Tag: Bitcoin

  • Bitcoin at risk of a 51% attack from two miners

    Bitcoin at risk of a 51% attack from two miners

    Bitcoin at risk of a 51% attack

    • Foundry USA and AntPool now control over half of Bitcoin’s hash power.
    • Bitcoin price is slipping toward $110,530, a crucial support level.
    • Macro fears and Fed shifts add pressure to already weak crypto markets.

    After Monero’s 51% takeover, two Bitcoin mining pools have sparked fears of a potential 51% attack on Bitcoin.

    Notably, the developments have raised critical questions about the security of the Bitcoin network and the stability of the wider crypto market.

    Also, the concerns over mining centralisation have intensified just as BTC faces steep price declines and broader macroeconomic pressures.

    Two mining pools dominate Bitcoin’s hash power

    Two major mining pools, Foundry USA and AntPool, now control more than half of Bitcoin’s total computing power.

    Foundry even mined eight consecutive blocks in a row, an event that is extremely rare and has heightened fears of network centralization.

    With over 51% of the hash power concentrated in just two entities, experts warn that Bitcoin is technically vulnerable to a 51% attack.

    In such a scenario, the dominant miners could potentially reorganize blocks, censor transactions, or undermine trust in the network.

    While such an attack would be extremely costly and perhaps self-defeating, the centralization trend has raised red flags across the community.

    Rising empty blocks and collapsing fees

    Alongside the hash power imbalance, analysts have noted an increase in the number of empty blocks being mined.

    Empty blocks generate lower transaction fees, which has led to collapsing revenues for miners and less efficient network usage.

    This situation has further fueled concerns about the long-term sustainability of the Bitcoin ecosystem, particularly as users demand greater efficiency from the blockchain.

    Although some commentators argue that a 51% attack would require an astronomical investment, estimated at around $1.1 trillion, they also admit that the risk of manipulation grows when power becomes too concentrated.

    Supporters of Bitcoin believe that no rational actor would spend such sums to destroy the very network that sustains their investment.

    Still, the perception of risk is enough to shake market confidence.

    Bitcoin price slides toward key support levels

    The security fears are unfolding at a delicate moment for Bitcoin’s price.

    After reaching an all-time high of $124,000 just last week, Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen sharply to around $113,000.

    The cryptocurrency is now approaching a crucial support level near $110,530, where buyers are expected to step in.

    If the price holds above that level, a rebound toward $120,000 and eventually $124,474 could follow.

    Some analysts like popular X commentator BitQuant are confident that Bitcoin is still on track to reach $145,000 without ever dipping below the six-figure mark.

    However, if Bitcoin breaks below the $110,530 support zone, the decline could deepen toward $107,000 or even $100,000.

    Short-term charts show bearish momentum, with the relative strength index in negative territory and the 20-day moving average sloping downward.

    Macro fears add pressure on crypto markets

    Beyond the technical charts, macroeconomic shocks are also weighing on sentiment.

    A recent shift in Federal Reserve policy, combined with Wall Street warnings about the newly passed Genius Act stablecoin bill, has unsettled investors.

    There are fears that the legislation could trigger a flood of withdrawals worth up to $6.6 trillion, posing systemic risks to both banking and crypto markets.

     

     



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  • Bitcoin sees strong accumulation despite BTC price pullback

    Bitcoin sees strong accumulation despite BTC price pullback

    Bitcoin Whales Buy The Dip

    • Bitcoin price is near $115,300 after bouncing off lows of $114k.
    • Despite sharp declines this past week, BTC is seeing robust accumulation.
    • Onchain data suggests aggressive whale buying.

    Bitcoin (BTC) price hovers around $115,300 in early trading on August 19, 2025, but despite the pullback that includes a dip to lows of $114k, the benchmark digital asset is witnessing robust accumulation.

    While on-chain data suggests whales are aggressively buying, technical analyses signal bullish support above the psychological $110k.

    Notably, BTC price reached its all-time peak above $124k on Aug. 14.

    Whales scoop Bitcoin on the cheap

    As noted, on-chain data shows bulls have used the sharp price decline in the past few days to buy Bitcoin.

    The overall trend, as analysts from CryptoQuant show, is that accumulation is on the up.

    Crypto analyst Axel Adler Jr notes in a post on X that there’s been a significant shift in Bitcoin’s exchange netflow.

    Per the CryptoQuant on-chain and macro analyst, the 30-day moving average of net outflow has jumped from -1.7K to -3.4k Bitcoin per day, which suggests that coins are exiting centralised exchanges at an accelerated rate compared to sales.

    This accumulation, against a backdrop of Bitcoin’s price drop to lows of $114k, speaks to bulls’ strong long-term conviction.

    In any case, a divergence between net outflows and price decline has historically pointed to a bullish reversal.

    “Against the backdrop of price decline, we see strengthening net outflow: the Exchange Netflow-30D moving average became more negative from -1.7K to -3.4K BTC/day. This means coins on CEX exchanges are being bought faster than they are being sold. Such a shift in a falling market is a bullish divergence, where participants are using the drawdown to buy back coins,” Adler Jr. said.

    Santiment’s onchain analytics also point to this trend. Notably, top whales and sharks have continued to accumulate even amid the mild dip.

    With BTC prices dropping more than 6% since its peak, wallets within the 10-10K range have scooped more than 20,061 BTC.

    “When we zoom out, this same group of key stakeholders has added 225,320 Bitcoin going back to March 22nd. There has been notable correlation between this group’s holdings and the direction of future price movement for the majority of the past five years,” Santiment noted.

    What’s the Bitcoin price outlook?

    Bitcoin’s price technical picture shows BTC lies within the broad range of support at $112k and resistance at $120k.

    Although panic selling in recent weeks has some holders in a downbeat mood, CryptoQuant says they may be dumping at a loss.

    “This loss-selling event becomes a critical barometer of market health. If absorbed quickly, it could mirror past resets that fueled strong rebounds. If not, it risks signalling a momentum breakdown,” noted crypto analyst Kerem.

    With on-chain data indicating strong accumulation and technical indicators supporting a bullish outlook, BTC remains largely bullish.



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  • Metaplanet adds 775 Bitcoin to treasury amid market pullback

    Metaplanet adds 775 Bitcoin to treasury amid market pullback

    Bitcoin consolidates below $120K; Analysts say Ethereum flows will guide next market move

    • Simon Gerovich said the company acquired the bitcoins at an average cost of $120,006 each.
    • Metaplanet began implementing its Bitcoin accumulation strategy in April 2024.
    • With the latest purchase, Metaplanet’s total bitcoin holdings have risen to 18,888 BTC, valued at about $1.94 billion.

    Metaplanet, a Japanese Bitcoin treasury company, has purchased an additional 775 BTC for roughly $93 million as part of its ongoing accumulation strategy.

    The firm disclosed the latest acquisition on Monday through a post by its president, Simon Gerovich, on X.

    Gerovich said the company acquired the bitcoins at an average cost of $120,006 each.

    With the latest purchase, Metaplanet’s total bitcoin holdings have risen to 18,888 BTC, valued at about $1.94 billion.

    The firm’s average purchase price now stands at $102,653 per bitcoin.

    Metaplanet began implementing its Bitcoin accumulation strategy in April 2024.

    The firm is currently the seventh-largest holder of Bitcoin globally, according to Bitcointreasuries data.

    In his post announcing the milestone, Gerovich noted the company’s growing treasury position and reaffirmed its commitment to the strategy.

    Metaplanet’s Q2 results

    The company also released its second-quarter financial results last week.

    Total revenue reached 1.2 billion yen ($8.4 million), representing a 41% increase from the previous quarter.

    Net income swung to a profit of 11.1 billion yen ($75.1 million), compared to a net loss of 5 billion yen ($34.2 million) in the first quarter.

    Metaplanet said it continues to project full-year revenue of 3.4 billion yen and operating profit of 2.5 billion yen.

    The company attributed this outlook to recurring income from cash-secured put premiums and its operational performance.

    Metaplanet stock under pressure

    Despite the upbeat earnings and treasury expansion, Metaplanet’s stock price fell 8.6% on Friday to close at 866 yen.

    On Monday, shares recovered slightly, rising 0.6% around midday in Japan, while markets were still open.

    Addressing the recent weakness, Gerovich acknowledged the disappointment among investors but stressed confidence in the company’s long-term approach.

    He said the firm’s bitcoin income generation business has expanded for three consecutive quarters, adding that recurring income provides resilience and flexibility to support future financing and treasury operations.

    Bitcoin price today

    The latest acquisition comes as bitcoin’s price faces volatility.

    The world’s largest cryptocurrency touched a new all-time high of $124,474 last Thursday before retreating 4% the same day.

    Over the weekend, it traded around the $117,300 level and was slightly lower at the start of the week, nearing key support at $116,000.

    If Bitcoin closes below that level, analysts note that the decline could extend toward its 50-day Exponential Moving Average of $115,031.

    A further break below could test the next support zone near $111,980.



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  • Norway’s $1.6 trillion wealth fund boosts indirect Bitcoin exposure by 192% in Q2 2025

    Norway’s $1.6 trillion wealth fund boosts indirect Bitcoin exposure by 192% in Q2 2025

    Norway’s $1.6 trillion wealth fund boosts Bitcoin exposure by 83% in Q2 2025

    • NBIM now holds the equivalent of 7,161 BTC through listed equities.
    • Institutional interest in Bitcoin grows through ETFs and corporate holdings.
    • The move may signal early stages of sovereign-backed Bitcoin adoption.

    Norway’s sovereign wealth fund, the largest in the world, has taken a significant step into the cryptocurrency market, increasing its Bitcoin (BTC) exposure by 192% during the second quarter of 2025.

    Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM), which manages the country’s $1.6 trillion oil-funded portfolio, expanded its holdings from the equivalent of 2,446 BTC from the June quarter in 2024 to 7,161 BTC.

    The move underscores a broader shift among institutional investors who are using publicly listed equities and ETFs to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency market without holding digital assets directly.

    Bitcoin exposure rises through equities and ETFs

    NBIM’s largest Bitcoin exposure comes via its stake in MicroStrategy (MSTR), the biggest corporate holder of the cryptocurrency. The fund also initiated a smaller position equivalent to 200 BTC in Japan-based Metaplanet.

    These holdings are reflected in the fund’s Q2 2025 13F filings, which track institutional investments in US-listed companies.

    The data, compiled by analysts, highlights NBIM’s increased allocation to Bitcoin-linked equities during a period of growing global interest in the asset class.

    Sovereign wealth funds are typically known for their conservative, long-term investment strategies, making this level of exposure notable.

    Institutional participation strengthens

    The move by NBIM comes amid rising institutional adoption of Bitcoin, driven in part by strong inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and increased corporate interest.

    These products have made it easier for large investors to gain exposure without managing the complexities of digital asset custody.

    Industry analysts note that sovereign wealth funds and large pension managers are beginning to explore Bitcoin as part of diversified long-term portfolios.

    While NBIM has not publicly commented on its decision, the timing aligns with Bitcoin’s steady price gains over the past quarter, supported by favourable macroeconomic conditions and increased demand.

    Strategic hedge potential

    For NBIM, the Bitcoin allocation remains a small portion of its total assets, but it may serve as a hedge against currency debasement and geopolitical risks.

    Such positioning reflects a growing recognition among large investors that Bitcoin could play a role in risk-adjusted portfolio diversification.

    The increase also follows a global trend where state-backed investment vehicles cautiously test exposure to emerging asset classes, particularly those viewed as potential stores of value.

    If this allocation pattern continues, the participation of sovereign funds could have a meaningful impact on Bitcoin’s market liquidity and institutional legitimacy.

    Broader implications for sovereign-backed Bitcoin adoption

    The developments at NBIM may signal the early stages of more widespread sovereign-backed Bitcoin adoption.

    Although the current exposure is small relative to the size of the fund, the scale of sovereign wealth fund capital means even incremental moves can influence market dynamics.

    As other funds monitor NBIM’s strategy, institutional activity in Bitcoin-linked assets could increase further.

    For the cryptocurrency market, these flows represent a structural change in the investor base, moving beyond retail speculation to long-term, strategic capital from the world’s largest pools of wealth.

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  • Bitcoin hits new all-time high as Fed easing bets and favorable US policy align

    Bitcoin hits new all-time high as Fed easing bets and favorable US policy align

    Bitcoin hits new all-time high as Fed easing bets and favorable US policy align

    • Bitcoin smashes its record, climbing to a new all-time high of $124,002.
    • Hopes for a significant Federal Reserve rate cut are fueling the rally.
    • A new executive order opens the door for crypto in 401(k) retirement plans.

    Bitcoin blasted through to a new all-time high on Thursday, as a perfect storm of roaring optimism over Federal Reserve policy and a series of powerful pro-crypto reforms converged to send the digital asset into uncharted territory.

    The move signals a dramatic new phase for a market that has been supercharged by a seismic shift in the US political and regulatory landscape.

    In early Asian trading, the world’s largest cryptocurrency climbed as much as 0.9% to touch $124,002.49, decisively surpassing the previous peak it set in July.

    The tidal wave of buying lifted the broader market, with the second−largest token, Ether, surging to 4,780.04—its highest level since the bull market of late 2021.

    The three-pronged catalyst: Fed, institutions, and the White House

    This record-setting rally isn’t a random surge; it’s being powered by a clear confluence of forces.

    According to IG market analyst Tony Sycamore, Bitcoin’s momentum is a direct result of “increasing certainty of Fed rate cuts, sustained institutional buying and moves by the Trump administration to ease investment in crypto assets.” 

    The technical picture is now just as bullish, with Sycamore noting that a decisive move could open the floodgates for a much larger run. “Technically a sustained break above $125k could propel BTC to $150,000,” he wrote in a note.

    The ‘crypto president’ and the $1.6 trillion surge

    Since President Donald Trump’s return to the White House, the regulatory environment in the United States has transformed from hostile to overtly favorable.

    Trump has proudly labeled himself the “crypto president,” and a series of long-sought regulatory wins for the industry have followed throughout 2025, from the passage of landmark stablecoin regulations to a broader overhaul by the securities regulator to accommodate digital assets.

    The market impact of this policy pivot has been staggering. Bitcoin itself has risen nearly 32% so far in 2025.

    More broadly, the entire crypto sector’s market capitalization has ballooned from about $2.5 trillion in November 2024, when Trump won the election, to over $4.18 trillion today, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

    Unlocking retirement billions: the 401(k) game-changer

    The latest and perhaps most significant tailwind came from an executive order signed last week on Thursday.

    The order paved the way for crypto assets to be included in 401(k) retirement accounts, a move that could unlock a colossal new wave of mainstream capital for the asset class.

    This is not just a win for investors; it’s a potential boon for asset management giants like BlackRock and Fidelity, whose crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) could become staples of American retirement planning.

    However, this push into long-term savings is not without its perils.

    The very volatility that creates spectacular rallies also poses significant risks, especially for retirement accounts that have historically relied on the relative stability of stocks and bonds.

    For now, though, the market is firmly focused on the upside, celebrating a new era of legitimacy that has sent its leading asset to heights once thought unreachable.

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  • Altcoins soar, Bitcoin stalls as Fed rate cut speculation hits fever pitch

    Altcoins soar, Bitcoin stalls as Fed rate cut speculation hits fever pitch

    Altcoins soar, Bitcoin stalls as Fed rate cut speculation hits fever pitch

    A simmering crypto rally boiled over into a full-blown frenzy during late US trading hours on Tuesday, after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent dropped a bombshell suggestion that sent shockwaves through the market: the Federal Reserve should consider an aggressive 50 basis point rate cut.

    His words acted like rocket fuel for risk assets, unleashing a powerful new leg higher for altcoins while leaving Bitcoin watching from the sidelines.

    The market-moving comments came during an interview on Fox News, where Bessent openly questioned the central bank’s next move. 

    “The real thing now to think about is should we get a 50 basis-point rate cut in September,” Bessent stated. He went further, criticizing the central bank’s information-gathering process, adding that the Fed could have cut rates as early as June if it had been given accurate data, which he described as a “foundational issue.”

    The Bessent fffect: unleashing the bulls

    While markets had already almost fully baked in a standard 25 basis point cut for September, the mere mention of a 50-point move from a figure of Bessent’s stature completely reset expectations.

    Although the Treasury Secretary is not a member of the Federal Reserve, his words carry immense weight.

    President Trump has tasked him with leading the search for a replacement for current Fed Chair Jerome Powell, making his views a potential preview of the central bank’s future policy direction.

    The reaction was immediate and fierce. Ether (ETH), already enjoying a positive day, blasted higher, surging nearly 9% over the past 24 hours to trade above $4,600 for the first time since the heady days of November 2021.

    An altcoin affair

    This was emphatically an altcoin-driven rally. Other major cryptocurrencies joined the surge, with Cardano (ADA), Solana (SOL), and Litecoin (LTC) each rocketing ahead by about 8%. XRP also caught a bid, rising 3.5%.

    This flood of capital into digital assets mirrored a rally in equity markets, which climbed more than 1%, while the dollar weakened against all major currencies.

    Conspicuously absent from the party were the Bitcoin bulls.

    The world’s largest cryptocurrency remained largely unchanged, hovering around the $120,000 mark, suggesting traders were selectively deploying capital into assets perceived to have more immediate upside in a “risk-on” environment.

    The stage for this dramatic late-day surge had been set earlier on Tuesday morning. The initial spark for the rally came after new data showed US consumer prices in July rising roughly in line with economist estimates, providing a sigh of relief.

    But it was Bessent’s unexpected words that turned that sigh of relief into a roar of speculative excitement.

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  • BCH looks to break key resistance as Bitcoin Cash volume jumps 30%

    BCH looks to break key resistance as Bitcoin Cash volume jumps 30%

    Bitcoin Cash Price

    • Bitcoin Cash price is near $590 having touched highs above $604 in the past 24 hours.
    • While BCH is a mere 1% in 24 hours at the time of writing, it’s 18% higher in 30 days.
    • Bitcoin Cash could break above critical resistance and eye the $1,000 level.

    Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is not one of the flashy performers in the crypto market, with the coins’ 18% uptick in the past month small compared to peers in the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap.

    However, as Ethereum makes headlines as it approaches its all-time high, Bitcoin Cash is also hovering around a critical resistance level having tested the $600 level.

    This charge, fueled by a remarkable 30% surge in daily trading volume, could see BCH eye further gains towards the $1,000 mark. But what’s the technical outlook?

    Bitcoin Cash retests key price level

    The price of Bitcoin Cash is currently retesting a pivotal resistance zone, with its price hovering around the $600 mark.

    Over the past 24 hours, BCH has touched highs of $601 across major exchanges, and shows resilience with prices remaining above $590 and ticking to highs near the July peak of $604.

    BCH price chart by TradingView

    The jump to $600 represents a notable move for BCH, as this allows buyers to test the upper boundary of a sell wall that has previously seen bears emerge strongly.

    Notably, the 30% spike in trading volume speaks to the increased market activity, suggesting traders may be positioning for a potential breakout.

    What’s next for BCH price: Can bulls reclaim $1,000 in 2025?

    BCH price reached highs of $624 in December 2024 and last traded above $1,000 in 2021.

    Looking at the technical picture for Bitcoin Cash, the overall outlook is optimistic, with bulls setting their sights on flipping $600 into a robust support level.

    From here, a potential climb towards $1,000 is possible. In the short term, the supply wall is around $680 and $764 and above this, a flip to $1k and over will be more likely.

    The broader market sentiment, with Fear & Greed Index trending in the “Greed,” zone, adds to this outlook.

    BCH’s technical indicators also align with a bullish trend. Increased adoption that has investors buoyed amid favorable macroeconomic conditions, gives this altcoin a good chance of continuing higher.

    However, traders may yet trade cautiously as profit taking a dump for major altcoins could dampen broader sentiment.

    The upcoming inflation data, with Bitcoin’s correlation with stocks tight, could mean either a sharp surge or notable dump.

    “BTC ’s correlation with equities has tightened since mid-July, mirroring US stocks’ rebound to near record highs. Attention now shifts to Tuesday’s CPI, expected to rise 10 bps to 2.8%,” analysts at QCP noted. “A softer CPI could cement odds of a September Fed cut, while a hotter print risks stalling the rally. Traders are hedging with demand for short-dated $BTC puts in the $115k–$118k range.”

    The price of Bitcoin hovers around $118,500, while BCH trades near $590.

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  • Bitcoin price forecast: BTC price steadies as long-term holder selloff cools

    Bitcoin price forecast: BTC price steadies as long-term holder selloff cools

    Bitcoin price forecast

    • Long-term holder (LTH) selloffs cool, easing Bitcoin price selling pressure.
    • BTC price holds above $116,817 despite rejection near $122K.
    • CPI data may decide the next major BTC price move.

    Bitcoin price forecast shows BTC price steadying as long-term holder selloffs cool.

    Meanwhile, traders are watching on-chain flows and macro prints for signs of the next directional move.

    Long-term holders’ selloff cools

    Long-term holders have materially reduced daily sales, and consequently, the market has seen a clear shift toward holding.

    According to on-chain data, daily LTH sales slipped below $1 billion in August, after averaging above that threshold in July, and this shift has removed a notable chunk of selling pressure.

    Moreover, the reduced flow of coins to exchanges, according to Coinglass, has coincided with renewed accumulation, which in turn supports a calmer BTC price near current range levels.

    On-chain evidence points to accumulation

    Binary Coin Days Destroyed has dropped toward zero, signalling that older coins are not moving and therefore are being held longer.

    Bitcoin Binary CDD chart.

    Additionally, the Fund Flow Ratio sits at unusually low levels, around 0.057, and this suggests fewer assets are being sent to exchanges.

    Consequently, spot market net inflows — including a recent $51 million buy day after a $242 million sell-off on August 10 — reinforce that demand is returning more steadily than before.

    Triangle breakout holds, but risks remain

    Technically, Bitcoin broke upward from a triangle and remains above the $116,817 breakout threshold, which means momentum is still intact.

    However, recent attempts to clear $122,000 ended with a rejection and a “gravestone” doji candlestick, and hence, traders note that the path to a new ATH may not be smooth.

    Bitcoin price chart analysis

    Meanwhile, a CME futures gap near $117K and four-hour 200MA/EMA confluence add short-term technical magnetism that could invite retests before any sustained push higher.

    CPI and Fed policy could tilt the scales

    Macro catalysts are front and centre because upcoming US CPI figures influence rate-cut expectations and dollar strength.

    If core inflation prints higher than expected — for example, near 3.1% — then Fed-cut odds for September would likely decline, and as a result BTC price may face pressure.

    Conversely, a softer CPI near 2.9% would boost rate-cut prospects, weaken the dollar, and likely favour renewed upside for crypto and BTC price momentum.

    Two plausible paths for Bitcoin traders

    On the bullish path, continued LTH holding, steady capital inflows, and a break above recent highs could carry BTC to new discovery above $123,000 and into a $120K–$125K zone.

    On the bearish path, a confirmed distribution phase — as some Wyckoff-analysing traders warn — could open a markdown toward the $92K–$95K area, and therefore, traders must respect risk controls.

    Thus, momentum and macro prints will decide whether the market grinds higher or re-enters a corrective phase.

    Bitcoin price forecast: What traders should watch

    Watch whether BTC holds $116,817 and whether exchange inflows remain subdued, because these are immediate signs of supply drying up.

    Also, monitor short-term technical confluence at the CME gap near $117K and the reaction to CPI data, since both can trigger quick directional moves.

    While sentiment includes bullish voices like the co-founder of PayPal, Peter Thiel, who sees structural undervaluation, traders should remain nimble and factor in both upside targets and downside scenarios.

    The current Bitcoin forecast balances improved on-chain accumulation against near-term macro risk, and this equilibrium shapes the prevailing BTC price outlook.



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  • Bitcoin eases from $122,000 high on profit-taking; CPI report looms

    Bitcoin eases from $122,000 high on profit-taking; CPI report looms

    Bitcoin eases from $122,000 high on profit-taking; CPI report looms

    • Bitcoin’s push toward new records was stopped by profit-taking, causing a price retreat from a high of $122,200 back to $118,500.
    • A technical gap in the CME futures market between $117,430 and $119,000 has created a potential target for a short-term price pullback.
    • Upcoming US inflation data, particularly the CPI, is considered the week’s most significant catalyst for potential market volatility.

    A promising overnight surge that propelled Bitcoin within sight of new records was cut short by a wave of profit-taking, pulling the leading cryptocurrency back and setting a cautious tone for the week.

    The market now holds its breath, caught between the allure of all-time highs and the looming shadow of critical economic data that could ignite significant price swings.

    After reaching a session high of $122,200, Bitcoin (BTC) saw its momentum fade, retreating 2.8% to land at $118,500.

    Despite the pullback, the digital asset remained slightly positive over a 24-hour period.

    In the broader crypto market, Ether (ETH) maintained its position above the $4,200 mark, while major altcoins such as Solana’s SOL (SOL), Dogecoin (DOGE), and Sui’s native token (SUI) experienced modest dips of 3%-4%.

    One technical indicator drawing considerable attention from traders is a “gap” left in the CME futures market, which, unlike the 24/7 crypto market, operates only on weekdays.

    This created a void between Friday’s closing price of $117,430 and Monday’s higher open at $119,000.[3] James Van Straten, senior analyst at CoinDesk, noted that historical precedent suggests Bitcoin often retraces to “fill” such gaps.

    “History suggests that BTC could pull back to revisit and ‘fill’ that gap,” he said.

    Economic crosswinds

    The market’s next significant directional move may well be dictated by macroeconomic forces.

    The release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Tuesday, followed by Producer Price Index (PPI) data, is circled on every trader’s calendar.

    These inflation reports are critical as they heavily influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, which in turn impacts investor appetite for risk assets like Bitcoin.

    This sentiment was echoed by analysts at the crypto exchange Bitfinex, who believe the continuation of Bitcoin’s momentum is contingent on these US economic reports.

    “With market sensitivity to macro events running high, traders should prepare for increased volatility and the possibility of a retracement toward $110,000 in the near term,” the Bitfinex analysts wrote in a Monday market report.

    They added, “We believe that the ranging conditions and oscillation between the range highs and lows will continue, since price is constantly moving above and below the cost-basis of fresh buyers allowing for charged sentiments around key macro data releases.”

    A rally built on shaky ground?

    Beneath the surface of the recent price surge, however, are signs that the rally lacked broad-based participation. In a recent report, the analytics firm Glassnode described the sharp rebound from below $114,000 as a shift from “seller exhaustion to a strong rebound near recent ATHs.”

    Yet, this recovery was not accompanied by a surge in spot market buying.

    Glassnode data revealed that spot trading volumes actually fell by 22% to $5.7 billion, a figure near the statistical low, suggesting the upward price movement was driven more by strategic “positioning shifts than deep conviction buying.”

    While a metric known as the Spot Cumulative Volume Delta flipped 94% toward buy pressure—a sign that aggressive selling has subsided—it also points to renewed demand from a narrow base of traders rather than a widespread market rush.

    On the institutional front, the data presents a mixed, albeit slightly optimistic, picture. Outflows from US-listed spot bitcoin ETFs were halved, dropping to $311 million from $686 million in the preceding week, offering some relief.

    Even so, the total trade volume for these ETFs saw a 27.7% decline to $13.7 billion, indicating that overall activity remains subdued and close to its low band.

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  • Fear & Greed Index hits 63 as Bitcoin, ETH, and SOL rebound

    Fear & Greed Index hits 63 as Bitcoin, ETH, and SOL rebound

    Fear & Greed Index hits 62 as Bitcoin, ETH, and SOL rebound

    • Fear & Greed Index hits 63, up from “Neutral” the day before.
    • Profit-taking among short-term BTC holders has eased.
    • Analysts see potential for BTC breakout toward $125,000.

    Bitcoin regained ground above $114,000 on Thursday, marking a return in investor confidence after a volatile weekend triggered short-term jitters across the cryptocurrency market.

    As sentiment improved, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index climbed to 63 — a level that signals “Greed” — suggesting traders anticipate further upside despite recent turbulence.

    The bounce follows Bitcoin’s decline to $112,000 over the weekend, down from its mid-July peak of $123,100.

    However, the modest 1% rebound over the past 24 hours to $114,961 has shifted outlooks among both traders and analysts, who now see signs of short-term stability.

    Bitcoin price
    Source: CoinMarketCap

    Broader market rebounds with ETH up 2.52%, SOL up 3.26%

    The wider digital asset market mirrored Bitcoin’s move. Ether (ETH) gained 2.52% in the past 24 hours to trade at $3,724, while XRP (XRP) rose 1.87% to $2.99.

    Solana (SOL) posted the strongest performance among major altcoins, climbing 3.24% to $169.56.

    The change in market direction coincided with a cooling off in profit-taking by short-term Bitcoin holders.

    According to experts, this group—defined as those holding for less than 155 days—has significantly reduced its selling activity since earlier this week.

    This reduction in sell pressure is seen as one reason behind Bitcoin’s ability to reclaim price levels lost during the weekend drop.

    Market watchers suggest that fewer short-term exits often signal a return to confidence, especially when prices are inching higher after a correction.

    Analysts eye potential for Bitcoin breakout above resistance

    Crypto analysts have responded to the sentiment shift by highlighting a potential bullish breakout.

    Several trading desks tracking Bitcoin’s price action noted that the asset is once again testing a key resistance zone.

    This pattern of consolidation near the upper range is often seen ahead of upward breakouts, particularly when supported by improving sentiment indicators like the Fear & Greed Index.

    Historical price behaviour also shows that when Bitcoin holds above psychological levels such as $110,000 after a sharp dip, it tends to attract renewed buying interest from both retail and institutional participants, increasing the likelihood of a continuation in upward momentum over the short term.

    Crypto market regains momentum amid reduced profit-taking

    The shift in sentiment, now back in the “Greed” zone, is closely watched as an early indicator of investor mood and market trajectory.

    Thursday’s reading of 63 represents a notable recovery from the previous day’s “Neutral” rating, underlining how quickly outlooks can change in the crypto sector.

    Bitcoin’s gradual rebound and ETH and SOL’s stronger rallies suggest that investors may see the latest uptick as the start of a broader recovery, rather than a brief relief rally.

    Much will now depend on whether Bitcoin can break above its current resistance level and establish a new short-term trend.

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