Tag: signals

  • Bitcoin’s surge to record highs signals potential shift toward stability, says Deutsche Bank

    Bitcoin’s surge to record highs signals potential shift toward stability, says Deutsche Bank

    Bitcoin

    • Bitcoin hit a record high above $123,000, with Deutsche Bank noting a rare drop in volatility alongside the rally.
    • Analyst Marion Laboure sees signs of Bitcoin maturing as an asset, supported by regulatory clarity and institutional adoption.
    • Despite a short-term pullback, broader macro and micro factors point to a more stable, long-term trend for Bitcoin.

    Bitcoin may be entering a new phase of greater price stability, according to a recent analysis by Deutsche Bank.

    The cryptocurrency reached a record high above $123,000 on Monday, marking a roughly 75% gain from its levels in mid-November.

    Deutsche Bank analyst Marion Laboure noted that the sharp appreciation has been accompanied by a historic drop in volatility — an unusual but telling combination.

    “While excitement over the upcoming legislations has spurred Bitcoin’s sharp appreciation, it is notable that Bitcoin’s rise has also been accompanied by a historic decline in volatility levels,” Laboure wrote in a note to clients on Tuesday.

    She suggested this may point to an emerging decoupling of Bitcoin’s spot price from its traditional volatility, hinting at the digital asset’s evolution toward a more stable asset class.

    Laboure cited growing market adoption, clearer regulatory frameworks, and increased institutional involvement as contributing factors to this stabilization trend.

    Together, these dynamics are helping to shift Bitcoin away from the high-churn, speculative cycles that have historically defined its behavior.

    Regulatory and institutional tailwinds

    The record-breaking price movement comes as US lawmakers gathered for the “Crypto Week,” which investors hope will pave the way for a more supportive regulatory environment.

    While crypto legislation has long been a point of debate in Washington, proponents see this week’s discussions as a potential inflection point that could attract greater participation from institutional investors.

    In her analysis, Laboure emphasized the convergence of macro and micro factors currently driving Bitcoin’s performance.

    On the macro side, she pointed to rising geopolitical tensions, shifts in global trade policies including tariffs, and ongoing de-dollarization trends as adding complexity to traditional markets, making Bitcoin more attractive as an alternative asset.

    On the micro level, she highlighted the increasing participation of institutional investors and longer-term holding patterns among market participants.

    These trends, according to Laboure, suggest that Bitcoin’s role in portfolios is maturing.

    Rather than serving solely as a speculative tool, it is gradually being integrated into broader investment strategies.

    Short-term pullback, long-term outlook

    Despite the strong rally, Bitcoin experienced a modest retreat of over 2% in midday trading on Tuesday, falling back to around $117,000.

    However, Laboure cautioned against reading too much into short-term fluctuations, reiterating that broader adoption and regulatory clarity remain key pillars supporting the current trajectory.

    “Volatility remains inherent,” she acknowledged.

    However, the emerging conditions, from legislation and market structure to investor behavior, “suggest Bitcoin’s integration into portfolios is maturing, and potentially signals a more sustainable trend beyond previous instances of short-term market speculation.”

    As institutional interest deepens and the regulatory landscape evolves, analysts like Laboure believe Bitcoin could continue to see upward momentum while exhibiting more stable price behavior — a significant shift for an asset historically defined by extreme swings.

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  • Bitcoin options market signals ‘summer slowdown’: Glassnode

    Bitcoin options market signals ‘summer slowdown’: Glassnode

    Bitcoin Price Outlook

    • Bitcoin has experienced a significant drop in spot and futures volumes, which signals a potential summer lull.
    • Low volatility and thinning liquidity could see a consolidation phase with a potential pullback to $100,000.
    • A resurgence in trading volume could push BTC above $110k and its ATH.

    Bitcoin (BTC) continues to hover near the psychological $110,000 level as well as its all-time high, but market analysts are pointing to a potential summer slowdown.

    According to blockchain data provider Glassnode, trading volumes are experiencing a significant decline, raising questions about the cryptocurrency’s short-term trajectory.

    With spot volume dropping to $5.02 billion and futures volume falling to $31.2 billion, both the lowest in over a year, the stage appears set for a period of reduced market activity.

    BTC options markets suggest a slowdown

    Glassnode’s recent market outlook highlights a trend in the Bitcoin options market where implied volatility across all expiries (ranging from one week to six months) is approaching all-time lows.

    The analytics platform says the levels seen today are back to those seen in mid-2023.

    Reduced volatility suggests that traders are anticipating less price movement in the near term, a common occurrence during the summer months when market participants often take holidays and trading activity wanes.

    Notably, data shows a contrast between Bitcoin’s price, which has steadily climbed toward $110,000, and the diminishing spot and futures volumes.

    The volumes appear to have peaked and point to a downturn, with the divergence indicating thinning liquidity.

    The options market’s low volatility pricing reflects a cautious outlook, potentially signaling a consolidation phase as the market digests recent gains.

    Bitcoin price prediction

    A lull is further contextualized by historical patterns, and traders could be looking for profits after significant rallies.

    However, the low-volume environment also heightens the risk of sharp price swings, as even modest orders could trigger outsized reactions in a thinly traded market.

    On the bullish side, Bitcoin’s ability to hold above key support levels and near $110k despite declining volumes suggests underlying strength.

    Potentially, this strengthens long-term optimism amid institutional adoption, including likely moves by Elon Musk.

    Notably, CoinShares has shared details showing digital asset investment products saw over $1 billion in inflows last week.

    This marked the 12th consecutive week of inflows, with Bitcoin recording $790 million in inflows over the week.

    Other assets such as Ethereum saw $226 million.

    Amid this, analysts at CryptoQuant say the BTC bull run remains intact.

    However, the low implied volatility and reduced trading activity point to a consolidation range.

    BTC could thus break to a new ATH above $112k or see a short-term pullback to support.

    In this case, the psychological level of $100k will be key.



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  • SUI price breakout? Technical pattern signals move toward $4.25

    SUI price breakout? Technical pattern signals move toward $4.25

    Sui Surges As Altcoins Tap Upside Momentum

    • SUI price gains as token continues upside with monthly gains of over 85%
    • The altcoin is rising as the overall crypto market bounces amid gains for Bitcoin.
    • Crypto analyst Captain Faibik shared a SUI price prediction suggesting a surge to $4.25.

    Sui price is up 12% in the past week, with the altcoin rising as Bitcoin spikes to near $100k.

    With equities also on the up after US President Donald Trump announced a trade deal with the United Kingdom, BTC looks poised for further gains.

    A leg up for the altcoin market amid this scenario could tie into Sui’s latest pump.

    One crypto analyst forecasts Sui price could rally to above $4 with a key technical pattern breakout.

    Gains see Sui ecosystem tokens rise

    The Sui ecosystem tokens have seen their total market capitalization jump by more than 6% in the past 24 hours to above $29 billion.

    While most of this is in the SUI network’s native token at $12 billion, a lot of the top ecosystem tokens are registering notable gains.

    Bonk (BONK), Walrus (WAL), and DeepBook Protocol (DEEP) prices have increased 10%, 9%, and 12%, respectively, in the last 24 hours.

    The three tokens’ market cap values stood at over $1.4 billion, $800 million, and $596 million, respectively.

    Is Sui price set for a rally above $4?

    The gains for Sui and the ecosystem tokens mirror broader market performance this week, with bulls looking to take control amid macroeconomic and regulatory catalysts.

    In this respect, crypto analyst Captain Faibik has shared a bullish price prediction for SUI.

    According to the analyst, who shared the outlook via X, the layer blockchain network’s native token could spike to $4.25.

    He based his forecast on the technical chart for Sui, which shows a breakout from a channel pattern.

    The analyst’s 4-hour chart shows the SUI/USD pair breaking above the upper trendline.

    Currently, SUI price hovers near at $3.79, up nearly 12%, and with a 24-hour volume of $2.18 billion.

    The altcoin changed hands at $3.24 during the Asian session on Thursday, and a surge to above $4 will see buyers flip focus to the all-time high of $5.35 reached on January 6, 2025.

    From the current level, this will be a 29% increase.

    Notably, SUI is up more than 85% in the past month, having jumped from lows of $2.03 on April 16, 2025.

    While the broader risk asset market may yet hit macroeconomic headwinds, the current outlook suggests bulls may have an upper hand.

    Sui’s traction as the blockchain network for digital asset ownership helps this outlook.

    Headwinds will, however, stall upside momentum, likely exacerbated by profit-taking deals.



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  • Toncoin signals bullish momentum as Bitcoin Dogs gears for its debut on three exchanges

    Toncoin signals bullish momentum as Bitcoin Dogs gears for its debut on three exchanges

    Toncoin signals bullish momentum as Bitcoin Dogs gears for its debut on three exchanges
    • BARR pattern breakout signals a potential 40% rise to $9.50 for Toncoin (TON).
    • Binance listing and Injective integration boost Toncoin’s price and liquidity.
    • Bitcoin Dogs’ 0DOG token will debut on Gate.io, MEXC Official, and Unisat Wallet.

    As August progresses, Toncoin (TON) and Bitcoin Dogs, two prominent players in the cryptocurrency space are capturing the spotlight. Toncoin is showcasing impressive bullish momentum, while Bitcoin Dogs is preparing for a significant market debut.

    With the crypto market witnessing fluctuating trends, these developments offer intriguing insights into the evolving landscape of digital assets. This article delves into the bullish signals for Toncoin and the highly anticipated launch of Bitcoin Dogs on major exchanges.

    Toncoin bullish momentum and technical analysis

    Toncoin (TON) has exhibited strong bullish signals, positioning itself as one of the top-performing cryptocurrencies.

    As of August 19, 2024, Toncoin is trading at $6.82, reflecting a notable rise of 8.36% over the past week, despite a broader market decline. This surge is attributed to several key factors, including technical patterns, fundamental developments, and on-chain data.

    One of the most compelling technical indicators for Toncoin is its breakout from a Bump-and-Run Reversal (BARR) pattern. This pattern, often a precursor to significant upward movement, suggests a potential price increase of around 40%, targeting the $9.50 mark.

    The BARR setup begins with a lead-in phase, followed by a sharp downturn (bump), and culminates in a recovery and eventual breakout (run). Recent price behaviour aligns with this setup, reinforcing the bullish outlook.

    The breakout, which occurred around August 18, 2024, was marked by a sustained rise above the previous declining trendline, coupled with increased trading volume. This technical shift is further supported by Toncoin trading above its 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), both of which are showing upward slopes.

    Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above the neutral 50 level, indicating continued buying pressure despite short-term overbought conditions.

    Fundamental factors have also played a crucial role in Toncoin’s recent price surge. Notably, the listing of Toncoin on Binance on August 15, 2024, has significantly improved its liquidity and market accessibility.

    Furthermore, the integration of Toncoin with the decentralized finance protocol Injective on August 14, 2024, has enabled TON-based assets to be utilized within Injective’s ecosystem, enhancing its utility and adoption.

    On-chain data further supports the bullish sentiment surrounding Toncoin. Analysis shows a redistribution of tokens from large holders (whales) to smaller investors. As of August 19, 2024, the percentage of Toncoin held by addresses with 100,000 to 1,000,000 coins has declined, while the share held by addresses with 10,000 to 100,000 coins has increased.

    This shift indicates growing buying interest among mid-sized investors, often a precursor to bullish price action.

    Bitcoin Dogs’ major market debut on August 21

    In a parallel development, Bitcoin Dogs is set to make a significant market debut on August 21, 2024. The project, which raised over $13.496 million in its presale, will list its 0DOG token on three major exchanges: Gate.io, MEXC Official, and Unisat Wallet.

    This milestone marks the transition from its presale phase to active trading and is expected to generate substantial interest and trading activity.

    Bitcoin Dogs is notable for being the first-ever ICO on the Bitcoin blockchain, combining blockchain technology with canine-themed digital assets. The project features a metaverse called the Dogaverse, where users can engage in various activities, including gameplay and NFT trading centred around a canine theme.

    The presale of Bitcoin Dogs was a resounding success, and the upcoming exchange listings represent a pivotal moment for the project. The strategic choice of exchanges reflects Bitcoin Dogs’ commitment to expanding its market reach and providing ample liquidity for its tokens.

    The token claim process will also commence on August 21, allowing presale participants to access their tokens.

    Looking ahead, Bitcoin Dogs has outlined an ambitious roadmap, including a game beta, token staking, and multi-chain support. The project’s innovative blend of blockchain technology and canine culture positions it as a unique player in the crypto space, with further developments planned for late 2024 and early 2025.

    Conclusion

    As Toncoin signals bullish momentum with promising technical and fundamental indicators, and Bitcoin Dogs (0DOG) gears up for its major exchange debut, these developments underscore the dynamic nature of the cryptocurrency market.

    Investors and enthusiasts alike are keenly watching these developments, which could shape the future trajectory of these digital assets.

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  • Bitcoin signals potential breakdown, top analyst says

    Bitcoin signals potential breakdown, top analyst says

    • Bitcoin (BTC) is positioned for further downside as a new Weekly Close below the 200-week moving average signals.
    • BTC rejecting from above $26k would welcome bears to the party as double-confirmation of the breakdown.
    • According to crypto analyst Rekt Capital, the 200-week MA is a robust resistance zone. 

    As Bitcoin bulls face rejection from above $26k, a top analyst has pointed out the benchmark cryptocurrency’s price faces fresh downside pressure.

    BTC price is currently 2.4% up in the past week, but has failed to break past key resistance around $26,600. The breakdown to lows of $24,800 last week amid negative regulatory headlines appears to have only emboldened bears further.

    Bitcoin positioned for downside

    According to crypto analyst Rekt Capital, the technical outlook for BTC suggests more weakness is likely. This is after a new weekly close below the 200-week moving average, which signals a “double confirmation of [a] breakdown,” the analyst noted.

    Last week, Bitcoin price recovered from lows of $24.8k after the market reacted sharply to the SEC’s lawsuits against crypto exchanges Binance and Coinbase. Commenting after the upside, Rekt Capital suggested that Bitcoin had “run straight into the 200-week MA

    He noted that if bears managed to turn this zone into new resistance, there was likelihood BTC could see a “two-step breakdown confirmation.” Such a price scenario was likely to result in further downside pressure.

    Technically, BTC is positioned for downside. Why? Because it has produced another, new Weekly Close below the 200-week MA. As a result, $BTC has shown double-confirmation of breakdown from the 200-week MA. Continued rejection here could send price lower,” he tweeted on Monday, pointing to last week’s prediction.

    Here’s a chart the analyst shared, showing Bitcoin’s rejection at both a downtrend line and the 200-week MA.

    If Bitcoin gives up the $26k level again, a run to June lows could open up room for more losses. However, as BitMEX founder and former CEO Arthur Hayes pointed out last week, its likely crypto will hit the pain of an extended sideways action before a new trigger sets up an “autumn rally.”

    As CoinJournal reported, the BitMEX founder believes the trigger will be retail trading, and a big possibility is this next bull market is led by the Chinese trader. BlackRock filing for a spot Bitcoin ETF could also be a significant tailwind in coming months.



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  • Bitcoin metric signals volatile $40k-$22k move, analyst says

    Bitcoin metric signals volatile $40k-$22k move, analyst says

    • Bitcoin could see a volatile phase within the $40k and $22k price range, James Check, lead on-chain analyst at Glassnode says.
    • BTC’s sell-side risk ratio is approaching an all-time low, with traders on both sides showing exhaustion after recent price action.
    • The flagship crypto traded at $26,400 on Wednesday, about 3% down in the past 24 hours.

    On-chain metrics for Bitcoin suggests the flagship cryptocurrency could be looking at massive price moves in the short term.

    After struggling to break the $27,600 resistance level following dips from above $28,000, crypto experts have opined BTC could flip to new support. On the other hand, fresh impetus could catapult the asset past its year-to-date high of $31,000.

    The outlook is down to on-chain data suggesting traders on both sides are exhausted, Glassnode lead analyst James Check says.

    Also going by the pseudonym “Checkmate” on Twitter, the analyst noted:

    Bitcoin Sell-side Risk ratio is approaching all-time lows. This indicates that investors are reluctant to spend coins which are in profit, or loss within the current price range. This usually occurs when sellers are exhausted on both sides, suggesting big moves are coming.”

    What next for Bitcoin price?

    Realized Profit and Loss metrics provide somewhat an understanding of the Bitcoin market, according to the analyst. It is these indicators that offer BTC price outlook from the point of holders’ sentiment, capital flows and behaviour patterns.

    That’s what currently suggests Bitcoin price could be setting up for a prolonged reaccumulation phase.

    Bitcoin usually has a 12ish month reaccumulation period after a bottom (if that is indeed what is in place),” Check tweeted.

    According to him, Bitcoin price could see some volatile action between the $40k and $22k range. For traders looking for a definite signal, the analyst says it’s largely “directionless.” Checkmate said:

    This is somewhat directionless, it suggests volatility is coming. Note that Nov 2018 also saw a very low value. [It] indicates traders are exhausted in this price range, and doesn’t tell us which price range they want to move towards.”

    Bitcoin was trading around $26,400 on Wednesday morning 9:53 am ET, and was about 3% down in the past 24 hours. 



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