets.

    Fed delivers another cut amid economic uncertainty

    The Federal Reserve reduced its benchmark federal funds rate by a quarter of a percentage point, bringing it down to a target range of 3.75%-4%.

    This marks the second consecutive rate cut as policymakers move to support a cooling economy.

    The decision, anticipated by nearly all market participants, came amid ongoing concerns over a weakening labor market, a persistent government shutdown, and the scarcity of fresh economic data.

    At the post-meeting press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that while some key federal data releases have been delayed by the government shutdown, the available public and private sector information suggests that the outlook for employment and inflation has changed little since the September meeting.

    Powell also cautioned that another rate cut in December is “not a foregone conclusion.”

    While projections released in September had indicated potential reductions in both October and December, Powell emphasized that the December move is not assured, signaling a more data-dependent approach by the central bank.

    The Fed also announced it would end its quantitative tightening program on December 1, signaling a gradual shift toward a less restrictive policy stance.

    However, not all members of the Federal Open Market Committee agree on how quickly to ease policy.

    Some, like Stephen Miran, have argued for a steeper 50-basis-point reduction to accelerate growth, while others — including Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan — advocated caution.

    This internal split underscores growing uncertainty over how the Fed will navigate the coming months.

    Crypto markets unimpressed as Bitcoin price slips

    In the hours following the Fed announcement, Bitcoin price slipped roughly 3% to trade near $111,400, while Ethereum hovered around $4,000, down a similar margin.

    The broader crypto market cap stood at $3.86 trillion, after a modest 2.4% drop, with many top assets in the red.

    Liquidations across derivatives platforms totaled approximately $560 million, reflecting a brief wave of volatility.

    The muted reaction suggests the rate cut had been largely priced in, with traders anticipating the move weeks in advance.

    Bitcoin’s weakness, in particular, follows a broader retreat from the all-time high it reached earlier this month.

    Despite optimism surrounding lower rates and renewed liquidity, the market remains cautious.

    Ethereum and other leading altcoins, including Solana (SOL), XRP, and Binance Coin (BNB), have also registered small daily losses.

    Economic backdrop weighs on investor sentiment

    Recent data from the Chicago Fed shows unemployment holding near 4.3%, its highest level in four years, while inflation continues to hover around 3%, above the central bank’s 2% target.

    The Conference Board’s Expectations Index also remains below levels typically associated with economic optimism, fueling fears of a potential recession.

    These signals paint a picture of an economy losing momentum.

    With inflation still elevated and job growth softening, the Fed faces a delicate balancing act — supporting growth without reigniting price pressures.

    Analysts suggest that if the economy slows further, additional rate cuts could follow before the end of the year.

    Markets now await Powell’s next move

    Traders will closely watch Powell’s comments for hints about how long the current easing cycle might continue.

    Many expect the Fed to maintain a cautious tone while emphasizing flexibility, given the lack of up-to-date economic data due to the government shutdown.

    Crypto analysts believe that a sustained move toward lower rates and an eventual halt to balance-sheet tightening could support digital assets in the medium term.

    Easier financial conditions tend to encourage risk-taking, and historically, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have benefited when liquidity expands.

    Still, near-term volatility is likely.

    The Bitcoin price remains sensitive to macroeconomic shifts, and with uncertainty over both monetary policy and the global economic outlook, traders may see further swings before the market finds its next direction.

    In the short term, crypto investors are bracing for Powell’s remarks and any signals of further easing.

    While lower interest rates can provide relief for risk assets, the path forward remains uncertain — and for now, Bitcoin and altcoins appear content to wait for clearer signs from the Fed’s next move.

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  • Crypto Fear and Greed Index Points to Bitcoin Price Path to $40K

    Crypto Fear and Greed Index Points to Bitcoin Price Path to $40K

    Crypto fear and greed index has moved to the greed area ahead of the upcoming Bitcoin options expiry. Bitcoin price was trading at $30,392 on Wednesday, where it has been in the past few days. This price is a few points below the year-to-date high of $31,478. At its peak, the coin jumped by more than 104% from the lowest level in 2022.

    Fear and greed index points to greed

    The crypto fear and greed index has made a strong recovery in the past few weeks. It has moved from the fear zone of 41 to the greed area of 62. This means that investors are getting modestly greedy helped by the recent ETF news. The most recent Bitcoin news came on Tuesday when Fidelity announced that it had filed its ETF proposal with the SEC.

    Investors believe that a spot ETF will lead to more demand for Bitcoin from institutional investors. Still, this view should be taken with a grain of salt since ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) has had modest growth in the past few years. It now has about $1 billion in assets. While BITO tracks Bitcoin futures, it has a close correlation with Bitcoin itself.

    The fear and greed index points to more upside for Bitcoin since investors tend to buy it when there is greed in the market. Perhaps, these gains will happen ahead or after the upcoming Bitcoin options expiry scheduled for Friday this week. 

    Data shows that most of these options are calls with a strike price of about $30,000. This explains why Bitcoin has barely moved this week.

    Bitcoin price prediction

    A good technical analysis can help you predict the next price action of a cryptocurrency or other assets. Turning to the daily chart, we see that Bitcoin is oscillating at the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level. This is an important level that traders look at.

    At the same time, this is an important price since it was the highest point on April 14th. Most importantly, the coin has formed what looks like a bullish pennant pattern. Therefore, there is a likelihood that the price will soon have a bullish breakout as buyers target the next key level at $35,000. This price is about 15% above the current level. A move above this level will see it jump to the next resistance point at $40,000.

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  • ETH crosses $2,000 as analyst points to smaller altcoins

    ETH crosses $2,000 as analyst points to smaller altcoins

    • ETH price rose to highs of $2,009 on Binance.
    • Ethereum’s Shanghai/Shapella upgrade went live successfully on Wednesday,12 April, 2023.
    • Crypto analyst Rekt Capital says Ether’s price movement is a “leading indicator” for altcoins and that coming weeks could be interesting.

    Ethereum price rallied past the $2,000 level on Thursday, rising to highs of $2,009 on crypto exchange Binance.

    The uptick for the ETH price above the key hurdle came after the world’s largest proof-of-stake blockchain network underwent a successful software upgrade.

    As CoinJournal highlighted earlier Thursday, ETH had looked to break above the psychological level following the Shanghai upgrade. After the upgrade went live and withdrawals of staked ETH enabled, bulls defied negative projections to break above a supply zone that has held since August 2022.

    ETH breaks $2,000 as analyst says altcoins could be interesting in coming weeks

    According to crypto analyst Rekt Capital, the top altcoin is a “leading indicator for smaller altcoins.” He suggests the breakout for Ethereum could trigger new momentum for some of the leading altcoins, probably highlighting the possibility of an alt season kicking off.

    ETH is a Leading Indicator for smaller Altcoins. This is why the #ETH breakout may very well set the stage for an interesting period for other Altcoins in the coming weeks,” the highly respected crypto trader and analyst said.

    Rekt believes the Bitcoin bull market is just starting, but Ethereum’s price movement suggests current prices might be a great entry point for many alts.  

    ETH at $2000. That’s one reason why it might be worth entering Altcoins early on in this #BTC Bull Market,” the analyst tweeted.

    Ether is currently trading around $1,998, roughly 4.8% up in the past 24 hours.



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  • pattern points to a comeback

    pattern points to a comeback

    • Bitcoin price has retreated after the Fed decision.

    • The Fed decided to hike rates by 50 basis points.

    • The inverted head & shoulders pattern points to more upside.

    Bitcoin price pulled back on Thursday as the market reflected on the latest interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve. After soaring to $18,378 on Wednesday, Bitcoin retreated by 4% to $17,673. It is still substantially higher than the year-to-date low of $15,470.

    Central banks downshift

    The BTC/USD, BTC/GBP, and BTC/EUR prices declined slightly after central banks started to downshift their policies. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve decided to hike interest rates by 0.50%, which was lower than the last four hikes of 0.75%.

    And on Thursday, other influential central banks decided to lower the size of their rate increases. In the UK, the Bank of England (BoE) decided to hike rates by 0.50%, which was lower than the previous increase of 0.75%. The same happened in the European Union, where the European Central Bank (ECB) increased by 0.50%.

    Federal Reserve decision

    Bitcoin’s main catalyst was the Fed statement. In it, the bank sounded more hawkish and hinted that it will continue hiking in 2023. Precisely, it guided that it will deliver another 0.75% hike in 2023 before hitting a pause. 

    As such, it will likely hike interest rates by 0.50% in February following another 0.25% in March. Alternatively, it could deliver three 25 basis point increases, as we wrote in this article.

    Still, I believe that the Fed was concerned about the falling bond yields and the signal they were sending. In the past few weeks, bond yields and mortgage rates have been falling. As such, the trend could spur more inflation in the coming months.

    Bitcoin also reacted to the latest outflows from key exchanges, which is a signal that many investors are afraid of the industry. This is confirmed by the fear and greed index, which has dropped to 24. Binance has seen outflows worth $5.2 billion in the past 7 days.

    Bitcoin price prediction

    BTC/USD chart by TradingView

    The 4H chart shows that the BTC price formed a bearish engulfing pattern on Wednesday. In price action analysis, this pattern is usually a bearish sign. A closer look shows that the coin formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern. The neckline of this pattern is at $17,437.

    Therefore, I suspect that Bitcoin will form a break-and-retest pattern, which is a bullish sign. If this happens, it will likely resume the bullish trend as investors digest the latest decision. A such, the coin will likely rise to a high of $19,000.

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