Tag: stocks

  • Bitcoin touches $23k support as stocks fall on hot PCE data

    Bitcoin touches $23k support as stocks fall on hot PCE data

    • Bitcoin and crypto prices fell as markets reacted to January PCE data.
    • The Fed’s favourite inflation measure came in hot, jolting markets lower with S&P 500 declining nearly 1.4% and Dow dropping about 400 points.
    • Crypto analyst Rekt Capital says BTC price remains in positive territory as long as bulls hold support above $23k.

    Bitcoin price continues to struggle after the rejection from the $25k resistance, but today’s dip comes as the market reacts to hotter-than-expected Personal Consumer Expenditure (PCE) data.

    As stocks got whacked on Friday, with the S&P 500 falling nearly 1.5% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 400 points, BTC price retreated under $24k to hit lows of $23,130 across major exchanges.

    Crypto, Wall Street drops on CPE data

    The CPE is the Federal Reserve’s most preferred inflation measure and sentiment has shifted on the latest data release as investor jitters fill up again. 

    The Fed uses the CPE price index to assess how sharply prices have risen within the US economy, and data shows prices spiked 0.6% in January and 5.4% year-over-year. Core CPE also came in hot, at 4.7% against the forecast 4.3% to suggest inflation remains an issue.

    Inflation remains too high. We’re going to have to do more to get back to 2%,” said Cleveland Federal Reserve President Loretta Mester. “I see a little more impetus in the inflation measures than my colleagues. We’re going to have to bring interest rates above 5% and hold there for a time,” she added during an interview with CNBC.

    Bitcoin price outlook

    The reaction on Wall Street also cascaded into the crypto market, with BTC price declining below a key support line recently highlighted as a “confluent support zone.” The uncertainty around the Fed’s interest rates saw most stocks scorched in early trades, a scenario also replicated in crypto with Ethereum dropping below $1,600.

    For Bitcoin’s short-term price outlook, popular crypto trader and analyst Rekt Capital says bulls could remain in control if BTC holds above $23k. However, a bearish outlook would materialize if price breaks lower.

    BTC Weekly retest of the confluent area that is the Lower High and Monthly Range High resistance is now in progress. Price needs to hold here for the retest to be successful. However, Weekly Close below this area would be a bearish sign,” the analyst noted.



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  • Bitcoin, stocks swing as markets react to CPI data

    Bitcoin, stocks swing as markets react to CPI data

    • Bitcoin price was trading sideways after hitting highs of $22,300, with major US indexes also down.
    • The markets’ reaction comes after hotter-than-expected inflation data for the first month of 2023.
    • US CPI rose 0.5% over the month and 6.5% year-over-year.

    Bitcoin was holding just above $22,000 at around 11:00 am ET, with the flagship cryptocurrency having swung from highs of $22,300 as the broader crypto market mirrored Wall Street following Tuesday’s US inflation data.

    Across crypto, Ethereum first ticked closer to $1,570 across major exchanges, rising as much as 5% before the upside cooled to see ETH trade near $1,540 at the time of writing. A similar picture held for Binance Coin, with BNB nearing $300 with about 3.5% in gains before shedding some of the gains.

    The action across US stocks also had the major indexes in the green premarket, before broader reaction to consumer price data released on Tuesday saw the major indexes trade lower.

    The S&P 500 rose nearly 0.7% but had flipped negative after the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed inflation picked up over the past one month after consecutive months of declines. The S&P 500 was down 0.6% at the time of this report.

    The outlook was similar for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq Composite, which were down about 0.8% and 0.6% respectively.

    Markets react to January CPI data

    On Tuesday morning, the US government’s data on inflation showed consumer prices rose 0.5% in January and 6.4% over the past twelve months, higher than the forecast 6.2%. 

    Even for the Core CPI, which leaves out the more volatile food and energy components, the readings were 0.4% in January and 5.6% year-over-year.

    The data thus showed inflation had picked up in the first month of 2023, coming in hotter than economists expected, with Wall Street reacting lower on the news as investors weigh what this means for the Fed’s interest rates path. Market observers say this could point to a higher for longer path that the Fed has previously pointed out.

    Tim Seymour, the CIO of Seymour Asset Management certainly thinks this could be on the cards now.



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  • Crypto stocks outlook ahead of FOMC meeting

    Crypto stocks outlook ahead of FOMC meeting

    • Bitcoin miners Core Scientific rose 33% as stocks of Bitfarms, Stronghold Digital, CleanSpark all ended the past week higher.
    • Coinbase and Robinhood shares also rose as Bitcoin broke above $23,000.
    • FOMC meeting is this week and the market reaction will be key to what next for Bitcoin and crypto stocks.

    A number of crypto-related stocks are looking to extend gains notched in the past few days after closing in positive territory on Friday.

    Among those to rip are share prices of crypto mining firms that had been struggling badly after reaching new all-time lows amid the crypto winter. 

    This is happening even as Bitcoin price looks to push higher after holding above the $23,000 level over the weekend. A crucial macro news event to watch out for is the FOMC meeting this week.

    Surge in Bitcoin price helped crypto stocks

    Core Scientific (CORZ), the world’s largest publicly-traded Bitcoin miner, surged an impressive 33% on Friday, while crypto mining firm Digihost Technology (DGHI) saw its shares jump more than 11%.

    Stocks of NASDAQ-listed miners Bitfarms (BITF), Stronghold Digital Mining (SDIG), Bit Digital (BTBT) and CleanSpark (CLSK) all ended the week in the green. Elsewhere, NYSE-listed Bit Mining and SOS ADR also rose.

    Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD) stocks also traded higher, with the US-based crypto exchange’s stock soaring more than 15% on Friday. Coinbase‘s stock is up more than 73% in the past 30 days before markets open on Monday, 30 January. Robinhood shares ended the week 8% higher and were up nearly 28% over the past 30 days.

    Bitcoin price, FOMC – what next for crypto stocks?

    As noted, most of these publicly listed crypto companies saw their share prices soar alongside the positive price action of Bitcoin. But crypto has also largely correlated with stocks, with this week crucial in terms of the Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) meeting. 

    On the positive side of things…

    BTC/USD reached highs of $23,955 last week and is up more than 40% year-to-date. According to recent data from crypto analytics platform Glassnode, BTC’s recent upside momentum has the flagship digital asset’s price above three key on-chain metrics.

    The breakout above $22,800 had Bitcoin above both the long term and short term cost-basis as well as Realized Price – the first time this has happened since 2020 COVID-19 induced crash. Also, the previous time when prevailing BTC price was above the three metrics was during the 2018/19 bear market.

    On the flipside…

    As covered by CoinJournal, Glassnode suggested last week that bulls managing to hold above the $22.4k level would aid sentiment and potential further gains. However, this week could see recent momentum derailed if investor reaction to the Federal Reserve’s FOMC minutes turns out to be negative. 

    Although the market already expects a 25 basis point rate hike, some experts believe it would be a disaster for the markets if the Fed goes for a 50 basis point hike instead.

    According to CoinGecko, Bitcoin was trading 1.1% down at 7:15 am ET on Monday as FOMC-related volatility likely began to set in across markets.



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