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  • Bitcoin Cash price forecast: BCH steady despite profit taking

    Bitcoin Cash price forecast: BCH steady despite profit taking

    Bitcoin Cash Token Steady Despite Profit Taking

    • Bitcoin Cash price hovered above $470 on June 18, 2025, despite broader profit taking.
    • BCH could break to December 2024 highs around $640.
    • However, a lack of decisive moves above $500 could allow for further declines if bearish momentum accelerates.

    Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is trading just below $470, marginally in the red for the day, while most major altcoins have seen sharper declines over the past 24 hours.

    The token, which is a fork of Bitcoin (BTC), is down 0.3% at the time of writing, faring better than most of the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap, which are down between 1.5% and 3%.

    The total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies has declined 1.5% to $3.26 trillion, reflecting a broader pullback in risk assets across global markets.

    Bitcoin Cash price dips amid crypto market weakness

    Despite the profit-taking that has intensified as uncertainty looms with the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East, Bitcoin Cash shows notable resilience.

    Macroeconomic pressures have also not helped investor sentiment, providing a potential downturn outlook for BCH and most altcoins.

    The Bitcoin Cash price stood among the top gainers last week, rising to hit highs near $480.

    It outpaced peers and Bitcoin’s more modest gains as it extended above $400.

    However, the past 24 hours have seen BCH retreat from its multi-week highs, largely due to broader profit-taking across the market.

    Similar trends have seen Bitcoin price pullback from highs above $108k to under $105k, driven by geopolitical tensions.

    The recent military escalations between Israel and Iran have dampened investor confidence, contributing to market volatility.

    While there are positive developments, such as the US Senate’s passage of the GENIUS Act, broader uncertainty persists.

    Investors are thus largely cautious, a reflection seen in Bitcoin’s performance.

    Indecision runs high, and BCH’s delicate poise above $400 may be retested again.

    On the other hand, a flip could be huge for bulls.

    BCH price prediction

    Despite recent losses, Bitcoin Cash exhibits resilience, with bulls defending the $400 support level within an ascending triangle pattern.

    Often, such a pattern precedes bullish breakouts.

    Also steady is the Open Interest (OI) in BCH futures. Per Coinglass, OI has risen 2.8% to $487 million to signal continued trader confidence.

    Buyers may use the dip to position for a potential move.

    BCH chart by TradingView

    Technical indicators bolster this optimism, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 65 to suggest sustained bullish momentum.

    Bitcoin Cash’s daily chart also has the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showing a bullish crossover, suggesting buyers retain the upper hand.

    Should BCH break above the key $500 resistance, the next target lies at the December 2024 highs of $640, potentially signaling a broader rally.

    On the downside, strong support exists at $400, with $375 acting as a critical floor.

    A breach below these levels could accelerate bearish pressure, particularly if Bitcoin falls below the psychological $100k level.
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  • Truth Social files for a Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF

    Truth Social files for a Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF

    Truth Social files for a Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF

    • Truth Social has filed for a Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF with the US SEC.
    • The Truth Social Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF will offer combined exposure to BTC and ETH in one product.
    • The move marks Truth Social’s bold entry into digital finance.

    Truth Social has officially entered the cryptocurrency investment space, pursuing a Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF.

    According to a tweet by Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart, the social media platform backed by US President Donald Trump on June 16, 2025, filed an S-1 registration statement with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch a new cryptocurrency exchange-traded fund (ETF).

    The ETF, named the Truth Social Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF and carrying the proposed ticker “B.T.,” seeks to combine exposure to both Bitcoin and Ethereum in a single investment product.

    Truth Social’s entry into the financial sector

    This filing marks Truth Social’s most significant step yet into the financial sector, underscoring a growing interest in blockchain technology and digital assets.

    Although the platform initially launched as a political and social media outlet, it has increasingly expanded its focus to align with digital innovation trends.

    Now, with this ETF filing, the company appears to be positioning itself as a serious player in the intersection of finance, crypto, and digital infrastructure.

    Notably, the move not only signals Truth Social’s intent to diversify but also reflects a broader trend of mainstream platforms entering the digital asset space.

    In addition, venturing into the crypto space, Truth Social may be seeking to appeal to a younger and more tech-savvy demographic that is increasingly influential in both markets and politics.

    The Truth Social Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF will offer BTC and ETH exposure

    The proposed ETF will offer investors exposure to the two largest cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ethereum, within a single investment vehicle.

    Unlike many previous ETF attempts that focused on only one asset, this dual-exposure structure may appeal to investors looking for a more diversified entry point into the digital currency market.

    Sponsored by Yorkville America Digital, LLC, the fund is expected to track the market performance of both BTC and ETH, though full details will depend on the SEC’s approval process.

    With crypto markets maturing and regulatory clarity slowly improving, the Truth Social Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF, if greenlit, would provide traditional investors with a regulated way to gain crypto exposure without needing to directly hold or manage the digital assets themselves.

    That level of accessibility could broaden crypto adoption among risk-averse or institutionally focused market participants.

    While SEC approval is never guaranteed, the application adds momentum to the growing wave of crypto-related financial products being proposed in the United States.
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  • Bitcoin trades around $105K amid Middle East tensions: what’s next?

    Bitcoin trades around $105K amid Middle East tensions: what’s next?

    Bitcoin trades around $105K amid Middle East tensions; options skew negative

    • Bitcoin (BTC) trades around $105K, stuck in a range due to Israel-Iran conflict uncertainty.
    • BTC options show decisive flip to puts, signaling heightened investor anxiety and downside hedging.
    • Despite near-term jitters, Bitcoin’s current cycle gain of 656% is impressive given its larger market cap.

    Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around the $105,000 mark as the Asian trading week gets underway, caught in a holding pattern as market participants grapple with uncertainty over whether the Israel-Iran conflict will escalate into a broader regional war.

    While near-term sentiment is dominated by geopolitical anxieties and signs of market “overheating,” longer-term perspectives and discussions around potential network upgrades offer a more nuanced picture for the leading cryptocurrency.

    The current market stasis, with Bitcoin seemingly “stuck in this range,” is largely attributed to the precarious geopolitical situation, according to a recent note from trading firm QCP Capital.

    In a Friday note published on Telegram, QCP highlighted that risk reversals have “flipped decisively.”

    This means front-end BTC put options (which protect against price drops) are now commanding premiums of up to 5 volatility points over equivalent call options (which bet on price increases).

    This is a clear indicator of heightened investor anxiety and an increased demand for hedging against potential downside risks.

    Despite this defensive shift in options market positioning, QCP noted that Bitcoin has demonstrated notable resilience.

    Even amid recent volatility, which saw over $1 billion in long positions liquidated across major crypto assets, on-chain data reportedly shows that institutional buying continues to provide meaningful support for prices.

    Nevertheless, QCP emphasized that markets remain “stuck in a bind,” awaiting clarity on geopolitical outcomes, and warned that the digital asset complex will likely remain tightly linked to headline-driven sentiment shifts for the foreseeable future.

    Adding to the near-term caution, a separate report from on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant (as referenced in a related context, though not directly quoted in this specific source text) has suggested that certain metrics indicate the BTC market is “overheating.”

    This includes surging demand approaching previous peaks and a slowing pace of accumulation by large “whale” holders.

    These indicators suggest the recent rally, which pushed prices to a record near $112,000, might be nearing a short-term consolidation point, with $120,000 identified as a key resistance.

    Long-term perspective: cycle gains and maturation

    While recent volatility underscores short-term anxiety, data from Glassnode offers some reassurance for investors concerned about Bitcoin’s longer-term direction.

    Bitcoin’s current cycle gain stands at an impressive 656%.

    While this is lower than the returns seen in previous bull markets (1076% in 2015–2018 and 1007% in 2018–2022), it is arguably more notable given Bitcoin’s significantly larger market capitalization today.

    This suggests that investor demand is still keeping pace reasonably well with BTC’s maturation as an asset class, even as near-term macroeconomic jitters dominate current market sentiment.

    Beyond ‘spam’: the OP_Return debate and Bitcoin’s evolution

    Shifting focus to network-level discussions, Alex Thorn of Galaxy Research, in a recent note, addressed the sometimes contentious debate around OP_Return (a Bitcoin protocol feature allowing small amounts of arbitrary data on the blockchain).

    Thorn suggested that the furor over this feature was largely driven by a “loud but small group of critics” and that their reactions, characterized by “wild accusations of the ‘death of Bitcoin’,” were misplaced given the historically low levels of mempool congestion (the queue of unconfirmed transactions).

    On-chain data indicates that the mempool is virtually empty compared to a year ago.

    This counters the narrative prevalent in 2023 that a congested blockchain was suffocating Bitcoin, a notion that now appears significantly overstated.

    Thorn further highlighted the irony of labeling arbitrary data as “spam,” reminding observers that Bitcoin’s pseudonymous creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, famously embedded arbitrary text—the “chancellor on brink of second bailout” headline—in the blockchain’s very first (genesis) block.

    Instead of focusing on such debates, Thorn argued that the Bitcoin community’s attention would be better directed towards potential network upgrades like CheckTemplateVerify (CTV).

    CTV is a proposed opcode that would enable more sophisticated and strict spending conditions, often referred to as “covenants.”

    “We continue to believe [CTV] is a conservative but powerful opcode that would greatly enhance the ability to build better, safer methods of custody,” Thorn wrote.

    He also noted that around 20% of Bitcoin’s hashrate has already signaled support for this upgrade.

    Bitcoin upgrades are known to require extensive consensus-building within the community, a reflection of its open-source and decentralized ethos.

    Thorn emphasized that this cautious, deliberate approach to evolution remains critical for ensuring Bitcoin’s broader adoption and scalability in the long run.
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  • Bitcoin falls to $103K, options skew hits 3-month low as mideast tensions drive oil prices higher

    Bitcoin falls to $103K, options skew hits 3-month low as mideast tensions drive oil prices higher

    Bitcoin falls to $103K, options skew hits 3-month low as mideast tensions drive oil prices higher

    A sharp escalation in Middle East tensions sent shockwaves through global financial markets in the early Asian trading hours, triggering a significant spike in oil prices and prompting a flight to safety.

    Bitcoin (BTC) was not immune to the turmoil, experiencing a notable price drop as traders scrambled for downside protection, evidenced by a dramatic crash in short-term options skew.

    The seven-day skew for Bitcoin options, a key metric that measures the relative cost of bullish calls versus bearish puts listed on Deribit, plummeted to -3.84%.

    This marked its lowest point since April 16, according to data from Amberdata.

    In practical terms, this means put options, which offer traders protection against price declines, became the most expensive relative to call options in three months.

    The surge in demand for these protective puts also dragged the 30-day and 60-day skews into negative territory, signaling a broader shift towards caution among market participants.

    Traders typically purchase put options either to hedge existing long positions in the spot or futures markets or to directly profit from an anticipated fall in prices.

    The clear preference for puts indicates a growing unease about Bitcoin’s near-term trajectory amidst the heightened geopolitical uncertainty.

    Bitcoin’s price reflected this nervousness, falling to its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $103,150, extending its 24-hour losses to 4.59%, according to CoinDesk data.

    This decline represented a significant retreat from earlier in the week when prices had briefly topped the $110,000 mark.

    Market bulls are now likely hoping that the 50-day SMA will provide a crucial support level, as a sustained break below it could attract further selling pressure, a pattern observed when this support level failed back in February.

    Oil surges as geopolitical cauldron boils over

    The catalyst for this market turbulence was a dramatic escalation in the Middle East.

    The per-barrel price of WTI crude oil surged by over 6% to $74.30, reaching its highest level since February 3 and extending its weekly gain to an impressive 13%, according to data from TradingView.

    This sharp upward movement in oil prices reportedly followed news of Israeli airstrikes on Iran, which supposedly drew retaliatory missile action from Tehran, though details remained fluid.

    Inflationary shadows and Fed policy under scrutiny

    Sudden and significant spikes in oil prices tend to have a global inflationary impact, and this latest surge is no exception.

    Concerns are now mounting that this could inject fresh inflationary pressures into economies worldwide, at a time when President Donald Trump’s ongoing trade war already threatens to disrupt economic stability and fuel inflation, particularly in net-importer countries.

    This confluence of factors could significantly dent market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.

    If inflation re-accelerates, the Fed may be less inclined to ease monetary policy, potentially adding to downside volatility in both stocks and cryptocurrencies.

    As of writing, futures tied to the S&P 500 were trading 1.5% lower on the day, reflecting the broader risk-off sentiment.

    Traditional markets reel from geopolitical shock

    The reaction in traditional markets was swift and pronounced. US stock index futures were down approximately 1.5% across the board following the news from the Middle East.

    European market futures mirrored this decline, also trading down by roughly the same margin.

    In a classic flight to safety, bond prices moved higher as investors sought refuge from the volatility.

    Gold, another traditional safe-haven asset, also saw increased demand, adding about 0.75% in the past hour to trade at $3,428 per ounce.

    Crude oil, as previously noted, had soared by an even more dramatic 9% to $74 per barrel in the immediate aftermath of the reports.

    The 10-year Treasury yield dipped two basis points to 4.32%, indicating increased demand for US government debt.

    Currency markets also reflected the shifting risk landscape, with the US dollar gaining against the euro and the British pound, but losing ground against traditional safe-haven currencies like the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc.
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  • Ether outperforms Bitcoin in May; ETH derivatives volume surpasses BTC on OKX

    Ether outperforms Bitcoin in May; ETH derivatives volume surpasses BTC on OKX

    Ether outperforms Bitcoin in May; ETH derivatives volume surpasses BTC on OKX

    • Ether (ETH) at $2,770, up nearly 11% this month, outperforming Bitcoin’s (BTC) 5% rise.
    • ETH (45.2%) now overshadows BTC (38.1%) in trading volume on OKX’s perpetual futures market.
    • Despite BTC volatility, institutions are “buying the dips,” with long-term holder supply growing, per Glassnode.

    As Asian markets kicked off their Thursday trading, Ether (ETH) was changing hands at $2,770, having demonstrated robust performance throughout the month.

    This strength, particularly in derivatives markets where it’s reportedly overshadowing Bitcoin (BTC), signals a growing institutional appetite for Ethereum’s structural growth potential and its pivotal role in bridging decentralized finance (DeFi) with traditional finance (TradFi).

    Meanwhile, the broader crypto landscape is seeing a significant surge in stablecoin activity, with Tron emerging as a key beneficiary.

    Ether has notably outperformed Bitcoin this month, with CoinDesk market data showing an almost 11% rise for ETH compared to BTC’s 5% gain.

    This divergence is partly attributed to increasing institutional trading demand for Ethereum. Lennix Lai, Chief Commercial Officer at crypto exchange OKX, told CoinDesk in an interview that sophisticated investors are increasingly betting on ETH, a trend evident in its derivatives market activity.

    “Ethereum is overshadowing BTC on our perpetual futures market, with ETH accounting for 45.2% of trading volume over the past week. BTC, by comparison, sits at 38.1%,” Lai revealed.

    This finding aligns with similar trends observed on other major derivatives platforms like Deribit, as CoinDesk recently reported, suggesting a significant shift in how institutional players are allocating capital within the crypto space.

    This isn’t to say that institutional interest in Bitcoin has waned. A recent report from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode indicates that despite Bitcoin’s recent price volatility, institutions have been actively “buying the dips.”

    Glassnode’s analysis showed that long-term holders (LTHs) realized over $930 million in profits per day during recent BTC rallies, a distribution level rivaling those seen at previous market cycle peaks.

    Remarkably, instead of triggering a broader sell-off, the supply held by these LTHs actually grew.

    “This dynamic highlights that maturation and accumulation pressures are outweighing distribution behavior,” Glassnode analysts wrote, noting that this is “highly atypical for late-stage bull markets.”

    Despite these underlying strengths, both leading cryptocurrencies remain susceptible to geopolitical risks and unpredictable “black swan” events, such as the recent public dispute between US President Donald Trump and tech billionaire Elon Musk.

    Such episodes serve as stark reminders that market sentiment can shift rapidly, even within structurally strong markets.

    However, beneath this surface-level volatility, institutional conviction appears to remain intact.

    Ethereum is increasingly being viewed as the preferred vehicle for accessing regulated DeFi opportunities, while Bitcoin continues to benefit from long-term accumulation by institutions, often via Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).

    “Macro uncertainties remain, but $3,000 ETH looks increasingly likely,” Lai concluded, offering a bullish outlook for Ethereum’s near-term price potential.

    Stablecoin surge: liquidity pours in, Tron leads the charge

    The stablecoin market is experiencing a significant boom, recently hitting an all-time high market capitalization of $228 billion, marking a 17% increase year-to-date, according to a new report from CryptoQuant.

    This surge in dollar-pegged liquidity is being driven by renewed investor confidence, buoyed by factors such as the blockbuster Initial Public Offering (IPO) of stablecoin issuer Circle, rising yields in DeFi protocols, and improving regulatory clarity in the US This influx of capital is quietly redrawing the map of where liquidity resides on-chain.

    “The amount of stablecoins on centralized exchanges has also reached record high levels, supporting crypto trading liquidity,” CryptoQuant reported.

    Their data indicates that the total value of ERC20 stablecoins (those built on Ethereum) on centralized exchanges has climbed to a record $50 billion.

    Interestingly, most of this growth in exchange stablecoin reserves has been a result of the increase in USDC reserves on these platforms, which have grown by 1.6 times so far in 2025 to reach $8 billion.

    When it comes to the blockchain protocols benefiting most from these stablecoin inflows, Tron has emerged as the clear leader.

    Tron’s combination of fast transaction finality and deep integrations with major stablecoin issuers like Tether is credited with making it a “liquidity magnet.”

    Presto Research, in a recently released report echoing these findings, noted that Tron notched over $6 billion in net stablecoin inflows in May alone.

    This figure topped all other chains and positioned Tron with the second-highest number of daily active users, just behind Solana.

    Tron was also the top performer in terms of native total value locked (TVL) growth.

    In contrast, both Ethereum and Solana experienced significant stablecoin outflows and losses in bridge volume during the same period, according to Presto’s data.

    This suggests a potential lack of new yield opportunities or major protocol upgrades attractive enough to retain or draw in fresh stablecoin capital on those networks.

    Presto’s data confirms a broader trend: institutional and retail capital alike are increasingly rotating towards alternative Layer 1 and Layer 2 solutions like Base, Solana (despite recent outflows, it still attracts users), and Tron.

    The common denominators among these favored chains appear to be faster execution speeds, more dynamic and evolving ecosystems, and, in some cases, more substantial incentive programs.
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  • XRP eyes fresh gains as Bitcoin correlation hits 0.91, RSI turns bullish

    XRP eyes fresh gains as Bitcoin correlation hits 0.91, RSI turns bullish

    • RSI remains above 50, indicating bullish momentum.
    • Resistance targets include $2.38 and $2.50.
    • A drop below $2.20 could invalidate the current rally.

    XRP appears to be aligning itself closely with Bitcoin’s performance, as fresh data shows a 0.91 correlation between the two cryptocurrencies.

    With Bitcoin hovering near $110,000, this unusually tight relationship is strengthening the case for a potential price surge in XRP.

    Technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) also suggest a build-up of buying pressure.

    As broader market momentum improves, XRP’s price action is increasingly seen as part of a larger bullish wave across the crypto space, raising the possibility of a breakout beyond its current range.

    Strong Bitcoin correlation boosts XRP

    XRP’s 0.91 correlation with Bitcoin highlights a clear pattern: the altcoin tends to rally when Bitcoin moves upward.

    This current high correlation is particularly significant, given Bitcoin’s attempt to breach its previous all-time highs.

    Historically, XRP has often mirrored Bitcoin’s trends, especially during strong bull cycles.

    When the correlation weakens, XRP usually underperforms, but with the metric climbing again, traders are taking this as a potential bullish signal.

    Bitcoin’s recent stability near the $110,000 mark is reinforcing this sentiment.

    Market watchers note that when BTC remains strong at key levels, altcoins like XRP typically gain in both price and volume.

    This is setting the stage for XRP to maintain upward momentum in the near term, especially if Bitcoin continues to test resistance levels above $110,000.

    RSI supports a bullish trend for XRP

    One of the key indicators showing positive momentum for XRP is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which currently remains above the neutral 50 mark.

    This signals an increase in buying activity, with bulls maintaining control over the asset.

    If the RSI continues in this direction, XRP could build up the strength needed to challenge higher resistance zones.

    Momentum-based traders are likely to keep a close eye on this trend.

    With the RSI staying above the halfway line, it reflects sustained interest in the token from both retail and institutional players.

    The technical structure now favours buyers, as the RSI has consistently held in the bullish range for several days.

    This upward pressure could catalyse a fresh move in the altcoin’s price.

    XRP stabilises above support, targets new resistance

    XRP is currently trading at $2.33. The altcoin has managed to hold above the $2.27 support level, a crucial zone for maintaining its bullish setup.

    XRP price
    Source: CoinMarketCap

    Should XRP continue to hold this level, the next target would be the $2.38 resistance, which has previously acted as a strong ceiling.

    A break above $2.38 and a successful retest as support could propel XRP towards $2.50, a level that would reinforce its bullish momentum.

    However, a failure to defend $2.27 could open the door to short-term weakness.

    Key downside targets include $2.20 and $2.13, with a move below these levels risking a complete invalidation of the recent uptrend.
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  • Bitcoin reclaims $110K; DeFi tokens surge

    Bitcoin reclaims $110K; DeFi tokens surge

    Bitcoin tops $110K for 2nd day; altcoins UNI, AAVE rally on SEC Chair comments

    • Bitcoin (BTC) traded above $110,000 for a second day, up over 1% in 24 hours, buoyed by altcoin rally.
    • DeFi tokens UNI (+24%) and AAVE (+13%) surged following optimistic comments from SEC Chair Paul Atkins.
    • Despite price gains, market sentiment remains cautious, with low funding rates (1.3%) typically seen at bottoms.

    Bitcoin (BTC) revisited the $110,000 level for the second day in a row on Tuesday, seemingly pulled higher by even more substantial gains among various altcoins.

    However, despite this upward movement, a prevailing sense of caution and skepticism among traders suggests that the sustainability of this breakout remains in question.

    Bitcoin was trading just above $110,000 shortly after the close of U.S. stock markets on Tuesday, marking a gain of over 1% in the preceding 24 hours.

    The broader cryptocurrency market, as measured by the CoinDesk 20 index—which tracks the top 20 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization (excluding stablecoins, exchange coins, and memecoins)—had risen by a more significant 3.3% over the same period.

    This broader rally was largely attributed to strong performances from major altcoins such as Ether (ETH), Solana (SOL), and Chainlink (LINK), all of which posted gains in the 5%-7% range.

    The most impressive performances of the day, however, came from decentralized finance (DeFi) tokens Uniswap (UNI) and Aave (AAVE).

    These tokens soared by a remarkable 24% and 13%, respectively.

    This surge was reportedly prompted by optimistic comments regarding DeFi made by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Paul Atkins on Monday, which appeared to inject fresh enthusiasm into the DeFi sector.

    In contrast, the traditional equity markets linked to cryptocurrency showed a more subdued picture, with most crypto stocks trading flat on the day.

    A notable exception was Semler Scientific (SMLR), a company aiming to emulate MicroStrategy’s (MSTR) strategy of accumulating significant Bitcoin holdings.

    Semler Scientific’s shares fell another 10% on Tuesday, with the stock now trading for less than the value of the Bitcoin on its balance sheet, highlighting the risks associated with such strategies.

    Defensive posturing despite proximity to highs

    Despite Bitcoin’s recent gains and its proximity to previous all-time highs, positioning across cryptocurrency markets continues to reflect a largely defensive and cautious sentiment among traders.

    “Funding rates and other leverage proxies point toward a steadily cautious sentiment in the market,” Vetle Lunde, head of research at K33 Research, pointed out in a Tuesday report.

    “The broad risk appetite is remarkably weak, given that BTC is trading close to former all-time highs.”

    This observation suggests that traders are not fully convinced of the rally’s strength and are hesitant to take on excessive risk.

    Lunde further noted that Binance’s BTC perpetual swaps posted negative funding rates on multiple days last week, with the average annualized funding rate now sitting at just 1.3%.

    This level, he explained, is typically associated with local market bottoms rather than tops.

    “Bitcoin does not usually peak in environments with negative funding rates,” Lunde wrote, adding that past instances of such defensive positioning have more often preceded rallies than significant corrections.

    Flows into leveraged Bitcoin ETFs paint a similar picture of cautious engagement.

    The ProShares 2x Bitcoin ETF (BITX) currently holds exposure equivalent to 52,435 BTC, which is well below its December 2023 peak of 76,755 BTC.

    Inflows into such products remain muted.

    According to Lunde, this defensive positioning, paradoxically, leaves room for a potential “healthy rally” in BTC to develop, as it suggests the market is not overly leveraged or euphoric.

    Skepticism greets potential breakout

    However, not all market watchers are convinced that the current price action signals the beginning of a sustainable upward trend.

    Some analysts remain skeptical about the durability of any breakout above the $110,000 level.

    “Is this a true breakout that will continue? In my view, probably not,” said Kirill Kretov, senior automation expert at CoinPanel.

    More likely, it’s part of the same volatility cycle where we see a rally now, followed by a sharp drop triggered by a negative announcement or some other narrative shift.

    According to Kretov, the current market environment favors experienced traders who are adept at navigating volatility-driven market structures.

    From a technical perspective, he identifies Bitcoin’s next key support levels at $105,000 and $100,000.

    These are zones that could be tested if selling pressure re-emerges and the current upward momentum falters.

    The market now watches to see if Bitcoin can consolidate its gains and build a stronger foundation for a continued ascent, or if skepticism will be validated by a retreat from current levels.
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  • Bitcoin trades near $107K despite national guard deployment in Los Angeles

    Bitcoin trades near $107K despite national guard deployment in Los Angeles

    BTC price holds steady above $106K amid US domestic tensions, eyes $107K resistance

    • Bitcoin (BTC) climbed towards $107K over the weekend, trading around $106,332 despite U.S. domestic unrest.
    • President Trump deployed 2,000 National Guard troops to Los Angeles amid an immigration-related standoff.
    • BTC showed strong support at $105,400 and broke resistance around $106,100 with strong volume.

    Bitcoin (BTC) continued its steady ascent over the weekend, trading above $105,623.12 and pushing towards the $107,000 mark, even as domestic tensions escalated in the United States, notably in Los Angeles.

    The cryptocurrency market appeared largely unfazed by the unsettling headlines, showcasing a degree of resilience that underscores its growing perception as a hedge against uncertainty.

    The backdrop to Bitcoin’s steady performance was a significant immigration-related standoff in Los Angeles.

    According to a report by CNBC, the situation saw over 100 arrests as clashes persisted between protesters and federal agents.

    This prompted President Trump to authorize the deployment of 2,000 National Guard troops to the area.

    By Sunday morning, elements of the 79th Infantry Brigade had arrived on-site, as confirmed by Northern Command.

    The potential for further escalation was highlighted by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, who warned that US Marines stationed at Camp Pendleton could also be mobilized if the violence continued.

    Despite these significant domestic developments, Bitcoin’s price action remained remarkably stable, hovering around $106,332 by Sunday.

    This suggests that crypto investors are, for now, treating the unrest as a localized regional event rather than a systemic crisis capable of derailing the digital asset market.

    Technical picture: consolidation with bullish undertones

    Bitcoin traded within a relatively narrow range over the weekend, fluctuating approximately $1,057 between a low of $105,043 and a high of $106,101, before pushing to its current level around $106,332.

    The price demonstrated a strong rebound after a brief dip below $105,100, with buying interest re-emerging robustly around the $105,400 support level, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis model.

    An early attempt to break out above the $106,100 mark encountered selling pressure, which created a high-volume resistance zone.

    While this upward move was initially short-lived due to some profit-taking, Bitcoin managed to hold onto its gains.

    The overall consolidation structure remains bullish, with a consistent pattern of higher lows hinting at the potential for a sustained push towards the $107,000 level, should the immediate resistance break cleanly.

    This tendency for Bitcoin to attract buyers during dips, despite broader macroeconomic headwinds, further underscores its perceived role as a hedge in times of rising uncertainty.

    Key technical levels and market dynamics

    A closer look at the technical indicators provides further insight into Bitcoin’s recent price action and potential near-term movements:

    • Trading range: BTC traded within a $1,288 range (representing 1.22% of its value) between a low of $105,043.65 and a 24-hour high of $106,332.

    • Resistance break: Initial resistance observed around the 105,900–106,100 zone was decisively broken as prices surged beyond this area with strong trading volume during the early afternoon.

    • Support holds: The support level at $105,400 held firm despite several retests, reinforcing the prevailing bullish sentiment in the market.

    • Breakout and stabilization: A clear breakout to $106,332 occurred around 13:48, which was followed by minor profit-taking activity before the price stabilized above the $106,000 mark.

    • Ascending trend: The hourly chart reveals an ascending trend characterized by consistent higher lows, a pattern that invalidates earlier interpretations of a “pump and dump” scenario.

    • Next target: With current momentum intact, market analysts suggest that BTC may test the $107,000 resistance level, provided that the current support near $105,800 continues to hold.

    This technical picture, combined with Bitcoin’s apparent decoupling from localized domestic strife, paints a cautiously optimistic outlook for the leading cryptocurrency as it navigates a complex global landscape.
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  • Bitcoin slips below $104K on ETF outflows, decline fears mount

    Bitcoin slips below $104K on ETF outflows, decline fears mount

    Bitcoin drops below $104k amid fears of further decline as ETF outflows kick in

    • Bitcoin falls below $104K amid heavy ETF outflows.
    • Key resistance at $106K–$107K amid rebound attempts.
    • Whale selling is on the rise as retail buys surge.

    Bitcoin (BTC) has started June on the back foot, dipping below $104,000 to a low of $103,833.57 on June 2 as investors react to a fresh wave of ETF outflows and technical uncertainty.

    Despite closing May with its highest monthly close ever near $105,700, the market mood has quickly shifted, driven by signs of distribution from whales and institutional sellers.

    Bitcoin ETF outflows outweigh inflows

    The six-week streak of inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs came to an abrupt end on May 30, when funds collectively recorded a staggering $616.22 million in outflows according to Coinglass data.

    Bitcoin ETF outflows

    This reversal marks a sharp deviation from previous weeks, where ETF flows had reinforced the bullish narrative and contributed to Bitcoin’s 11% monthly gain.

    BlackRock’s IBIT, the largest fund in the cohort, leads the exit with $430.82 million in withdrawals, even though it still maintains over $69 billion in assets under management.

    Fidelity’s FBTC and ARK 21Shares’ ARKB follow suit with $113.71 million and $120.14 million in outflows, respectively, underscoring the broad-based nature of the sell-off.

    Although the total cumulative inflows across all ETFs remain positive at $44.37 billion, the sudden withdrawal suggests that investors are now acting cautiously amid growing macroeconomic and technical risks.

    Bitcoin price pullback

    On the price charts, Bitcoin’s recent pullback from $109,000 to $103,833 has brought it below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement of the rally to its all-time high of $112,000.

    That dip reflected heavy profit-taking into the end of May, exacerbated by the rising influence of bearish technical patterns such as the death cross on the 4-hour chart.

    During Monday’s European session, BTC briefly rebounded to $105,500 but quickly stalled near $105,800 — a zone that combines the 0.618 Fibonacci level with the 100 EMA, forming a critical confluence of resistance.

    While the 20 EMA has been reclaimed, the price continues to struggle beneath the 50 EMA at $106,000, reinforcing the view that bulls face an uphill task in regaining upward momentum.

    If Bitcoin fails to break through the resistance between $106,000 and $107,000, the downside pressure could intensify, possibly dragging the asset back to the recent low near $103,200.

    Adding to the volatility is James Wynn, the controversial high-leverage trader who once again opened a $100 million BTC long at 40X leverage on Hyperliquid, with a liquidation price precariously close at $101,999.

    Wynn’s repeated attempts to go long on BTC have not only ended in substantial floating losses but have also fueled wider speculation-driven activity on the Hyperliquid platform.

    After another failed attempt by the market to liquidate him, Wynn has announced that he has decided to give perp trading a break, further amplifying concerns of exaggerated leverage in the market.

    On-chain metrics are sending diverging signals

    Meanwhile, on-chain metrics show a divergence in behaviour between whales and retail traders, with large holders reducing exposure steadily since BTC crossed $81,000.

    Retail participants, by contrast, are showing signs of buying the top, a dynamic that historically aligns with periods of short-term market corrections.

    Santiment flagged increased whale activity around the May 22 peak, noting that similar past patterns typically signal local tops rather than sustainable breakouts.

    Even though Bitcoin remains up 11% over the past month, relative strength index (RSI) signals have turned bearish, flashing clear divergence as price attempts to recover above key resistance zones.

    At the same time, broader macro conditions continue to cast a shadow, with traders watching closely for signals from the Federal Reserve amid slowing job growth and cooling inflation.

    The falling US Dollar Index could provide a short-term tailwind for Bitcoin, but analysts remain divided on whether current levels represent a springboard for a fresh rally or a prelude to further losses.

    Data from Glassnode’s MVRV ratio shows BTC is trading between critical bands that historically precede local tops, with the +1σ level near $119,400 acting as a psychological ceiling for many profit-takers.

    While some traders anticipate a bounce from the $100K support to as high as $113K, the risk of a deeper correction continues to dominate sentiment across both spot and derivative markets.

    As June unfolds, all eyes will remain fixed on ETF flows, macro indicators, and whether Bitcoin can decisively reclaim the $106,000–$107,000 band to avoid slipping further into bearish territory.
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  • Conor McGregor calls for Bitcoin strategy in Ireland

    Conor McGregor calls for Bitcoin strategy in Ireland

    Conor McGregor calls for Bitcoin strategy in Ireland amid $413B in US bank losses

    • Strategy aims to reduce financial corruption and boost sovereignty.
    • Panama–El Salvador alliance pushes for regional Bitcoin leadership.
    • US bank report highlights CRE stress, renewing Bitcoin’s safe haven appeal.

    As Ireland grapples with calls for deeper financial reform, a bold new proposal is emerging from one of the country’s most recognisable public figures.

    UFC legend and 2025 presidential hopeful Conor McGregor has suggested creating a national Bitcoin strategic reserve to empower Irish people and help eliminate financial corruption.

    His plan draws inspiration from El Salvador’s approach, where President Nayib Bukele made Bitcoin legal tender and significantly altered the country’s economic trajectory.

    Now, McGregor wants Ireland to forge a similar path—using decentralised finance to strengthen national autonomy and reduce reliance on centralised banking systems.

    McGregor’s strategy draws from El Salvador’s Bitcoin model

    McGregor announced his presidential ambitions in March 2025, shortly before floating the idea of a Bitcoin-based reserve system for Ireland.

    Posting on X, he praised President Bukele’s success in El Salvador, noting that Bitcoin adoption played a major role in reducing corruption and crime.

    McGregor’s proposal goes beyond digital asset investment—it suggests positioning Bitcoin as a foundational pillar for national monetary policy, with the reserve acting as a hedge against inflation and traditional financial sector vulnerabilities.

    The comparison to Bukele is intentional. Bukele’s government was the first in the world to declare Bitcoin legal tender, backed by a nationwide wallet rollout and state-managed reserves.

    Though not without its critics, the initiative has attracted global attention.

    McGregor believes this model could support a more transparent financial system in Ireland, one he says would put “the people’s money” back into public hands.

    Reaction on social media and beyond

    The idea sparked widespread debate online. While some praised McGregor’s forward-thinking stance, others criticised his phrasing, particularly his reference to “crypto” instead of Bitcoin specifically.

    The distinction was not lost on Bitcoin maximalists, who argued that the proposal’s credibility rests on a focus on Bitcoin’s unique decentralised qualities, not broader digital assets.

    Despite the terminology debate, interest in McGregor’s plan is growing, with his call to invite Bukele to Ireland gaining traction.

    McGregor’s campaign team has not yet released a detailed policy document, but insiders say talks are underway to explore feasibility and integration with Ireland’s existing financial framework.

    Analysts point out that any move towards incorporating Bitcoin into sovereign wealth strategies would require legislative backing, regulatory clarity, and public trust.

    Global momentum builds as LATAM plans to step up Bitcoin adoption

    Ireland isn’t the only nation contemplating a more significant role for Bitcoin.

    At the Bitcoin Conference, held earlier this month, Panama City mayor Mayer Mizrachi advocated for a regional Bitcoin alliance between Panama and El Salvador.

    The proposal underscores a broader shift in parts of Latin America towards Bitcoin-led economic reform, especially in countries historically impacted by currency instability or corruption.

    Mizrachi called the proposed alliance a “push for global financial freedom,” further boosting Bitcoin’s geopolitical narrative.

    This trend may increase pressure on developed nations like Ireland to reconsider their current stance on cryptocurrencies and blockchain integration in public finance.
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