Bitcoin’s recent stability hasn’t been enough to spark a broader altcoin rally

While bitcoin BTC$63,329.86 and ether (ETH) are under pressure, their prices remain above their respective 50-day averages, a bullish sign. The broader market isn’t so lucky.

The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is widely tracked as a near-term trend gauge. Price breaks above that level are taken as a sign that bullish momentum is building. Right now, only 29 of the top 100 coins, including the two largest, are trading above their respective 50-day averages. So the breadth remains decisively bearish.

It looks even worse when compared with the Nasdaq 100 breadth. As of Monday, 47 stocks from the index traded above their 50-day SMAs.

This shows that the stability seen since the BTC selloff stalled below $58,000 on June 1 has yet to spill over into the wider crypto market. But there is hope. Ether, the bellwether of altcoins, has recently outperformed bitcoin, raising hopes that soon other coins could catch a strong bid.

A lot depends on the Fed’s interest-rate decision due Wednesday and the cues (if any, given Chair Kevin Warsh’s reticence to provide forward guidance) about the interest-rate trajectory.