Tag: Rate

  • Bitcoin is rallying due to interest rate forecasts, says Coinjournal’s Dan Ashmore

    Bitcoin is rallying due to interest rate forecasts, says Coinjournal’s Dan Ashmore

    Key takeaways

    • Bitcoin is trading above the $28k level for the first time since June 2022.

    • Coinjournal’s Dan Ashmore believes that the interest rate forecasts are responsible for the ongoing rally by Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

    • Many in the market still consider the recent banking crisis as the reason why investors are entering the crypto market.

    Interest rate forecasts behind Bitcoin’s rally

    Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market cap, has been performing excellently over the past few weeks. At press time, the price of Bitcoin stands at $28,411, up by 13% over the last seven days.

    Many in the crypto space attribute the ongoing crypto rally to the collapse of a few banks, including Signature Bank, Silvergate Bank, and Silicon Valley Bank. 

    However, during an interview with CNBC, Coinjournal’s Dan Ashmore pointed out that Bitcoin’s rally has to do with the interest rate forecasts rather than the recent banking crisis.

    Regarding the ongoing rally, Ashmore said;

    “It is a reaction to the complete flip in interest rate forecasts in the wider economy. If you go back to before the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, there was an 83% probability that the interest rate would be increased by 100 basis points by the summer. Today, when we look at that, it is completely the opposite, and there is almost 100% of rate cuts.”

    He added that the crypto market is reacting to the probability that the Fed’s recent interest rate hikes are coming to an end.

    Interest rate cut is music to crypto investors

    With Bitcoin trading at $28k per coin, investors would be optimistic that prices could soar higher over the coming days and weeks.

    According to Ashmore, cryptocurrencies trade as risk-on assets, and an interest rate cut is music to the ears of crypto investors. 

    Ashmore also discussed the correlation between cryptocurrencies and tech stocks. According to the Coinjournal analyst, while many expect crypto to be an independent hedge, the assets still very much correlate with the stock market, especially tech stocks. He concluded that

    “The NASDAQ index rises, Bitcoin’s price also rises. The NASDAQ falls, and Bitcoin also falls a little more. The last couple of weeks have been interesting as Bitcoin has outperformed the NASDAQ. But it is a reflection of the fact that Bitcoin is trading in correlation with the interest rate forecasts.”



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  • What is the Bitcoin hash rate? And why is at all-time highs?

    What is the Bitcoin hash rate? And why is at all-time highs?

    Key Takeaways

    • The Bitcoin hash rate is the amount of computing power contributed towards mining
    • It has continued to take new all-time highs
    • This squeezes miners’ profitability, at a time when electricity costs have risen and the Bitcoin price has fallen
    • Overall, a high hash rate implies a healthy and more secure Bitcoin network

     

    “All-time high” is a phrase I haven’t used in a while when covering the cryptocurrency space. But if you look, there is something that continues to hit higher highs, and that is the Bitcoin hash rate.

    Bitcoin’s hash rate refers to the amount of computing power that is being contributed to the network through mining. And as the chart below shows, its inexorable rise during the pandemic does not seem to be slowing down. But what does this mean, and why is it rising?

    What is the Bitcoin hash rate?

    Gone are the days when anyone could mine on their personal computer. Today, mining is dominated by large mining pools, using specialised computers specifically designed for this purpose.

    The practice of mining actually involves these computers solving complex mathematical puzzles. Once this puzzle is solved, the latest block of transactions can be validated and attached to the blockchain, before the process repeats regarding the next block and the next mathematical puzzle. Once a puzzle is solved and a block validated, the miner responsible for this work gets paid in newly created bitcoins.

    This is all very complicated, but what is important to understand is that Bitcoin is programmed to release a specific number of Bitcoin over time, with the blockchain coded such that a new block is added (validated) every ten minutes.

    But as more computers join the network and the hash rate increases, these puzzles should get solved quicker, meaning quicker block time and more bitcoins released. Right? Well, here is the thing. A difficulty adjustment is coded into Bitcoin – that means that the more computing power that joins the network, the harder it is to solve those puzzles.

    Don’t ask me how this works, because I don’t even come close to understanding what is under the hood of the mythical beast that is the Bitcoin blockchain, but the main point is that as more miners join, the difficulty goes up.

    And as Bitcoin has become more popular (and risen in price), that is exactly what has happened. More miners have joined the network, and today it is a highly advanced process. Ten years ago, when only few miners existed, you and I could have pulled out our laptops and mined to a reasonable degree.

    Why is at all-time highs?

    There are a number of reasons why hash rate continues to surge to new highs. But the bottom line is that the increase in miners causes the hash rate to climb.

    Thus the question really asks why miners are continuing to join, when the price of Bitcoin has been plummeting. There are a couple of potential answers here.

    The first is that during the pandemic bull run, mining equipment was scarce and prices for items such as chips were sky-high. Many miners ordered new mining rigs during the bull run, but only received the equipment recently (or some, not even yet).

    Additionally, as the price of Bitcoin fell, the profitability of mining also decreased, given miners’ revenue is denominated in Bitcoin. New mining equipment has been developed and is selling for a lower price than previously, helping to push the number of miners higher.

    One other theory is the Ethereum Merge. This took place in September, when Ethereum transitioned from Proof-of-Work to Proof-of-Stake, meaning mining on the network ceased. Hence, some of these out-of-work Ethereum miners transitioned across to Bitcoin mining.

    What does a higher hash rate mean?

    The first consequence of an increasing hash rate is obviously greater pressure on miners. More competition and a higher required hash rate squeeze their profitability, especially at a time when electricity costs have risen and revenue (Bitcoin) has fallen.

    The best way to see this is to glance at the share price action throughout 2022 of some of the public mining companies.

    On the positive side, the Bitcoin hash rate is considered a security metric for the network. The higher the hash rate, the more secure the network, so in that context, the all-time high represents a good thing.

    This is why a high hash rate is generally looked upon favourably, as it implies a healthy network. Only problem is, miners are feeling the squeeze.

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  • Bitcoin retreats below $18k as Fed raises interest rate to a 15-year high

    Bitcoin retreats below $18k as Fed raises interest rate to a 15-year high

    • Bitcoin has dropped below the $18k once again following its rally earlier this week.

    • The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by half a point a few hours ago.

    • The total crypto market cap continues to stay above $800 billion.

    Federal Reserve raises interest rate once again

    The Federal Reserve announced on Wednesday that it had raised its benchmark interest rate to the highest level in 15 years. Thus, indicating that the fight against inflation in the United States is not over. 

    The interest rate was increased by half a point, taking it to a targeted range between 4.25% and 4.5%. This latest cryptocurrency news put a halt to Bitcoin’s recent rally. The leading cryptocurrency is down by less than 1% in the last 24 hours and is now trading below $18k. At press time, the price of Bitcoin stands at $17,737. 

    The broader crypto market has also been underperforming, having lost more than 1% of its value in the last 24 hours. The total cryptocurrency market cap now stands at around $860 billion.

    Key levels to watch

    The BTC/USD 4-hour chart remains bullish despite Bitcoin underperforming over the past 24 hours. In the last seven days, BTC has added more than 5% to its value.

    The MACD line remains above the neutral zone, indicating that the bulls have not given up control of the Bitcoin market. The 14-day relative strength index of 54 also shows that Bitcoin has not yet entered the oversold region.

    If the bears gain bigger control, Bitcoin could decline below the $17,090 support level over the next few hours. However, the bulls still maintain a level of control, and BTC could recover from this slight dip. If that happens, BTC could be trading above $18k soon again.

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  • Shiba Inu (SHIB) Price Jumps 10% While Burn Rate Spikes – What To Expect

    Shiba Inu (SHIB) Price Jumps 10% While Burn Rate Spikes – What To Expect

    Shiba Inu (SHIB) coin price jumped 10% in the previous three days. Additionally, the Shiba Inu burn rate spiked at 14,267% early on Thursday.

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