Tag: Rise

  • Myx Finance (MYX) price continues to rise despite insider manipulation fears

    Myx Finance (MYX) price continues to rise despite insider manipulation fears

    Myx Finance (MYX) price continues to rise

    • Myx Finance (MYX) hits $4.20 after a 160% daily surge with record trading volumes.
    • Analysts have flagged token unlocks and whale-driven short squeezes as red flags.
    • The Myx Finance V2 upgrade hype and new exchange listings are fueling the bullish market sentiment.

    The price of Myx Finance’s native token, MYX, has surged to fresh highs, making it one of today’s top gainers in the crypto market.

    The price surge comes as excitement builds around the platform’s forthcoming protocol upgrade, even as traders and analysts voice growing concerns about insider activity and manipulation.

    Myx Finance token price hits new ATH

    MYX climbed as high as $4.20 on September 8, marking a new all-time high and cementing its place among the day’s top gainers.

    MYX Finance price chart

    The rally has been extraordinary in scale, with the token jumping more than 160% in the past 24 hours and over 260% during the last week.

    Notably, the token’s market capitalisation has risen above $520 million, while fully diluted valuation now exceeds $4 billion.

    The trading activity behind the rally has also been notable.

    In a single day, MYX registered more than $328 million in trading volume, a sharp increase compared to earlier in the month.

    The derivatives market has been even more heated, with perpetual futures volumes reported at more than $4 billion and open interest more than doubling, according to data from Coinglass.

    MYX fiannce futures open interest

    Together, these numbers point to speculative traders piling in, pushing leverage and volatility higher.

    Hype builds around Myx Finance’s V2 upgrade

    Part of the optimism stems from the upcoming launch of Myx Finance’s V2 upgrade.

    The new version promises features such as zero-slippage trading, cross-chain support, and a more seamless user experience.

    Supporters argue these improvements could make MYX a stronger rival to established decentralised exchanges.

    Interestingly, the upgrade hype has coincided with fresh listings on larger exchanges, including Binance Alpha, which has boosted liquidity and widened access to the token.

    Reports of institutional wallets accumulating MYX ahead of the update have further fueled confidence.

    This combination of technical improvements and stronger market access has helped sustain bullish momentum, even as critics warn that the price is running ahead of fundamentals.

    Concerns over insider activity

    As the MYX token continues to rise, questions have arisen about the sustainability of the rally as several developments cause concerns.

    One of the issues under scrutiny is the timing of the recent 39 million token unlock that coincided almost perfectly with the price surge, raising questions about whether early holders were using the retail rush to offload holdings.

    In addition, several analysts have flagged red flags that point to manipulation.

    Commentators such as Dominic, a well-followed Web3 analyst, argue that whales deliberately triggered short squeezes to push the price higher and liquidate leveraged positions.

    In support of the concerns raised by Dominic, Coinglass’ liquidations data shows that more than $13.77 million worth of shorts were wiped out in a single day, creating forced buying pressure that exaggerated the rally.

    On-chain data has also shown coordinated buying across exchanges, with multiple small trades funnelled into central wallets — a pattern consistent with wash trading.

    Notably, the current occurrences mirror earlier episodes in the project’s history.

    In August, MYX gained nearly 2,000% before crashing more than 60% in the weeks that followed; a pattern reminiscent of the collapse of Mantra earlier this year, when suspected insider activity triggered a sudden 90% crash in a single hour, erasing billions in value.

    MYX Finance price outlook

    Despite these warnings, not all data points to an imminent collapse.

    Some monitoring groups have noted that whales have not yet engaged in large-scale sell-offs, suggesting they may be content to hold their positions for now.

    This has lessened immediate concerns of a mass exodus, although the risk remains high.

    However, for retail traders, the split in market opinion creates uncertainty.

    On one hand, MYX has real momentum, with an upgrade that could expand its utility and strengthen its position in decentralised finance.

    On the other hand, the heavy reliance on leveraged trading, the suspicious timing of token unlocks, and the echoes of past pump-and-dump activity mean the asset carries significant risks.

    Whether the MYX price surge proves to be a sustainable breakout or a prelude to another steep correction will likely depend on how much of the current momentum is driven by genuine demand — and how much by insiders looking for an exit.



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  • XRP gains momentum as real-world assets on XRPL rise 2,260%

    XRP gains momentum as real-world assets on XRPL rise 2,260%

    XRP Price Outlook

    • The XRP price is near its all-time high as altcoins see gains.
    • XRP Ledger’s tokenized RWA grew 2,260% in six months, from $5 million to over $118 million.
    • Other metrics and broader market developments add to the bullish outlook for XRP.

    Ripple’s XRP trades around $3.50 as it continues to hover near its all-time high, with price up 21% in the past week and over 66% in the past month.

    While the overall cryptocurrency bullish sentiment has helped, key network and ecosystem catalysts are emerging, including the XRP Ledger witnessing staggering growth in tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) over the past six months.

    XRPL tokenized RWA grows 2,260% in six months

    According to the latest report, the XRP Ledger (XRPL) is gaining traction in the tokenized real-world assets market.

    In just the past six months, XRPL saw its on-chain RWA value share jump from $5 million in January 2025 to over $118 million by July 2025. This accounts for a notable 2,260% increase, growth that coincides with an explosion in the overall tokenization trend.

    Token Relations shared the XRPL data on RWA growth in a recent article on X, noting the sharp increase aligns with the Ripple network’s rising appeal as a tokenized assets platform. High transaction volumes that include a peak of 2.48 billion XRP in daily payments adds to this outlook.

    XRPL has attracted RWA integrations from Archax and Abrdn, Guggenheim Treasury Services, and Ondo Finance.  Mercado Bitcoin also plans to tokenize over $200 million in assets on the XRP Ledger, further expanding the platform’s traction.

    Assets on-chain on XRPL include U.S. Treasury bills, commercial paper, and money market funds among other traditional financial instruments.

    XRP price forecast: Ripple network activity could be key

    Tokenized RWAs is not the only metric highlighting XRP’s potential. Other key catalysts have come into play, including network milestones such as the launch of the EVM sidechain and integration of Ripple USD (RLUSD), a stablecoin that’s getting huge adoption calls.

    “Since going live, the XRPL EVM Sidechain has seen organic developer adoption, with over 1,300 smart contracts deployed, participation from more than 17,000 unique addresses, and the creation of more than 120 tokens,” Token Relations noted.

    The spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) anticipation is also crucial, as is regulatory clarity and Ripple’s settlement of its SEC legal woes.

    XRP price has gained amid these developments, with Ripple’s market cap surpassing the $200 billion as XRP hit highs of $3.64. Notably, the cryptocurrency reached its all-time high of $3.84 in 2018 and analysts say this is a milestone bulls are poised to exceed in the short-term.

    From a technical outlook angle, XRP shows strong bullish momentum. As institutional interest grows amid a confluence of regulatory clarity and network partnerships, it is clear XRP could target parabolic gains.



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  • Status (SNT) price up after 35% dev activity rise

    Status (SNT) price up after 35% dev activity rise

    • Status (SNT) price jumpd 38% in the past 24 hours.
    • Gains see the altcoin rank among best gainers today.
    • SNT broke to near $0.030 amid network growth, though potential for profit taking is high.

    Status (SNT), the utility token powering the Status Network, has seen a remarkable price surge.

    According to data from CoinMarketCap, SNT price is up 38% in the past 24 hours and over 60% in the past week. Its performance has overshadowed the plummeting MANTRA.

    Having broken above resistance at $0.023, Status price jumped to near $0.030 before paring some of the gains.

    Despite this, SNT ranks among the top gainers in the top 500 coins by market cap, behind Ardor (ARDR) and Fuel Network (FUEL). The altcoin traded around $0.028 with the daily volume spiking more than 1,200% to suggest massive market activity.

    SNT development activity on the rise

    Status has been making waves in the blockchain space, as evidenced by a 35% growth in development activity, a metric verified by Chain Broker.

    According to the analyst, Status ranked among the top 10 projects for development activity growth in the past month. Its overall activity measure of +35% put SNT alongside heavyweights like Cosmos, and Solana.

    The project’s consistent focus on its mission—delivering private messaging, crypto freedom, and true decentralization—has kept its development efforts robust. A recent update from the official Status account emphasized this commitment.

    Status is a project dedicated to enhancing an open-source messaging platform and mobile interface for Ethereum-based decentralized applications, likely contributing to its recent price momentum.

    Status price forecast: What next for SNT?

    Traders might want to watch the broader market for overall sentiment, with Bitcoin futures suggesting a weakness as China reportedly sells its seized crypto.

    If there’s a sharp retracement, wavering on the part of bulls will impact the rest of the market.

    The crypto fear & greed index also points to caution.

    Technical indicators provide an outlook for SNT’s price trajectory.

    On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 61 and upslopping, signaling a potential flip into overbought territory.

    Similarly, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reflects bullish momentum. The signal line is above the 50-period mark, while the positive histogram adds to this picture.

    However, the recent 9.65% price increase could signal a potential reversal if bullish momentum builds.

    SNT chart by TradingView

    Derivatives data from CoinGlass highlights market dynamics, showing fluctuations in futures volume and open interest for SNT.

    OI up 89% to over $7.4 million and rising trading activity in futures suggests growing speculative interest. This could amplify price volatility, with a jump in open interest continuing in the short term.

    In this case buyers could push SNT price to $0.05. However, the market continues to seesaw and SNT’s price may have to rely on support near $0.018.



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  • Crypto industry hopes rise as Donald Trump enters the White House

    Crypto industry hopes rise as Donald Trump enters the White House

    Donald Trump's transition team considering XRP, Solana, and USDC strategic reserves
    • A new era is set for the industry with the appointment of crypto-friendly candidates such as Paul Atkins
    • It remains to be seen whether the US will match similar regulatory frameworks like Europe’s MiCA
    • The rise of Bitcoin will be shaped by institutional adoption, increased regulatory clarity, and broader macroeconomic and geopolitical trends

    US President-elect Donald Trump is taking office today with his incoming administration making significant promises for the crypto industry.

    After years of battling with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) under outgoing US President Joe Biden’s administration, the crypto market is beginning to feel hopeful.

    Even before entering the White House, a shift has already taken place with the appointment of crypto-friendly candidates including Paul Atkins as the next SEC Chair and crypto czar David Sacks. Trump is also, reportedly, going to sign an executive order making crypto a priority under his leadership.

    “So far, the country has done little to advance a clear crypto regulatory framework,” said Tom Kiddle, co-founder of Palisade, a French-regulated digital asset custodian backed by Ripple, to CoinJournal. “However, Trump’s nomination of pro-crypto Paul Atkins could mark the dawn of a new era for the sector.”

    A similar MiCA framework?

    While a potentially favorable crypto environment is possible with the likes of Paul Atkins, it remains to be seen whether the new administration will match international frameworks such as Europe’s Markets in Crypto Assets (MiCA) regulations.

    According to Kiddle the “US is at a crossroads,” adding that “if the SEC adopts a constructive stance, the country could finally reclaim is position as a global leader in blockchain innovation rather than watching talent and capital drain to emerging economies.”

    Several companies, including Bitwise, Coinbase, and Ferrari are already expanding their services into Europe. With a lack of clear crypto regulations, the crypto industry isn’t reaching its full potential in the US.

    Under a Trump administration that could soon change.

    “It’s unclear how closely the administration intends to match international frameworks such as the EU’s MiCA with its regulatory plans,” said Temujin Louie, CEO of Wanchain to CoinJournal. “By closely monitoring the administration’s policies and adapting accordingly, the blockchain industry can remain focused on developing innovative solutions that promote the mainstream adoption of blockchain technology.”

    Market sentiment

    Since winning the US election in November, Trump has helped pushed market prices to new highs. In December, Bitcoin reached an all-time high of over $108,000. However, while some think Trump isn’t the only reason Bitcoin’s is rising, it’s certainly helping.

    Speaking about this to CoinJournal, James Toledano, COO of Unity Wallet, said that “Bitcoin’s price ahead of inauguration day hinges on a mix of market sentiment and speculative optimism,” adding that “the real drivers of Bitcoin’s price include adoption, regulation, and macroeconomic factors.”

    Earlier last week, it was reported that bleak economic expectations were driving the bearish sentiment within the crypto market. At the time, Bitcoin had dropped below $90,000 as Trump’s tariff plans, the US Federal Reserve’s cautious approach to interest rate cuts, and a strong dollar dampened crypto enthusiasm.

    According to Toledano, following Trump’s inauguration, the rise of Bitcoin will be shaped by institutional adoption, increased regulatory clarity, and broader macroeconomic and geopolitical trends.

    At the same time, “as pro-Bitcoin as Trump is, some other major geopolitical or macroeconomic event could knock 40%-50% off the value overnight and we’ve seen this before,” said Toledano.

    Despite this, many are hopeful that positive changes are ahead.

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  • Unity COO: It’s “disingenuous” to say Trump’s win directly caused Bitcoin price rise

    Unity COO: It’s “disingenuous” to say Trump’s win directly caused Bitcoin price rise

    An image of a Bitcoin in front a background with arrows pointing up
    • Bitcoin reached a high of $75,317 in the early hours of this morning
    • In September, Bernstein analysts predicted Bitcoin to reach between $80,000 and $90,000 by the end of 2024 if Trump won
    • Unity’s COO said to CoinJournal said it was “disingenuous” to say Trump winning the US election was the sole reason Bitcoin’s price went up

    Bitcoin rose to a record high of over $75,000 early this morning as voting results signalled a Donald Trump win for the White House.

    Data from CoinMarketCap shows Bitcoin achieved a high of $75,317 around 6:25 this morning. Before the election results started coming in last night, Bitcoin was trading at around $69,000.

    However, as the evening progressed and into the early morning, Bitcoin continued an upward trajectory before reaching its new all-time high.

    Bitcoin’s last all-time high took place in March when it reached $73,000.

    Bitcoin’s all-time high of over $75,000. Source: Coinmarketcap

     

    Data from AP News shows Trump has taken 277 of the electoral results compared to Vice President and presidential candidate Kamala Harris’ 224.

    Will the price rise continue?

    While the new high comes amid the US election results, many will be wondering whether this upward movement will continue. In September, Bernstein analysts predicted that Bitcoin could reach between $80,000 and $90,000 by the end of 2024 if Trump won the presidential election.

    According to James Toldeano, COO of self-custody wallet Unity, people need to realize that data based on the 2012, 2016, and 2020 US elections doesn’t reveal consistent patterns for the crypto market concerning election results.

    “Some have looked at the 2020 election and seen the price rise from $13,760 prior to the election on November 1, to $19,698 following the election on December 1, and immediately asserted it was the election that drove the increase,” said Toldeano to Coinjournal.

    In reality, Toldeano added, several factors contributed to the price rise, including US stimulus payments, increasing interest from companies like MicroStrategy buying Bitcoin, and people seeing Bitcoin as a safe investment during the Covid pandemic.

    “While the election happened during this time, it’s disingenuous to say it directly caused the price increase,” he said.

    In the long-term, it won’t be the election that moves the crypto market, but “broader macroeconomic events, technological advancements, shifting market sentiment, and factors outside of the next President’s control,” Toldeano explained.

    Pro-crypto

    Former US President Donald Trump has come across as more crypto-friendly compared to Harris.

    Back in May, Trump promised that, if he was re-elected, he’d free Ross Ulbricht, the Silk Road creator. Ulbricht has already served 11 years in prison. In August, Trump also promised to make America the “crypto capital of the planet.”

    In September, Trump became the first US president to use the Bitcoin network. He achieved this after sending a Bitcoin transaction at PubKey, a crypto-themed bar in New York ahead of his campaign rally in Long Island.

    On the flip side, Harris has been muted about her stance on crypto despite saying her administration would support a crypto regulatory framework if she became the next US president.

    “Incoming President Trump has the power to save crypto in the US where urgent change is needed,” said Jesper Johansen, CEO and founder of Northstake, an Ethereum staking marketplace, to Coinjournal.

    “First amongst the new administration’s priorities should be to define staking as an opportunity for US investors,” Johansen continued. “The question still lingers: is staking a commodity or a security?”

    Johansen said that $6 billion is sitting in Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which aren’t being staked, meaning investors are missing out on economic opportunities. According to Johansen, this could be one of the reasons why the uptake of Ethereum ETFs hasn’t been as popular as Bitcoin ETFs.

    “Once these core issues have been solved, changes are needed within the SEC to ensure that crypto is viewed as a vehicle of innovation, rather than something to be feared,” he added.

    Ahead of the election, Trump said he’d remove Gary Gensler, chair of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); however, it remains to be seen whether this will happen because the SEC is an independent federal agency.

    At the time of publishing, Bitcoin is trading at around $74,000.

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  • Injective (INJ) 2024 price prediction after 3000% rise in 2023 as Pullix’s presale hits $1.2M

    Injective (INJ) 2024 price prediction after 3000% rise in 2023 as Pullix’s presale hits $1.2M

    • Injective (INJ) hits ATH at $43 after a 3000% in 2023.
    • Pullix disrupts DeFi with $1.2M raised, $0.044 per PLX, and a unique hybrid approach.
    • INJ’s AI integration and Pullix’s innovative DeFi platform signal a transformative 2024.

    The recent Injective (INJ) price surge to $43 has captivated the crypto community. With a 3000% increase in 2023, this AI finance blockchain token is demonstrating robust momentum. While Bitcoin traded sideways, INJ defied market trends, securing a weekly gain of nearly 64%.

    While all eyes are on the future trajectory of INJ and the factors fueling its impressive rally, another crypto project Pullix, which is currently in the presale stage, is making waves for its revolutionary online trading model.

    Injective’s phenomenal price surge

    Injective (INJ) has been a standout performer in the cryptocurrency market, and its recent surge to $43 marks a significant milestone. With a staggering 3000% rise over the last 12 months, the AI finance blockchain has not only caught the attention of seasoned investors but also dominated social media discussions.

    Injective price chart

     

    The weekly gains of nearly 64% showcase the resilience of INJ, especially when compared to Bitcoin’s sideways movement.

    Injective price prediction

    The surge in INJ prices is not merely a short-term phenomenon. Market analysts are optimistic about its future trajectory, with the unique AI integration and a robust blockchain foundation contributing to sustained growth.

    Considering the negative correlation with Bitcoin and the ongoing buzz around AI technologies, Injective’s potential to maintain its upward trajectory remains strong. Rekt Capital has forecast that a new macro uptrend could begin once the 500-day macro downtrend, which INJ entered after hitting its new ATH, ends.

    Pullix: bridging the gap with a unique DeFi approach

    As Injective captures the limelight, another player is making waves in the decentralized finance (DeFi) space. Pullix, the new hybrid trading and investment exchange, is on the brink of disrupting traditional norms.

    With its ongoing presale, Pullix has already raised a substantial $1,201,770. The presale price of $0.044 per PLX token has attracted significant attention, and with 14.2% already sold, the countdown to the next price increase adds an element of urgency.

    What sets Pullix apart is its unique approach to bridging the gap between centralized and decentralized exchanges. Users are offered the best of both worlds, addressing the liquidity problem in DeFi that has long hindered decentralized exchanges. Pullix’s commitment to user security, a non-custodial approach, and a focus on liquidity provision distinguish it in a crowded market.

    Pullix’s ecosystem is designed with the user in mind. From institutional trading tools powered by OpenAI to perpetual futures, CFDs, and a secure vault for cryptocurrency storage, Pullix offers a comprehensive suite of features. The platform’s decentralized, off-chain order book ensures speed advantages comparable to conventional centralized exchanges. Moreover, the innovative PLX token, offering “Trade-to-Earn” benefits, has garnered attention for its revenue-sharing mechanism.

    The PLX token serves as the currency for traders on the platform, providing exclusive access, staking opportunities, and serving as a vehicle for rewards and exchangeability. The tokenomics are meticulously crafted to promote utility, sustainability, and mutual benefits for all stakeholders. The transparent allocation of tokens, including presale distribution and incentives for staking, adds to the appeal.

    Conclusion

    Injective’s remarkable surge and Pullix’s innovative approach position both projects for a promising future in 2024. As INJ continues to capture market attention with its unique AI integration, Pullix’s ongoing presale and feature-rich platform make it a contender for reshaping the landscape of decentralized finance.

    The crypto space is witnessing dynamic shifts, and the synergy between cutting-edge technologies and user-friendly platforms is propelling the industry toward a more democratized and efficient financial future.



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  • BTC to $30K? Glassnode Founders Think So; XRP, LINK, and QUBE Poised for Monumental Rise

    BTC to $30K? Glassnode Founders Think So; XRP, LINK, and QUBE Poised for Monumental Rise

    The crypto market is stirring with excitement after Glassnode founders made a bold prediction regarding Bitcoin’s future price trajectory. According to the founders of this top analytics firm, Bitcoin could soon potentially reach $30,000, which has sparked discussions and heightened enthusiasm. Additionally, other top altcoins making waves in the crypto landscape are Ripple ($XRP), Chainlink ($LINK), and InQubeta ($QUBE), which are poised for a monumental rise.

    This article will delve into the bullish price prediction of Bitcoin. Further, it will explore the promising trajectory of $XRP, $LINK, and $QUBE, including why they are the best cryptos to invest in.

    InQubeta ($QUBE): Predicted Strong Surge in 2023

    InQubeta and its native utility token, $QUBE, have generated significant interest in the crypto community. With its innovative ecosystem and novel concept, it aims to transform the most disruptive invention of this century: artificial intelligence (AI). By leveraging blockchain technology, it will become the first crowdfunding platform for AI startups via crypto and will democratize access to the AI market. This revolutionary move has seen it raise over $3.1 million in presales, making it poised for a monumental rise after its launch.

    Within its mutually beneficial ecosystem and NFT marketplace, AI startups can raise funds by minting investment opportunities, which will be tokenized as NFTs. On the other hand, by fractionalizing these NFTs backed by real-world AI investment, investors will be able to hold stakes in promising AI ventures regardless of their income. Other appeals of the token, which will contribute to its rally, include its governance function and staking mechanism. Token holders will be able to stake their tokens in exchange for rewards while also exercising voting rights.

    The ongoing $QUBE presale is currently at stage 4, priced at just $0.0133 per token. It has been tipped as a good investment thanks to its innovation and significant growth potential. According to forecasts, it will soar by 30x in the coming months.

    Bitcoin ($BTC): Bullish Glassnode Forecast

    Bitcoin is at the heart of the recent frenzy in the crypto market after the Glassnode founders’ bold forecast. This leading on-chain market intelligence’s prediction of Bitcoin reaching $30,000 has captured the attention of investors.

    As an authority in the crypto scene, this prediction is likely backed by on-chain metrics and historical patterns. The crypto community will be a spectator to how this prediction unfolds in the coming weeks. Nevertheless, Bitcoin is still the best crypto to invest in.

    XRP ($XRP): Transforming the Financial System

    $XRP is the utility token of Ripple, a payment protocol. Its traction in the crypto market has seen it become one of the top 5 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. The waning influence of the SEC on its price and the growing adoption by payment services and financial institutions make $XRP poised for a significant surge.

    Hence, $XRP is one of the tokens to look to for immense growth in the coming months. This is thanks to its solid fundamentals and increasing adoption.

    Chainlink ($LINK): Enabling Interaction with Real-World Data

    Chainlink ($LINK) is a blockchain abstraction layer. It enables universally connected smart contracts via an Oracle network. Through a decentralized Oracle network, Chainlink allows blockchains to securely interact with external data or off-chain information. Chainlink plays a critical role in enabling smart contracts to interact with real-world data.

    Its growing adoption positions it for substantial growth. Moreover, Chainlink has exhibited resilience amid the turbulent broader market and has also shown strong bullish indicators. Consequently, it is one of the top crypto coins to hold for immense growth.

    Conclusion

    With Bitcoin stirring excitement within the crypto scene amid its $30,000 bullish forecast, altcoins sharing the spotlight are $XRP, Chainlink, and InQubeta. With these tokens poised for a substantial surge in the future, they represent investment opportunities not to be missed. To participate in the novel $QUBE presale that sits at the intersection of innovation and growth, Visit InQubeta Presale or Join The InQubeta Communities.

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  • BitMEX co-founder says BTC price may rise if monetary policies tighten

    BitMEX co-founder says BTC price may rise if monetary policies tighten

    • The Federal Reserve has increased its benchmark rate from 0.25% to 5.25% over the past year.
    • BitMEX co-founder believed that bondholders might seek more lucrative “risk assets,” such as Bitcoin.
    • Bitcoin’s four-year cycles might be linked to central banks’ low-rate policies.

    Challenging the conventional wisdom regarding the relationship between Bitcoin and interest rates, BitMEX co-founder and a well-known macro-analyst Arthur Hayes recently authored a blog post in which he argues that traditional economic logic would crumble under the immense debt burden of the US government.

    Hayes said that “central banks and governments are grappling with the use of outdated economic theories to address the unique challenges of today.”

    Hayes’ assertions come as the Federal Reserve increased its benchmark rate from 0.25% to 5.25% over the past year in an effort to curb inflation and maintain a 2% target. Although the Fed has succeeded in this endeavour, Hayes voiced concerns that inflation might persistently exceed expectations, given the substantial nominal GDP growth of 9.4% in Q3, contrasted with the 5% yield on 2-year US Treasury bonds.

    GDP growth remains astonishingly high

    In his analysis, Hayes highlighted that according to data from the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow forecast, nominal GDP growth remained “astonishingly high.” Conventional economic theory would suggest that as the Fed raised rates, a credit-sensitive economy should falter. Indeed, this was evident in financial asset markets, including stocks and Bitcoin, which experienced a downturn in 2022, eroding government capital gains tax receipts.

    However, this decline in tax revenue led to increased government deficits, which needed to be funded by issuing more bonds to repay existing debt. In the context of a high-interest-rate environment, this translated to higher interest payments to wealthy bondholders.

    Hayes succinctly summarized this chain of events: “To summarize: as rates rise, the government pays more interest to the wealthy, the wealthy spend more on services, and GDP continues to grow.”

    As long as the economy outpaces the government’s debt obligations, Hayes believed that bondholders might seek more lucrative “risk assets,” such as Bitcoin.

    Efforts to combat inflation favour high-risk assets like Bitcoin

    Hayes contended that the Federal Reserve’s efforts to combat inflation would ultimately favour “finite supply risk assets” like Bitcoin. In a recent blog post, Hayes argued that the Fed’s strategy was siphoning money from one part of the economy while injecting it into another. As long as the Fed’s approach to taming inflation remained uncertain, assets like Bitcoin were likely to experience long-term growth.

    In a previous essay, Hayes had posited that Bitcoin would thrive in response to a tightening Fed, whose actions might inadvertently increase the money supply. He asserted, “If the Fed believes that it must raise interest rates and reduce its balance sheet to quell inflation, it’s essentially self-sabotaging.”

    Generally, analysts perceive lower interest rates as beneficial for Bitcoin and other risk assets, as they create an environment where investors have room to speculate for potentially higher returns. In June, Coinbase analysts issued a report suggesting that Bitcoin’s four-year cycles might be linked to central banks’ low-rate policies.

    Hayes acknowledged the positive influence of low rates on Bitcoin’s price, characterizing the asset’s relationship with central bank policy as a “positive convex relationship.” He concluded, “At the extremes, things become non-linear and sometimes binary. The US and the global economy are currently operating in such an extreme environment.”

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  • Prediction markets tokens rise as other tokens dip: Gnosis, Augur price outlook

    Prediction markets tokens rise as other tokens dip: Gnosis, Augur price outlook

    • Bitcoin has suffered its worst weekly percentage loss since the collapse of FTX.
    • Some of the factors behind the dip include reports of SpaceX selling its BTC holdings and the Chinese property giant Evergrande bankruptcy filing.
    • Top prediction markets tokens have maintained a bullish trend amid the crypto meltdown.

    In what has caught most crypto investors by surprise, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) has decreased by 11.2% to about US$26k. Last week has been the worst week for Bitcoin (BTC) since FTX’s demise in November 2022.

    The market crash has not only affected BTC, seeing that the rest of the asset class has not fared any better. Ethereum (ETH) fell by approximately 9.5% to $1.7K and Binance-coin (BNB) dropped by about 9.8% to $217, just to mention a few of the top cryptocurrencies by market capitalization.

    While most of the top cryptocurrencies experienced a price dip, popular prediction markets tokens like Gnosis (GNO), SX Network (SX), Kleros (PNK), and Augur (REP) registered significant gains. Chancer (CHANCER), a new prediction markets token is also gaining traction as its token presale continues to gain traction.

    What caused the crypto market to drop?

    The price decrease was caused by a number of causes. They included speculation that SpaceX wrote down the value of its Bitcoin assets, the collapse of the Chinese real estate firm Evergrande, and rising yields in the US.

    SpaceX Bitcoin holdings

    The Wall Street Journal published a report late last week stating that Elon Musk’s space exploration company SpaceX marked down the value of the Bitcoin it had on its books by US$373 million for the years 2022 and 2021. The report claims that the business also sold a portion of the BTC it had at one point over the previous two years. The WSJ has identified documents that it claims offer uncommon insights into the business’s finances.

    However, the WSJ’s assertions cannot be independently verified because SpaceX is a privately held corporation. Musk acknowledged that SpaceX did acquire Bitcoin during a panel appearance in 2021, but it is unclear how much or when the commodity was purchased.

    Evergrande bankruptcy 

    In a disclosure made over the weekend, the Chinese real estate tycoon Evergrande filed for bankruptcy protection in the United States. The corporation reportedly took action to secure its assets while still trying to control its creditors.

    Before proposing a comprehensive off-shore debt restructuring program in 2021, Evergrande experienced a public meltdown and went into default on its obligations. The business currently seems to be on life support.

    Investors are worried that China’s enormous real estate market may become contagious. Country Gardens and other significant developers are not paying their debts either, and the industry—which is thought to account for up to 30% of Chinese GDP—is in serious need of government assistance.

    US Treasury yields

    US Treasury yields are skyrocketing and pushing away investors from risky markets like the crypto market and toward saving. As the US Federal Reserve gradually increased rates throughout the previous year to reach a target rate of slightly over 5%, bond yields increased.

    As strong US economic data keeps coming out, yields have increased this week in anticipation that rate rises will continue. Since 2011, the 30-year US Treasury yield has never been higher. Treasury bonds give a high, secure yield, which is detracting from the value of other asset types like shares and cryptocurrencies.

    Gnosis and Augur price prediction

    Gnosis has risen by 0.2% while Augur has registered a 1% surge after a bear week. In the past seven days, Gnosis dropped by 8.8% while Augur fell by 11.7%.

    Gnosis price daily chart

     

    Having bounced off the support at $97.60, the Gnosis (GNO) token is expected to test the resistance at $104.75. However, that depends on whether the current daily candlestick closes above the lower band line of the Bollinger Bands indicator.

    Augur price daily chart

     

    Augur, on the other hand, seems to have slid into consolidation after erasing most of the gains it made between July 19 and July 20. All eyes are on the support at $0.3246 and the resistance at $2.1844. If the REP price jumps above the upper Bollinger Bands line, it could test the $2.1844 resistance level and if it drops below the lower Bollinger Bands line, it could drop to the support at $0.3246.

    The prediction markets tokens including Chancer, are expected to experience significant price gains as popular games including the English Premier League and the American MSL gather steam.

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