Author: BTCLFGTEAM

  • Bitcoin price outlook: buy signals appear amid deep BTC correction

    Bitcoin price outlook: buy signals appear amid deep BTC correction

    Bitcoin price outlook: buy signals appear

    • Bitcoin (BTC) is showing early buy signals amid an ongoing correction near $69,500.
    • The key support levels at $65,800 and $60,100 attract dip buyers.
    • A break above $74,500 could trigger renewed bullish momentum.

    Bitcoin has been in a volatile state over the past month, with prices hovering near $69,500.

    The cryptocurrency has faced a 23.2% drop over the last month, signalling a deeper correction in progress.

    Despite the decline, recent market activity suggests early buy signals are starting to emerge.

    Bitcoin price trapped in a sideways phase

    BTC is currently trading in a sideways range between $62,800 and $78,900 over the past seven days.

    This range indicates indecision among traders, with neither bulls nor bears fully controlling the market.

    Analyst Doctor Profit warn that this sideways phase could be a trap, potentially leading to a deeper drop toward $44,000–$50,000.

    However, this view is balanced by macroeconomic developments that may provide temporary support for Bitcoin.

    The recent rebound above $70,000 came after a short squeeze pushed BTC higher, liquidating over $245 million in positions.

    This shows that buying pressure still exists, particularly from opportunistic traders looking to enter at perceived lows.

    Liquidity remains relatively strong, with 24-hour trading volume exceeding $46 billion, suggesting continued investor participation.

    Bitcoin technical outlook: the buy signals

    From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin remains capped below key resistance at $69,000–$69,500.

    Breaking above this level is essential for bulls to regain control of short-term momentum.

    On the flip side, the support levels at $65,800 and $60,100 provide clear thresholds where buyers may step in.

    Recent dip buying indicates that some traders are accumulating Bitcoin during the correction.

    Notably, the reset of leveraged positions in derivatives markets points to reduced short-term selling pressure.

    Meanwhile, macro factors such as strong US economic data and Federal Reserve liquidity injections provide additional tailwinds.

    Political events like Japan’s election have also lifted global risk appetite, indirectly supporting BTC and other risk assets.

    Historical trends show that Bitcoin often experiences deep corrections after major rallies, making the current slump consistent with past market cycles.

    The all-time high of $126,080, reached in October 2025, remains distant, but the current consolidation may offer opportunities for medium-term accumulation.

    Analysts emphasise that patience is critical, as further volatility is expected before a sustained uptrend emerges.

    Bulls should watch these key technical zones carefully, knowing that a breakout above $74,500 could signal renewed upward momentum.

    Conversely, a fall below $65,800 could intensify selling and extend the correction phase.

    Overall, the market is balancing between lingering bearish pressure and emerging buying interest, creating a cautious but potentially rewarding environment.

    Investors with a longer-term perspective may view current prices as an entry point amid market-wide corrections.

    Short-term traders should remain alert to both upside breakouts and downside risks in the coming weeks.

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  • Bitcoin erases 15 months of gains, falls below $70K amid $840M liquidations

    Bitcoin erases 15 months of gains, falls below $70K amid $840M liquidations

    Bitcoin coins with a downward market trend visualised by a falling arrow and trading charts in the background.

    • Bitcoin temporarily fell below $70,000, erasing gains built over the past 15 months.
    • Over $840 million in leveraged long positions were liquidated during the sell-off.
    • Traders now watch $65,000 support and $72,000 resistance for direction.

    Bitcoin has suffered one of its sharpest corrections in recent years, wiping out roughly 15 months of bull market gains in a swift and brutal sell-off.

    The world’s largest cryptocurrency temporarily plunged below the psychologically important $70,000 level, shocking traders who had grown accustomed to sustained upside momentum.

    The move did not happen in isolation, as it was accompanied by heavy liquidations, weakening sentiment, and visible stress across centralised exchanges.

    What initially appeared to be a routine pullback quickly evolved into a deeper reset for the broader crypto market.

    Bitcoin price crash wipes out 15 months’ gains

    Bitcoin’s drop to the $69,000–$70,000 range marked its lowest level in around 15 months, effectively erasing much of the progress made during the previous bull cycle.

    This decline pushed BTC back toward price zones last seen before institutional inflows and ETF-driven optimism reshaped market expectations.

    As the price broke below the key support level at $70,000, selling pressure intensified, and confidence among short-term traders deteriorated rapidly.

    The correction also dragged down major altcoins, reinforcing the idea that this was a market-wide deleveraging event rather than a Bitcoin-only move.

    From a market structure perspective, the fall represented a decisive break from the higher-highs and higher-lows pattern that had defined Bitcoin’s uptrend.

    Liquidations accelerate the sell-off

    One of the most significant drivers behind the crash was a massive wave of forced liquidations across crypto derivatives markets.

    CoinGlass data shows that more than $840 million worth of leveraged positions were wiped out in a short period, with long positions accounting for the majority of losses.

    As Bitcoin slipped below critical price thresholds, automated liquidation engines kicked in, amplifying downside momentum.

    This cascade effect turned a controlled decline into a sharp flush, catching overleveraged traders off guard.

    The liquidation-heavy nature of the drop suggests the move was driven more by market positioning than by a single fundamental catalyst.

    After months of elevated leverage and crowded long trades, the market finally reached a breaking point.

    Massive Bitcoin outflows from exchanges

    At the same time, on-chain data from CryptoQuant shows notable Bitcoin outflows from major exchanges, particularly Binance.

    Net Bitcoin inflows
    Bitcoin exchange netflow | Source: CryptoQuant

    A community-driven withdrawal campaign contributed to a sharp net outflow of BTC, briefly reducing exchange reserves.

    In recent press release, Binance publicly addressed speculation about these movements, denying claims of financial instability and emphasising that withdrawals were proceeding normally.

    The exchange also encouraged users to practice self-custody if they felt uncertain, which further highlighted shifting trust dynamics within the market.

    Despite the price crash, some analysts view sustained exchange outflows as a sign that long-term holders are not panic-selling.

    This divergence between short-term trader behaviour and longer-term investor positioning adds complexity to the current market narrative.

    Bitcoin price forecast – what to look at in the coming days

    Looking ahead, traders should closely watch several key levels as Bitcoin attempts to stabilise after the sell-off.

    The $70,000 zone now acts as immediate support, and a break below this level could push the price towards the $65,000 area, which stands out as a major support zone, as it aligns with previous consolidation ranges.

    BTC price analysis
    BTC price chart | Source: TradingView

    A deeper breakdown could expose Bitcoin to a move toward the $60,000 psychological level, where buyers may attempt a stronger defence.

    On the upside, a sustained recovery above $72,000 would be an early sign that selling pressure is easing.

    For now, volatility remains elevated, and traders are likely to stay cautious until Bitcoin establishes a clearer direction.

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  • Bitcoin crashes to $84K, triggering $800M in crypto liquidations

    Bitcoin crashes to $84K, triggering $800M in crypto liquidations

    Bitcoin Price Fell Sharply

    • Bitcoin fell below $85,000 and touched a low of $84,250.
    • CoinGlass data shows total liquidations hit $804 million over the past 24 hours.
    • The crash happened as gold fell from its peak above $5,500 on Thursday.

    Cryptocurrency markets saw a sharp risk-off move on Thursday, with Bitcoin sliding to a low of $84,250.

    The sell-off swept through major tokens, sending shockwaves across the crypto derivatives market.

    Long positions bore the brunt of the move, as the drop pushed total liquidations over the past 24 hours above $800 million.

    The downturn coincided with an abrupt reversal in gold prices, with the metal retreating from recent highs above $5,500.

    Analysts cited mounting macroeconomic and geopolitical tensions as key drivers of the sudden shift in sentiment.

    Bitcoin Price Chart
    Bitcoin price chart by CoinMarketCap

    Bitcoin tanks as gold sheds gains

    Bitcoin has struggled to reclaim the $90,000 support level, with a brief move toward that mark fading as gold surged.

    During Asian and early European trading on January 29, the cryptocurrency began a steady decline, slipping below $88,000.

    Selling accelerated as the US session opened, with Bitcoin sliding on above-average trading volumes.

    The sell-off pushed the benchmark asset to an intraday low near $84,000, its weakest level since December 2025.

    The same area had seen a bearish retest in November, a move that may have prompted at least one large holder to sell roughly 200 BTC.

    Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin was down about 5%.

    The broader market sell-off dragged Ethereum to around $2,800, XRP to $1.79, and Solana below $120.

    Crypto investor Ted wrote on X that the latest drop has left Bitcoin trading near a critical technical level.

    The Bitcoin sell-off unfolded amid a broader shift to risk aversion across global markets.

    Equities moved lower, led by a sharp decline in Microsoft shares, while investors also reacted to a sudden reversal in precious metals.

    Gold, which had climbed to a record high above $5,500 an ounce earlier on Thursday, reversed course and fell toward $5,300. Silver also retreated sharply from recent highs.

    Analysts said the move reflects a mix of macroeconomic pressures and heightened geopolitical risks, including rising tensions between the United States and Iran.

    The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates on Wednesday, alongside guidance suggesting rate cuts may be delayed until late 2026, further weighed on risk assets, prompting investors to favour short-term cash positions over digital assets or traditional safe havens.

    Over $800 million was wiped out amid a surge in derivatives liquidations

    Bitcoin’s sharp decline was mirrored in the derivatives market, where leveraged positions were unwound aggressively.

    Data from crypto analytics platform Coinglass show that more than $800 million in positions across spot and futures markets were liquidated over the past 24 hours, with the bulk of losses borne by long traders.

    Bitcoin alone accounted for $332 million in liquidations during the period, of which more than $318 million were long positions, according to the data.

    While the scale of the sell-off and liquidations was smaller than the market dislocation seen on October 10, 2025, analysts say the episode underscores ongoing fragility in market positioning.



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  • Chiliz price drops 15% amid sharp altcoin pullback

    Chiliz price drops 15% amid sharp altcoin pullback

    Chiliz Price Logo

    • Chiliz (CHZ) price fell sharply on Thursday, with a more than 15% plunge sending prices to lows of $0.046.
    • Losses for the token comes as Bitcoin price drops sharply to impact top altcoins.
    • Upbeat sentiment around CHZ remains amid roadmap plans and World Cup 2026 anticipation.

    The CHZ token, native to the leading blockchain platform powering fan engagement in sports, saw its value tumble as the broader altcoin market faced a fresh downturn.

    Chiliz traded to its intraday lows as Bitcoin dropped to under $85,000 again.

    BTC’s sharp plunge has altcoins in peril mode, with Ethereum down to $2,800, XRP to $1.79, and Solana to $117. CHZ ranked as one of the biggest losers in the top 100 by market cap.

    CHZ dips after recent surge

    The Chiliz price enjoyed a robust 30% weekly rally leading into late January, with a sudden pump outpacing a slumping global crypto market. CHZ pumped to near $0.06.

    In reality, the upswing can be traced back to the momentum of mid-December 2025, when bulls shattered the $0.035 resistance level.

    The uptick coincided with heightened anticipation for the FIFA World Cup 2026 set for the summer in the United States, Mexico, and Canada.

    Chiliz’s Fan Token ecosystem, which powers tokens for clubs like FC Barcelona and Juventus, has positioned itself as a key blockchain partner.

    Event-driven sentiment and Chiliz Chain 2.0 upgrades bolstered bulls. However, concerns over fan attendance amid US visa bans and boycott calls have slightly dampened the outlook.

    Chiliz Price Chart
    Chiliz price chart by CoinMarketCap

    Sharp declines come amid this, with widespread profit-taking by short-term holders and mounting weakness across altcoins, exacerbating the situation.

    Chiliz price forecast: any bullish catalysts?

    The current market conditions could allow bears to target the $0.040-$0.035 support zone.

    However, beyond its recent volatility, Chiliz’s price may ride broader tailwinds.

    The FIFA World Cup in June-July 2026 looms as a centerpiece, while upgrades and regulatory developments could ignite further Fan Token launches.

    Chiliz’s “2030 Vision” roadmap, which emphasizes DeFi integrations and institutional tie-ups, also adds to the potential bullish catalysts.

    The optimism for Chiliz also lies around the implementation of a transaction fee burning model similar to Ethereum’s EIP-1559.

    With this mechanism, a portion of CHZ is burned every time users trade Fan Tokens, mint real-world assets, or transfer a media rights asset.

    Users pay gas fees using the CHZ token, and a reduction in supply can significantly impact prices in the long term.

    Technically, a rebound above the $0.050 psychological level will hint at resilience. A break above $0.064, the token’s January 17 peak, could bring  $0.10 into view.

    The MACD’s upward histogram and OBV strength suggest accumulation may persist.

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  • Trump family-backed American Bitcoin achieves 116% BTC yield

    Trump family-backed American Bitcoin achieves 116% BTC yield

    American Bitcoin achieves 116% BTC Yield

    • American Bitcoin’s BTC reserve has grown to 5,843 BTC since its Nasdaq debut.
    • The company has achieved 116% BTC yield from Sept 2025 to Jan 2026.
    • Trump family backs ABTC’s mining and crypto expansion strategy.

    American Bitcoin (ABTC), the publicly traded Bitcoin treasury and mining company backed by Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., has reached a major milestone in its cryptocurrency holdings.

    The company recently announced that its total Bitcoin reserve has increased to approximately 5,843 BTC.

    This accumulation represents a significant achievement since its Nasdaq debut on September 3, 2025.

    ABTC also reported a Bitcoin yield of around 116% over the period from its listing through January 25, 2026.

    Strategic accumulation and mining

    American Bitcoin’s strategy combines direct market purchases with large-scale mining operations.

    The company operates Bitcoin mining facilities in North America, including a notable data centre in Vega, Texas.

    This dual approach allows ABTC to grow its reserves steadily while continuing mining operations.

    Early January saw the company adding 329 BTC, reflecting a consistent accumulation trend.

    The Trump-backed firm positions itself as a major participant in industrial Bitcoin mining, aiming to strengthen US leadership in the sector.

    Its public messaging emphasises the strategic importance of domestic Bitcoin production and energy use.

    By focusing on mining and treasury accumulation, ABTC mirrors the strategy of other top corporate holders like MicroStrategy.

    These companies treat Bitcoin as a long-term strategic asset rather than a short-term speculative holding.

    Trump family’s role in American Bitcoin

    American Bitcoin is part of a broader Trump family push into the cryptocurrency space.

    Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr. have positioned the venture as a key component of the family’s crypto ecosystem.

    This includes investments in crypto apps, NFTs, and other digital assets.

    According to reports, the Trump family’s crypto ventures collectively generated over $1 billion in pretax earnings within roughly a year.

    The family also ties its crypto activities to a larger narrative of US innovation and market leadership.

    While the firm’s stock has experienced volatility since its Nasdaq debut, insiders remain bullish, viewing price swings as opportunities for growth.

    According to recent reports, American Bitcoin now ranks among the top 20 public companies in terms of Bitcoin reserves worldwide.

    Its holdings are valued at more than $500 million at current Bitcoin prices, underscoring the scale of its treasury.

    The company’s 116% BTC yield reflects strong performance relative to its initial listing price.

    American Bitcoin continues to expand its footprint in the crypto industry while maintaining public transparency regarding its holdings. Its growth demonstrates how family-backed ventures can combine mining operations with strategic treasury management.

    The company’s success may influence other institutional and corporate players considering Bitcoin accumulation.

    As American Bitcoin continues its trajectory, the Trump family’s influence in the cryptocurrency sector is likely to grow further.

    With strong reserves, consistent yield, and ambitious plans, American Bitcoin exemplifies the intersection of corporate strategy, crypto investment, and high-profile leadership.



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  • River price defies market downturn, explodes 40% to new ATH

    River price defies market downturn, explodes 40% to new ATH

    • River price rose sharply as bulls defied the broader market downturn.
    • The token exploded more than 40% in 24 hours to hit a new all-time high above $87.
    • RIVER recently received backing from Justin Sun and Arthur Hayes.

    Several altcoins are deep in the red amid a broader cryptocurrency market downturn that has pushed Bitcoin well under $90,000.

    But as BTC struggles, River’s native token RIVER has defied the odds, with price surging 40% in the past 24 hours to reach a new all-time high above $87.

    The move sees the token rank as one of the top gainers across the altcoin sector.

    River price explodes to new all-time high

    River is a crypto protocol building a chain abstraction stablecoin platform.

    The protocol eyes traction across the ecosystem with its liquidity and yield offering.

    RIVER, the native governance and utility token, has surged significantly in recent days and skyrocketed 40% over the past 24 hours to smash through resistance to a new all-time high.

    The token has pumped more than 200% in the past week and by more than 2,070% in the past month.

    It peaked at $87.79 across major exchanges on January 26, 2025, more than 70x off the all-time lows reached in September 2025.

    River’s explosive rally comes as the token’s market capitalisation ballooned past $1.6 billion, which aligns with the robust demand highlighted by a 39% jump in daily trading volume.

    CoinMarketCap data shows the altcoin’s trading volume spiked to over $108 million in the past 24 hours.

    Meanwhile, total value locked (TVL) climbed to over $162 million, as DeFi users flocked to the protocol’s cross-chain offerings.

    In terms of gains, River’s performance stands in stark contrast to the prevailing market sentiment.

    Bitcoin, the bellwether asset, dipped below $88,000 amid macroeconomic jitters.

    Ethereum and other altcoins followed suit as risk-off sentiment grips traders.

    The same headwinds could see RIVER ‘s price retreat sharply.

    What catalysed the RIVER price rally?

    Likely catalysts for RIVER’s meteoric rise include the latest listings and major backing in a fresh round.

    Of the more than $14 million in capital raised, a landmark $12 million is from a strategic funding round backed by heavyweight investors that attracted TRON DAO, Justin Sun, Maelstrom Fund founder Arthur Hayes, and The Spartan Group.

    Notably, the round also drew commitments from Nasdaq-listed companies and blue-chip institutions across the United States and Europe, lending unprecedented credibility to River’s vision.

    River plans to plough this capital infusion into its multi-chain expansion plans, with DeFi applications available across Sui, Ethereum, BNB Chain, and Polygon.

    Amplifying the momentum for the token is fresh exchange listings.

    Both HTX and OKX have injected new liquidity and retail access to the token. Bulls capitalised on this, stacking positions as open interest in RIVER perpetuals.

    Resistance looms at $90, but with funding secured and listings live, RIVER could test $100 in the coming days. However, a sharp pullback is possible given profit-taking deals.

     

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  • Metaplanet boosts forecasts despite Bitcoin write-down clouding annual results

    Metaplanet boosts forecasts despite Bitcoin write-down clouding annual results

    Metaplanet boosts forecasts as Bitcoin write-down clouds annual results

    • The company lifted its 2025 operating income guidance to $40 million.
    • A non-cash Bitcoin impairment of $680 million to $700 million is expected for 2025.
    • Metaplanet projected a $632 million ordinary loss and $491 million net loss for 2025.

    Metaplanet, a Tokyo-listed Bitcoin treasury company, has raised its revenue and operating income forecasts for 2025 and issued much higher guidance for 2026, even as it flagged a large non-cash Bitcoin write-down that is set to dominate its annual results.

    In a notice released on Monday, the company said its Bitcoin income generation business is expected to deliver stronger-than-expected performance, particularly in the final quarter of the year.

    However, Metaplanet also projected a steep ordinary loss and net loss for 2025, driven largely by accounting adjustments tied to Bitcoin’s valuation at year-end.

    The company is scheduled to file its full-year results on Feb. 16.

    Revenue upgrade driven by Bitcoin income generation

    Metaplanet said it now expects 2025 revenue of 8.905 billion Japanese yen, or around $58 million, based on its updated guidance.

    The company also raised its operating income forecast to $40 million, signalling improved performance at the operating level despite broader market volatility affecting its holdings.

    Management said Q4 2025 revenue from its Bitcoin income generation business “is expected to significantly exceed initial projections,” which led it to lift full-year revenue guidance for that segment to about $55 million.

    That compares with around $40 million previously announced, showing a sharp upgrade in the contribution from its Bitcoin-linked revenue stream.

    Large impairment set to drive headline loss

    Even with the stronger operating forecasts, Metaplanet expects to report a deep annual loss for 2025.

    The company projected an ordinary loss of $632 million and a net loss of $491 million. These figures are largely attributed to a Bitcoin impairment loss estimated at roughly $680 million to $700 million, which is expected to be recognised in its year-end reporting.

    Metaplanet explained that the impairment is a “non-cash accounting adjustment reflecting period-end price fluctuations” and said it has no direct impact on its cash flows or day-to-day operations.

    The notice linked the impairment to quarter-end mark-to-market accounting treatment and referenced Bitcoin holdings valued at year-end prices, with Bitcoin shown at $87,876 in the disclosure.

    BTC holdings and treasury metrics expand sharply

    Metaplanet also reported rapid growth in its Bitcoin treasury business during 2025, underlining how the company has built up its exposure to Bitcoin while developing income generation activities around its holdings.

    BTC holdings rose from 1,762 BTC at the end of 2024 to 35,102 BTC at the end of 2025, showing a significant increase in the company’s balance sheet allocation.

    It also reported BTC yield per diluted share of 568% for the year. The company uses this metric to measure how much Bitcoin backing each diluted share has increased, offering a per-share view of its Bitcoin accumulation.

    While the impairment is expected to weigh heavily on reported net results, Metaplanet’s updated figures suggest it is still expanding its treasury position and Bitcoin-linked operations at a pace.

    2026 guidance rises but earnings remain uncertain

    For 2026, Metaplanet forecast revenue of around $103 million and operating income of $73 million, representing a sharp step up from its 2025 targets.

    The company said almost all of its 2026 revenue is expected to come from the Bitcoin income generation business, reinforcing the segment’s central role in its business model.

    Metaplanet also projected selling, general and administrative expenses of about $29 million for 2026 as it ramps up operations.

    However, it said it will not provide guidance for ordinary income or net income for 2026 due to the difficulty of forecasting Bitcoin prices, signalling that future reported earnings could remain volatile even if operating performance strengthens.

    The company added that it publishes daily data on its BTC holdings, unrealised gains and losses, and related metrics, offering investors regular visibility into how price swings affect its treasury position.

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  • Bitcoin touches lows of $87,800 as gold hits new record high

    Bitcoin touches lows of $87,800 as gold hits new record high

    Bitcoin Fell As Gold Soared

    • Bitcoin fell to lows of $87,800 on Tuesday before bouncing to above $89,000.
    • Losses for BTC came as gold hit new record high above $4,870.
    • Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz says bulls need to take out bears around $100,000-$103,000.

    Bitcoin dipped to around $87,800 on Tuesday, breaking lower as risk assets struggled.

    However, amid waning investor confidence in the bellwether digital asset, gold has surged to new record highs.

    Industry heavyweight Mike Novogratz says the flagship digital asset needs to reclaim the $100,000 mark to resume its uptrend.

    Bitcoin price bounces off $87,800 low

    Broader market uncertainty, including geopolitical tensions, has kept Bitcoin below the psychologically important $100,000 level.

    In the latest session, the cryptocurrency slipped under $90,000, with data from CoinMarketCap showing intraday lows of $87,814 on major exchanges.

    Bitcoin’s rally earlier this year was driven by strong institutional demand, but that momentum has eased in recent weeks.

    In contrast, gold has climbed to fresh record highs above $4,870, reinforcing its role as a safe-haven asset amid heightened geopolitical risks and ongoing macroeconomic pressures.

    Mike Novogratz, the outspoken CEO of Galaxy Digital Holdings, weighed in on Bitcoin’s current woes via a post on X.

    Novogratz, a veteran Wall Street trader turned crypto evangelist,  notes that Bitcoin could regain its upward momentum if bulls reclaim the $100,000-$103,000 level.

    “The gold price is telling us we are losing reserve currency status at an accelerating rate.   The long bond selling off is not a good sign either,” he posted on X. “BTC is disappointing as it is still being met with selling.  I will reiterate it has to take out 100-103k to regain its upward trend. I think it will, in time.”

    Bitcoin price technical outlook

    From a technical perspective, the declines have pushed prices beneath the critical 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level calculated from its April low of $74,400 to October’s record peak of $126,198.

    Bears have also breached the key support zone at the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $92,066 and a prior upper consolidation boundary near $90,000.

    Bitcoin Price Chart
    Bitcoin price chart by TradingView

    Other technical signals reinforcing the pessimistic outlook include the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which currently stands at 42.

    Notably, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has also flashed a bearish crossover, suggesting sellers are in control.

    Volume profiles indicate thinning buying interest, which could exacerbate downside risks if headwinds persist.

    A sustained close below $87,700 could accelerate the downturn toward the lower channel boundary at $85,450.

    The demand reload zone aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.

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  • Optimism (OP) slips toward $0.25 ahead of Jan. 22 buyback vote

    Optimism (OP) slips toward $0.25 ahead of Jan. 22 buyback vote

    Optimism Price

    • The Optimism Foundation’s proposal for a token buyback goes to a vote on January 22, 2026.
    • OP price has fallen sharply over the past year, and sentiment is largely bearish.
    • The buyback could catalyze gains, with OP eyeing $0.52-$0.75.

    Optimism’s OP token changed hands around $0.30 on Tuesday, January 20, 2026, slightly up in the past 24 hours as the community edges towards a key governance vote.

    But having traded to intraday highs of $0.37 last week, the token’s dip to current levels risks allowing for a pullback to all-time lows of $0.25 reached in December.

    Can Optimism Foundation’s plans for a buyback program that commits Superchain revenue to monthly OP purchases bolster bulls?

    ​Optimism buyback details and implications

    Optimism is set for a governance vote on January 22, 2026, following a proposal floated earlier this month.

    The Optimism Foundation wants community approval to allocate half of the sequencer fees for open-market buybacks of OP.

    If the vote passes, the program will start in February, with 50% of Superchain revenue flowing to Optimism. Repurchases are set to occur over the next year.

    The remaining 50% funds will be allocated to ecosystem grants, maintaining flexibility.

    As with other  models, such as dYdX’s 75% fee buybacks, Optimism aims to buy from the market. However, the tokens go back to the OP treasury rather than direct burns.

    If the latter happens, supply reduction will signal confidence in OP and Superchain’s dominance.

    “With this buyback mechanism, OP transitions from a pure governance token to a token that is tightly aligned with the growth of the Superchain,” Optimism wrote at the time.

    The mechanism targets every enterprise that creates a new chain on the Superchain, with these expected to add to the underlying demand for OP.

    ​OP token price forecast

    The Optimism (OP) price is down nearly 94% from its peak of $4.85 reached in March 2024. The downtrend has crushed holder sentiment, and despite the buyback proposal, the outlook is largely bearish.

    Bears may hold this advantage unless Optimism for instance, burns the repurchased tokens. BNB’s quarterly burns have helped the token’s price storm to new highs.

    In the short term, a post-vote rally could push prices to $0.52.

    Optimism Price Chart
    Optimism price chart by TradingView

    As the daily chart above indicates, the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages act as supply zones at $0.32 and $0.51 (currently).

    Targets in the $0.60-$0.75 range are a possibility should the crypto market experience a rebound from current downward pressure.

    Gains for Ethereum and top ecosystem tokens will catalyse this likely OP bounce.

    However, bearish pressure means the psychological $1 mark remains well off the threshold for now.

    Major token unlocks will continue to cap gains, too, and a dip to $0.25 on fresh downward catalysts will encourage sellers.



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  • Crypto Fear and Greed index returns to greed as Bitcoin rallies above $97K

    Crypto Fear and Greed index returns to greed as Bitcoin rallies above $97K

    • Crypto Fear and Greed Index hit “greed” for the first time since the $19B October liquidation event.
    • Bitcoin rallied to a two-month high above $97K, helping lift overall crypto market sentiment.
    • On-chain data shows retail holders exiting, while declining exchange balances signal reduced sell pressure.

    The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has moved back into “greed” territory for the first time since a $19 billion liquidation event in October rattled digital asset markets, signaling an improvement in investor sentiment as Bitcoin staged a strong recovery.

    In an update on Thursday, the index posted a reading of 61, reflecting growing optimism after weeks spent in “fear” and “extreme fear.”

    Just a day earlier, the index stood at 48, placing it in the “neutral” zone.

    The shift marks a notable change in mood following months of heightened risk aversion among crypto traders.

    Sentiment rebounds after October liquidation shock

    Crypto investor sentiment collapsed on Oct. 11, when $19 billion was liquidated from the market, sending traders fleeing from altcoins and driving widespread pessimism.

    In the weeks that followed, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index recorded some of its lowest readings on record, falling into the low double digits multiple times in November and December.

    The index is closely watched by market participants as a barometer of sentiment, helping traders assess whether conditions favor buying, selling, or remaining on the sidelines.

    It compiles data from several indicators, including price volatility of major cryptocurrencies, trading volume, market momentum, Google search trends, and overall sentiment on social media platforms.

    The return to “greed” suggests that the sharp caution seen late last year has begun to ease, even though markets remain well below the levels that previously triggered euphoric sentiment.

    Bitcoin rally lifts overall market mood

    Improving sentiment has coincided with a strong rebound in Bitcoin prices.

    Over the past seven days, Bitcoin has climbed from $89,799 to reach a two-month high of $97,704 on Wednesday, according to data from CoinGecko.

    The move marks the first time Bitcoin has traded above $97,000 since Nov. 14.

    At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $96,218, up by 1% in the last 24 hours.

    At that time, however, the Fear and Greed Index was firmly in “extreme fear” territory, as Bitcoin was sliding sharply from all-time highs.

    The latest rally has helped stabilize broader market confidence, even as traders remain cautious about sustainability.

    While the index’s return to “greed” indicates growing optimism, it remains well below levels typically associated with excessive risk-taking.

    On-chain signals show retail exiting positions

    Despite the improving price action, some on-chain indicators suggest that retail participation has declined in recent days. Analysts at market intelligence platform Santiment said in an X post on Wednesday that Bitcoin holders have been reducing their exposure.

    According to Santiment, over the last three days, there has been a net drop of 47,244 Bitcoin holders, indicating that “retail had been dropping out due to FUD & impatience.”

    “When non-empty wallets drop, it’s a sign that the crowd is dropping out, a good sign. Similarly, less supply on exchanges decreases the risk of a selloff,” the analysts said.

    They added that “This price bounce has also been supported by a 7-month low 1.18 million Bitcoin on exchanges.”

    A lower amount of Bitcoin held on exchanges is generally viewed as a bullish indicator, as it suggests investors are storing assets in private wallets and are less inclined to sell quickly.

    Taken together, the rebound in sentiment, rising Bitcoin prices, and declining exchange balances point to a cautiously improving outlook for the crypto market, even as investors continue to weigh lingering risks.

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